---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Lake Zurich 1
  
Lake Zurich           
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 84.3701

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Metea Valley ( 7- 8, 85.3) 4-10 318 H Glenbrook North ( 8-12, 84.0) 8-12 404 A Palatine (11- 8, 84.4) 11-13 405 H Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 4-16 411 H Fremd (14- 5, 86.3) 8- 7 414 A Hampshire ( 8- 8, 77.0) 16- 6 416 H Mundelein ( 5-13, 76.8) 16- 7 419 A Prospect ( 9- 8, 82.2) 12- 1 421 H Carmel Catholic (15- 6, 88.4) 10-16 423 A Gurnee Warren ( 5-13, 79.8) 11- 7 426 H Geneva ( 3-13, 79.0) 15- 5 430 A Libertyville ( 8-12, 79.3) 13- 2 503 A St Francis ( 9-11, 80.3) 15- 4 507 A Stevenson ( 7- 6, 83.9) 4- 1 513 H Lake Forest HS (15- 5, 93.9) 6-16 515 A Schaumburg ( 9-11, 82.2) 3- 3 526 A Palatine (11- 8, 84.4) 10- 8 528 N Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Metea Valley            4-10      -6    -1    -     -3.62
   318 H Glenbrook North         8-12      -4     1    --    -4.86
   404 A Palatine               11-13      -2    -1          -1.47
   405 H Barrington              4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   411 H Fremd                   8- 7       1    -1    +      2.45
   414 A Hampshire              16- 6      10     7           0.00
   416 H Mundelein              16- 7       9     8           0.00
   419 A Prospect               12- 1      11     2    +      3.35
   421 H Carmel Catholic        10-16      -6    -4          -1.48
   423 A Gurnee Warren          11- 7       4     4          -0.10
   426 H Geneva                 15- 5      10     6           0.00
   430 A Libertyville           13- 2      11     5           0.46
   503 A St Francis             15- 4      11     4           1.45
   507 A Stevenson               4- 1       3     0    +      3.01
   513 H Lake Forest HS          6-16     -10    -9           0.00
   515 A Schaumburg              3- 3       0     2          -1.70
   526 A Palatine               10- 8       2    -1    +      2.53
   528 N Barrington              2-21     -19    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Glenbrook North         8-12      -4     1    --    -4.86
   317 A Metea Valley            4-10      -6    -1    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Fremd                   8- 7       1    -1    +      2.45
   419 A Prospect               12- 1      11     2    +      3.35
   507 A Stevenson               4- 1       3     0    +      3.01
   526 A Palatine               10- 8       2    -1    +      2.53

Lake Zurich Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Barrington Barrington Barrington  
Benet Academy Benet Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Benet Academy
Bloomington Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Buffalo Grove Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   5- 2 vs 0- 7
Burlington Central Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Conant Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) Lake Zurich
Crystal Lake Crystal Lake insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Crystal Lake
Deerfield Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 4) Lake Zurich
DePaul Prep DePaul Prep insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) DePaul Prep
Downers Grove Co-Op Downers Grove Co-Op insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Downers Grove Co-Op
Dunlap Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Edwardsville Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Elk Grove Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   6- 2 vs 0- 8
Evanston Evanston Evanston   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fenwick Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Zurich
Fremd Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Geneva Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Glenbard West Glenbard West Glenbard West   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Glenbrook North Glenbrook North Glenbrook North  
Glenbrook South Glenbrook South insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 6- 2) Glenbrook South
Gurnee Warren Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Hampshire Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Hersey Hersey Hersey   7- 0 vs 4- 4
Highland Park Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hinsdale Central
Hoffman Estates Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   5- 2 vs 1- 7
Huntley Huntley insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Huntley
Jones Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Kenwood Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Lake Forest Academy Lake Zurich tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Zurich
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS  
Lane Tech Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Zurich
Latin School Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Lake Zurich
Libertyville Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Lincoln Park Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Lincoln-Way Co-Op Lincoln-Way Co-Op   Lincoln-Way Co-Op
Lockport Lockport   Lockport
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Loyola Academy
Lyons Township Lyons Township tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lyons Township
Maine South Maine South insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Maine South
Marist Marist insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marist
Mather Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
McHenry Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Metea Valley Metea Valley Metea Valley  
Minooka Lake Zurich tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Zurich
Montini Catholic Montini Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Montini Catholic
Mother McAuley Mother McAuley insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Mother McAuley
Mundelein Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Naperville Central Naperville Central insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Naperville Central
Naperville North Naperville North insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Naperville North
Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Neuqua Valley Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Lake Zurich
New Trier New Trier New Trier   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Normal Community Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Northside Prep Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Oak Park-River Forest Oak Park-River Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oak Park-River Forest
OFallon OFallon   OFallon
Palatine Palatine tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 3) Palatine
Payton College Prep Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Plainfield East Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Zurich
Prospect Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Providence Catholic Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Zurich
Regina Dominican Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Zurich
Resurrection Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Riverside-Brookfield Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Rolling Meadows Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   4- 1 vs 0- 6
Rosary Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sandburg Sandburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sandburg
Schaumburg Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   6- 2 vs 3- 4
St Charles St Charles insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Charles
St Francis Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
St Ignatius St Ignatius tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Ignatius
St Laurence Lake Zurich tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Zurich
St Viator St Viator St Viator   5- 1 vs 3- 4
Stevenson Lake Zurich Lake Zurich  
Streamwood Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Taft HS Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Trinity Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Vernon Hills Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Washington Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Wheaton United Lake Zurich tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Lake Zurich
Whitney Young Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
York York insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) York

PowerWise = 49


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Metea Valley    ( 7- 8, 85.3)     4-10      -14.65      23.96       0.50         0.94           -13.29
   0 H Glenbrook Nort  ( 8-12, 84.0)     8-12      -15.89      22.72      -0.50         0.94           -15.41
   0 A Palatine        (11- 8, 84.4)    11-13      -15.50      23.11       0.50         0.94           -14.09
   0 H Barrington      (21- 2, 92.6)     4-16       -7.29      31.32      -0.50         0.94            -7.33
   0 H Fremd           (14- 5, 86.3)     8- 7      -13.58      25.03      -0.50         0.94            23.05
   0 A Hampshire       ( 8- 8, 77.0)    16- 6      -22.93      15.68       0.50         0.94            15.21
   0 H Mundelein       ( 5-13, 76.8)    16- 7      -23.14      15.47      -0.50         0.94            14.07
   0 A Prospect        ( 9- 8, 82.2)    12- 1      -17.68      20.93       0.50         0.94            20.15
   0 H Carmel Catholi  (15- 6, 88.4)    10-16      -11.51      27.10      -0.50         0.94           -11.29
   0 A Gurnee Warren   ( 5-13, 79.8)    11- 7      -20.13      18.48       0.50         0.94            17.84
   0 H Geneva          ( 3-13, 79.0)    15- 5      -20.85      17.76      -0.50         0.94            16.22
   0 A Libertyville    ( 8-12, 79.3)    13- 2      -20.57      18.04       0.50         0.94            17.42
   0 A St Francis      ( 9-11, 80.3)    15- 4      -19.58      19.03       0.50         0.94            18.36
   0 A Stevenson       ( 7- 6, 83.9)     4- 1      -16.03      22.58       0.50         0.94            21.70
   0 H Lake Forest HS  (15- 5, 93.9)     6-16       -5.97      32.64      -0.50         0.94            -6.09
   0 A Schaumburg      ( 9-11, 82.2)     3- 3      -17.74      20.87       0.50         0.94            -0.00
   0 A Palatine        (11- 8, 84.4)    10- 8      -15.50      23.11       0.50         0.94            22.19
   0 N Barrington      (21- 2, 92.6)     2-21       -7.29      31.32      -0.00         0.94            -6.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       111.85

winning pts = 186.2024 losing points = -74.3512

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------