Lake Region
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 88.5317Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 A Waynflete School ( 8- 7, 93.1) 1-11 422 A Bonny Eagle ( 5-10, 89.3) 3- 8 429 A Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 2-12 501 A Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 1-11 506 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 9-11 510 H Wells (14- 2, 94.7) 2-12 513 H Fryeburg Academy ( 8- 6, 91.2) 16-15 515 H North Yarmouth Academy ( 7- 8, 93.7) 3- 9 520 A Traip Academy (10- 5, 93.2) 3-13 527 H St Dominic Academy ( 1-12, 82.8) 11- 6 528 A Gray-New Gloucester/Po ( 3-11, 85.5) 12- 3 602 A York ( 6-10, 93.5) 0-13 603 H Waynflete School ( 8- 7, 93.1) 2-12 605 H Freeport (16- 0, 98.4) 5-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
417 A Waynflete School 1-11 -10 -5 0.00
422 A Bonny Eagle 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.70
429 A Maranacook/Winthrop 2-12 -10 -7 0.00
501 A Yarmouth 1-11 -10 -7 0.00
506 A Morse-Boothbay 9-11 -2 -3 0.65
510 H Wells 2-12 -10 -6 0.00
513 H Fryeburg Academy 16-15 1 -2 + 3.16
515 H North Yarmouth Academy 3- 9 -6 -5 -0.38
520 A Traip Academy 3-13 -10 -5 0.00
527 H St Dominic Academy 11- 6 5 6 0.00
528 A Gray-New Gloucester/Po 12- 3 9 3 + 2.46
602 A York 0-13 -13 -5 0.00
603 H Waynflete School 2-12 -10 -4 -0.99
605 H Freeport 5-15 -10 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Bonny Eagle 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Fryeburg Academy 16-15 1 -2 + 3.16 528 A Gray-New Gloucester/Po 12- 3 9 3 + 2.46 |
Lake Region Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Bangor | Bangor | ||
| Biddeford | Biddeford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Biddeford | |
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | ||
| Brewer/Hampden | Lake Region | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lake Region | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Brunswick | |
| Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Cheverus | Cheverus | Cheverus 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cony | Cony | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cony | |
| Deering | Lake Region | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Region | |
| Edward Little | Lake Region | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Region | |
| Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Erskine Academy | |
| Falmouth | Falmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Falmouth | |
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | |
| Gorham | Gorham | Gorham 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Greely | Greely | Greely 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Houlton | Lake Region | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Region | |
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lewiston | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Massabesic | |
| MCI/Nokomis | Lake Region | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lake Region | |
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Morse-Boothbay | Morse-Boothbay | Morse-Boothbay | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mount Blue | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Noble | Lake Region | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Lake Region | |
| North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | ||
| Oceanside | Oceanside | Oceanside | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Oxford Hills Comp | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oxford Hills Comp | |
| Portland | Lake Region | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Region | |
| Sanford | Sanford | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Sanford | |
| Scarborough | Scarborough | Scarborough 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| South Portland | South Portland | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | South Portland | |
| St Dominic Academy | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Thornton Academy | |
| Traip Academy | Traip Academy | Traip Academy | ||
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | Wells | ||
| Westbrook | Lake Region | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Lake Region | |
| Windham | Windham | Windham 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Winslow/Lawrence | Lake Region | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Region | |
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth | ||
| York | York | York |
PowerWise = 13
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Waynflete Scho ( 8- 7, 93.1) 1-11 -6.84 11.90 0.51 1.05 -6.67
0 A Bonny Eagle ( 5-10, 89.3) 3- 8 -10.59 8.16 0.51 1.05 -10.62
0 A Maranacook/Win (11- 4, 94.7) 2-12 -5.15 13.60 0.51 1.05 -4.89
0 A Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 1-11 -4.93 13.82 0.51 1.05 -4.66
0 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 9-11 -9.23 9.52 0.51 1.05 -9.19
0 H Wells (14- 2, 94.7) 2-12 -5.15 13.60 -0.51 1.05 -5.97
0 H Fryeburg Acade ( 8- 6, 91.2) 16-15 -8.70 10.05 -0.51 1.05 10.05
0 H North Yarmouth ( 7- 8, 93.7) 3- 9 -6.23 12.52 -0.51 1.05 -7.11
0 A Traip Academy (10- 5, 93.2) 3-13 -6.67 12.07 0.51 1.05 -6.49
0 H St Dominic Aca ( 1-12, 82.8) 11- 6 -17.05 1.69 -0.51 1.05 1.24
0 A Gray-New Glouc ( 3-11, 85.5) 12- 3 -14.42 4.32 0.51 1.05 5.10
0 A York ( 6-10, 93.5) 0-13 -6.39 12.36 0.51 1.05 -6.19
0 H Waynflete Scho ( 8- 7, 93.1) 2-12 -6.84 11.90 -0.51 1.05 -7.76
0 H Freeport (16- 0, 98.4) 5-15 -1.54 17.21 -0.51 1.05 -2.17
------
-55.32
|
winning pts = 16.3937 losing points = -71.7166
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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