---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Lexington Catholic 1
  
Lexington Catholic    
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 82.2506

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 3-19 305 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 14-12 306 A Notre Dame Academy (13- 1, 89.0) 2-15 311 A Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 14- 7 312 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 10- 4 319 A Kentucky Country Day (19- 0, 99.9) 0-20 320 A Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 11- 1 329 H Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 12-15 415 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 20- 7 416 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 2-20 423 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 7- 6 425 A Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 6-21 426 H Dixie Heights ( 0- 6, 71.6) 27- 3 501 H Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 22- 6 504 A Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 8-22 509 N Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 14- 3 510 N Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 9- 3 512 N Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 10-11 515 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 4-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Sacred Heart Academy    3-19     -16   -14           0.00
   305 H Frederick Douglass     14-12       2     3          -0.68
   306 A Notre Dame Academy      2-15     -13    -8           0.00
   311 A Ryle                   14- 7       7     4           0.95
   312 H Bryan Station          10- 4       6     3           1.54
   319 A Kentucky Country Day    0-20     -20   -18           0.00
   320 A Tates Creek            11- 1      10     6           0.00
   329 H Lexington Christian    12-15      -3     2    --    -4.70
   415 A Great Crossing         20- 7      13     5           0.00
   416 H Henry Clay              2-20     -18    -4          -1.24
   423 H Lafayette               7- 6       1     3          -1.59
   425 A Paul Laurence Dunbar    6-21     -15    -3          -1.72
   426 H Dixie Heights          27- 3      24    11           0.00
   501 H Woodford County        22- 6      16     3           1.84
   504 A Assumption              8-22     -14    -5           0.00
   509 N Tates Creek            14- 3      11     6           0.00
   510 N Lexington Christian     9- 3       6     1    ++     4.13
   512 N Paul Laurence Dunbar   10-11      -1    -2           1.46
   515 A Sayre School            4-19     -15    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Lexington Christian    12-15      -3     2    --    -4.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 N Lexington Christian     9- 3       6     1    ++     4.13

Lexington Catholic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Assumption Assumption Assumption  
Atherton Lexington Catholic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lexington Catholic
Ballard Ballard insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Ballard
Bowling Green Bowling Green   Bowling Green
Bryan Station Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Central Hardin Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Christian Academy Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Christian Academy
Collins Collins tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) Collins
Cooper Cooper insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) Cooper
Dixie Heights Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern Eastern   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Fern Creek Fern Creek   Fern Creek
Frederick Douglass Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Great Crossing Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Greenwood Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lafayette Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Catholic tied - ( 7- 1) ( 7- 1) Lexington Catholic
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Male Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Mercy Academy Mercy Academy tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Mercy Academy
North Oldham Lexington Catholic tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Lexington Catholic
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy  
Oldham County Oldham County insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Oldham County
Owensboro Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar  
Presentation Academy Presentation Academy   Presentation Academy
Ryle Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Sayre School Sayre School Sayre School  
Scott County Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 4 vs 1- 7
Shelby County Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 0 vs 3- 2
South Oldham South Oldham tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) South Oldham
South Warren Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   3- 2 vs 0- 4
St Henry St Henry   St Henry
Tates Creek Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Woodford County Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (15- 5, 95.6)     3-19       -4.33      23.96       0.82         0.72            -2.51
   0 H Frederick Doug  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    14-12      -19.50       8.79      -0.82         0.72             5.71
   0 A Notre Dame Aca  (13- 1, 89.0)     2-15      -10.94      17.36       0.82         0.72            -7.25
   0 A Ryle            ( 2-10, 77.4)    14- 7      -22.52       5.77       0.82         0.72             4.72
   0 H Bryan Station   ( 7-10, 79.6)    10- 4      -20.29       8.01      -0.82         0.72             5.14
   0 A Kentucky Count  (19- 0, 99.9)     0-20       -0.00      28.30       0.82         0.72            -0.59
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 1-12, 75.9)    11- 1      -23.98       4.32       0.82         0.72             3.68
   0 H Lexington Chri  (12- 3, 81.4)    12-15      -18.52       9.77      -0.82         0.72           -13.86
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 3-11, 76.3)    20- 7      -23.56       4.74       0.82         0.72             3.98
   0 H Henry Clay      (14- 6, 86.8)     2-20      -13.07      15.23      -0.82         0.72            -9.95
   0 H Lafayette       ( 6- 9, 80.5)     7- 6      -19.42       8.87      -0.82         0.72             5.77
   0 A Paul Laurence   (14- 5, 84.7)     6-21      -15.19      13.10       0.82         0.72           -10.29
   0 H Dixie Heights   ( 0- 6, 71.6)    27- 3      -28.30       1.00      -0.82         0.72             0.13
   0 H Woodford Count  ( 5- 9, 79.9)    22- 6      -19.99       8.31      -0.82         0.72             5.36
   0 A Assumption      ( 7- 7, 86.8)     8-22      -13.06      15.23       0.82         0.72            -8.77
   0 N Tates Creek     ( 1-12, 75.9)    14- 3      -23.98       4.32      -0.00         0.72             3.09
   0 N Lexington Chri  (12- 3, 81.4)     9- 3      -18.52       9.77      -0.00         0.72             7.00
   0 N Paul Laurence   (14- 5, 84.7)    10-11      -15.19      13.10      -0.00         0.72           -10.88
   0 A Sayre School    (17- 5, 89.7)     4-19      -10.19      18.11       0.82         0.72            -6.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -26.21

winning pts = 44.5935 losing points = -70.8065

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------