All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 70.5500031 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Briar Woods ( 2-13, 64.1) 14-10 324 H Stone Bridge (10- 6, 75.0) 12-19 407 H John Champe ( 1-11, 72.3) 9- 8 409 A Lightridge (11- 6, 81.2) 2-17 414 A Potomac Falls ( 7- 7, 69.2) 6- 7 421 A Heritage ( 0- 9, 59.7) 17- 5 423 A Woodgrove (10- 5, 67.6) 13-14 428 H Loudoun County ( 3- 9, 68.6) 16- 6 501 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 9, 57.2) 19- 1 505 A Broad Run ( 3-10, 63.8) 19- 5 508 A Freedom South Riding (13- 2, 73.0) 6-15 511 A Fauquier ( 2- 6, 60.2) 15- 4 512 H Dominion (13- 2, 77.6) 10-13 519 A Tuscarora ( 1- 7, 60.7) 17- 4
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Briar Woods 14-10 4 7 n/a 324 H Stone Bridge 12-19 -7 -3 n/a 407 H John Champe 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.08 409 A Lightridge 2-17 -15 -11 n/a 414 A Potomac Falls 6- 7 -1 0 n/a 421 A Heritage 17- 5 12 10 0.00 423 A Woodgrove 13-14 -1 2 - -3.22 428 H Loudoun County 16- 6 10 2 ++ 4.31 501 H Rock Ridge 19- 1 18 13 0.00 505 A Broad Run 19- 5 14 6 0.91 508 A Freedom South Riding 6-15 -9 -3 n/a 511 A Fauquier 15- 4 11 9 0.00 512 H Dominion 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.37 519 A Tuscarora 17- 4 13 9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Briar Woods 14-10 4 7 - 324 H Stone Bridge 12-19 -7 -3 - 423 A Woodgrove 13-14 -1 2 - -3.22 508 A Freedom South Riding 6-15 -9 -3 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Loudoun County 16- 6 10 2 ++ 4.31 407 H John Champe 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.08 512 H Dominion 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.37
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 70.55 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 38.73 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 15 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .3840 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 35 RPI Rating............... .5126 RPI Rank................... 16 Champ. Probability ...... 1.1 Championship Rank ......... 10 Selection sum ........... 61 Selection Rank ............ 19 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 25. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 10 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 10 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.0