Lake Orion
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 91.1360Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 13-12 411 A Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 4-13 414 A Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 16-12 416 A South Lyon United (21- 0, 97.2) 8-15 421 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 17- 4 423 H Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 14-12 425 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 17-15 428 A Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 21- 5 502 H Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 16- 8 505 H White Lake Lakeland (11- 7, 92.0) 9- 8 507 H Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 9- 8 508 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 18- 7 512 A Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 18- 5 514 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 21- 5 516 A Utica Eisenhower ( 8- 5, 85.2) 16- 5 522 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 22- 3 527 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 25-10 531 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 H Holt 13-12 1 2 -1.28
411 A Birmingham Unified 4-13 -9 -1 - -3.67
414 A Troy Athens 16-12 4 4 0.14
416 A South Lyon United 8-15 -7 -7 0.00
421 A Grand Blanc 17- 4 13 6 0.00
423 H Bloomfield Hills 14-12 2 1 1.49
425 A Haslett 17-15 2 0 + 2.06
428 A Troy 21- 5 16 5 0.50
502 H Rochester Adams 16- 8 8 4 1.26
505 H White Lake Lakeland 9- 8 1 0 1.25
507 H Rochester Stoney Creek 9- 8 1 5 - -3.99
508 H Clarkston 18- 7 11 7 0.00
512 A Oxford 18- 5 13 6 0.00
514 A Davison 21- 5 16 12 0.00
516 A Utica Eisenhower 16- 5 11 5 0.00
522 H Grand Blanc 22- 3 19 7 0.00
527 H Oxford 25-10 15 7 0.00
531 A Hartland 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Birmingham Unified 4-13 -9 -1 - -3.67 507 H Rochester Stoney Creek 9- 8 1 5 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Haslett 17-15 2 0 + 2.06 531 A Hartland 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.25 |
Lake Orion Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Avondale | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Bedford | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Brighton B | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Byron Center | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Caledonia | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Canton | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Cass Tech | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Clarkston | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Comstock Park | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Cranbrook Kingswood | |
| Davison | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| DeWitt | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Dexter | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Divine Child | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Lansing | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Farmington | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Flint Powers Catholic | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Flushing | Lake Orion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grand Blanc | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grand Haven | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grand Ledge | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grand Rapids Christian | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grandville | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) | Lake Orion | |
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland | ||
| Haslett | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Henry Ford II | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Holland West Ottawa | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Holt | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Howell | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Hudsonville | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Jenison | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lake Fenton | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lakeview | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lapeer | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Livonia United | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lowell | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Marian | Marian | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mercy | |
| Midland | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mona Shores | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Novi | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 3 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Okemos | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Oxford | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Plymouth | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Portage Northern | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Reeths-Puffer | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rochester Adams | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rochester HS | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 6- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Rockford | |
| Royal Oak | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 7- 1 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Salem | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Saline | Saline | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Swartz Creek | Lake Orion | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Tecumseh | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Traverse City Central | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Troy | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Troy Athens | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| University Liggett | Lake Orion | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Warren Regina | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Waterford United | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| West Bloomfield | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Zeeland East | Lake Orion | Lake Orion |
PowerWise = 80
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 13-12 -10.43 18.76 -0.62 0.89 16.21
0 A Birmingham Uni (11- 9, 91.8) 4-13 -8.05 21.14 0.62 0.89 -6.64
0 A Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 16-12 -13.24 15.95 0.62 0.89 14.81
0 A South Lyon Uni (21- 0, 97.2) 8-15 -2.74 26.45 0.62 0.89 -1.89
0 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 17- 4 -15.46 13.73 0.62 0.89 12.82
0 H Bloomfield Hil (13-11, 91.2) 14-12 -8.65 20.54 -0.62 0.89 17.80
0 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 17-15 -9.33 19.87 0.62 0.89 18.30
0 A Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 21- 5 -13.89 15.30 0.62 0.89 14.23
0 H Rochester Adam (14- 4, 88.0) 16- 8 -11.89 17.31 -0.62 0.89 14.91
0 H White Lake Lak (11- 7, 92.0) 9- 8 -7.89 21.30 -0.62 0.89 18.48
0 H Rochester Ston ( 9- 8, 86.8) 9- 8 -13.13 16.06 -0.62 0.89 13.80
0 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 18- 7 -14.91 14.28 -0.62 0.89 12.21
0 A Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 18- 5 -15.55 13.65 0.62 0.89 12.75
0 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 21- 5 -21.68 7.51 0.62 0.89 7.26
0 A Utica Eisenhow ( 8- 5, 85.2) 16- 5 -14.73 14.47 0.62 0.89 13.48
0 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 22- 3 -15.46 13.73 -0.62 0.89 11.71
0 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 25-10 -15.55 13.65 -0.62 0.89 11.64
0 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 7- 8 -6.14 23.06 0.62 0.89 -4.93
------
196.94
|
winning pts = 210.3974 losing points = -13.4607
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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