---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Ledyard 1
  
Ledyard               
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 78.6555

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 6- 5 408 A Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 13- 3 410 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 11-12 415 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 16- 6 419 H Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 8-10 421 H East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 3-16 424 H Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 4-14 426 A Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 12- 5 429 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 12- 8 501 A Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 15- 4 503 H Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 13- 6 508 H Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 14- 3 513 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 6-10 517 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8- 4 520 A Bacon/East Hampton (11- 7, 75.4) 9-10 523 A East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 4-10 603 A Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 4-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Stonington              6- 5       1    -2    +      2.96
   408 A Woodstock Academy      13- 3      10     6           0.00
   410 H Wheeler                11-12      -1     2    -     -2.55
   415 A Old Saybrook           16- 6      10     2    +      3.41
   419 H Norwich Free Academy    8-10      -2    -1          -1.39
   421 H East Lyme               3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   424 H Stonington              4-14     -10    -1    --    -4.49
   426 A Killingly              12- 5       7     8           0.00
   429 A Montville              12- 8       4     1    +      3.20
   501 A Griswold-Norwich Tech  15- 4      11     8           0.00
   503 H Woodstock Academy      13- 6       7     7           0.00
   508 H Killingly              14- 3      11    10           0.00
   513 A Waterford               6-10      -4    -4          -0.47
   517 H Old Lyme                8- 4       4     1    +      2.82
   520 A Bacon/East Hampton      9-10      -1     3    -     -3.51
   523 A East Lyme               4-10      -6    -7           0.00
   603 A Suffield HS             4-15     -11    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Stonington              4-14     -10    -1    --    -4.49
   410 H Wheeler                11-12      -1     2    -     -2.55
   520 A Bacon/East Hampton      9-10      -1     3    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Stonington              6- 5       1    -2    +      2.96
   415 A Old Saybrook           16- 6      10     2    +      3.41
   429 A Montville              12- 8       4     1    +      3.20
   517 H Old Lyme                8- 4       4     1    +      2.82

Ledyard Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Amity Regional
Avon HS Ledyard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ledyard
Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
Berlin Ledyard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ledyard
Bethel Bethel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bethel
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Central Ledyard   Ledyard
Bristol Eastern Ledyard   Ledyard
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Ledyard Ledyard   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Danbury Ledyard   Ledyard
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Ellington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ellington
Enfield Ledyard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ledyard
EO Smith Ledyard   Ledyard
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Ledyard Ledyard   5- 5 vs 0- 9
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Ledyard Ledyard  
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Ledyard Ledyard   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hall
Hamden Ledyard   Ledyard
Housatonic Regional Ledyard   Ledyard
Immaculate Heart Ledyard   Ledyard
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Ledyard   Ledyard
Killingly Ledyard Ledyard  
Lakeview United Ledyard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ledyard
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   Lauralton Hall
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Mercy Ledyard   Ledyard
Middletown-Coginchaug Ledyard   Ledyard
Montville Ledyard Ledyard  
Morgan School Ledyard Ledyard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Ledyard insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Ledyard
New Milford Ledyard   Ledyard
Newington Ledyard   Ledyard
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford Ledyard insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ledyard
North Haven Ledyard   Ledyard
Northwest Catholic Ledyard tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Ledyard
Norwalk Ledyard   Ledyard
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Notre Dame Fairfield Ledyard   Ledyard
Old Lyme Ledyard Ledyard  
Old Saybrook Ledyard Ledyard  
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
RHAM Ledyard insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Ledyard
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Ledyard tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ledyard
Rocky Hill Ledyard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ledyard
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Ledyard   Ledyard
Shelton Ledyard   Ledyard
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Somers
South Windsor Ledyard tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ledyard
Southington Southington   Southington
St Joseph St Joseph   St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Ledyard   Ledyard
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington   7- 2 vs 5- 4
Stratford-Bunnell Ledyard   Ledyard
Suffield HS Suffield HS Suffield HS  
Tolland Tolland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Ledyard Ledyard   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Ledyard   Ledyard
West Haven Ledyard   Ledyard
Westhill Ledyard   Ledyard
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Ledyard   Ledyard
Wheeler Wheeler Wheeler  
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Ledyard   Ledyard
Wolcott Ledyard   Ledyard
Woodstock Academy Ledyard Ledyard  

PowerWise = 47


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Stonington      (12- 5, 79.9)     6- 5      -20.01      14.80       0.73         1.03            15.99
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 3-13, 72.3)    13- 3      -27.57       7.24       0.73         1.03             8.20
   0 H Wheeler         (12- 6, 77.8)    11-12      -22.07      12.74      -0.73         1.03           -23.47
   0 A Old Saybrook    (11- 7, 76.3)    16- 6      -23.56      11.25       0.73         1.03            12.33
   0 H Norwich Free A  (12- 6, 80.0)     8-10      -19.91      14.90      -0.73         1.03           -21.24
   0 H East Lyme       (17- 4, 85.2)     3-16      -14.70      20.11      -0.73         1.03           -15.89
   0 H Stonington      (12- 5, 79.9)     4-14      -20.01      14.80      -0.73         1.03           -21.35
   0 A Killingly       ( 2-14, 69.8)    12- 5      -30.10       4.70       0.73         1.03             5.59
   0 A Montville       (11- 7, 77.1)    12- 8      -22.77      12.04       0.73         1.03            13.15
   0 A Griswold-Norwi  ( 2-14, 69.7)    15- 4      -30.16       4.65       0.73         1.03             5.54
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 3-13, 72.3)    13- 6      -27.57       7.24      -0.73         1.03             6.71
   0 H Killingly       ( 2-14, 69.8)    14- 3      -30.10       4.70      -0.73         1.03             4.10
   0 A Waterford       (12- 7, 81.5)     6-10      -18.44      16.37       0.73         1.03           -18.24
   0 H Old Lyme        (13- 6, 78.2)     8- 4      -21.70      13.11      -0.73         1.03            12.75
   0 A Bacon/East Ham  (11- 7, 75.4)     9-10      -24.48      10.33       0.73         1.03           -24.46
   0 A East Lyme       (17- 4, 85.2)     4-10      -14.70      20.11       0.73         1.03           -14.39
   0 A Suffield HS     (19- 2, 85.4)     4-15      -14.54      20.27       0.73         1.03           -14.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -68.93

winning pts = 84.3525 losing points = -153.2825

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------