Lake Nona
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 75.4582Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Trinity Catholic ( 1-16, 63.8) 23- 3 218 A Timber Creek (10- 6, 78.1) 6- 9 221 H Edgewater (10- 7, 74.7) 11-10 225 H Colonial ( 6- 7, 69.3) 18- 4 227 H Tohopekaliga ( 2-11, 65.8) 14- 0 307 H Cypress Creek Orlando ( 1- 9, 58.3) 17- 0 311 H Innovation ( 1-12, 61.3) 24- 2 313 H Melbourne ( 4-11, 74.9) 1- 0 325 H Boone ( 5-12, 74.0) 11- 9 328 H St Cloud (12- 3, 73.6) 9- 5 401 H Olympia ( 3- 9, 68.4) 21- 2 403 A Ocoee ( 1-11, 58.7) 23- 1 411 H Lake Buena Vista ( 5-11, 65.0) 22- 2 415 H Horizon (13- 4, 79.2) 10-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Trinity Catholic 23- 3 20 12 0.00
218 A Timber Creek 6- 9 -3 -3 0.10
221 H Edgewater 11-10 1 1 -0.24
225 H Colonial 18- 4 14 7 0.00
227 H Tohopekaliga 14- 0 14 10 0.00
307 H Cypress Creek Orlando 17- 0 17 18 0.00
311 H Innovation 24- 2 22 15 0.00
325 H Boone 11- 9 2 2 0.12
328 H St Cloud 9- 5 4 2 1.68
401 H Olympia 21- 2 19 7 0.00
403 A Ocoee 23- 1 22 16 0.00
411 H Lake Buena Vista 22- 2 20 11 0.00
415 H Horizon 10-17 -7 -3 -1.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Lake Nona Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | ||
| Alonso | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | ||
| Angeline Academy | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Apopka | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Lake Nona | |
| Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | Atlantic-Delray Beach | Atlantic-Delray Beach | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Barron Collier | Barron Collier | Barron Collier | ||
| Bartow | Bartow | Bartow | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | ||
| Boca Ciega | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | Bolles School | ||
| Boone | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | Buchholz | ||
| Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cape Coral | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Lake Nona | Lake Nona 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Clearwater Central Catho | Clearwater Central Catho | Clearwater Central Catho | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Colonial | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | Community School Naples | ||
| Cooper City | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Coral Glades | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Coral Reef | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Coral Shores | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Coral Springs | Coral Springs | Coral Springs | ||
| Countryside | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cypress Creek Wesley | |
| Cypress Lake | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Discovery | Discovery | Discovery | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Durant | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Dwyer | Dwyer | Dwyer | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | East Lake | ||
| East Ridge | East Ridge | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | East Ridge | |
| East River | Lake Nona | Lake Nona 8- 2 vs 3- 7 | ||
| Eastside | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Edgewater | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Edgewood | |
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School | ||
| Estero | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Evans | Lake Nona | Lake Nona 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| First Academy | First Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | First Academy | |
| Flagler Palm Coast | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Fleming Island | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher | ||
| Forest | Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest | |
| Fort Myers | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Freedom Orlando | Freedom Orlando | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gainesville | |
| Gateway | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | Golden Gate | Golden Gate | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hagerty | |
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | Holy Trinity Episcopal | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holy Trinity Episcopal | |
| Horizon | Horizon | Horizon | ||
| IMG Academy | IMG Academy | IMG Academy | ||
| IMG National | IMG National | IMG National | ||
| Immokalee | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Innovation | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Key West | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Keys Gate | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Brantley | |
| Lake Buena Vista | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | ||
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Howell | |
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | ||
| Lake Minneola | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Wales | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Lakeland | Lake Nona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Nona | |
| Lakeland Christian | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Largo | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Leesburg | Leesburg | Leesburg | ||
| Lely | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lourdes Academy | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lyman | Lake Nona | Lake Nona 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Maclay | Lake Nona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Nona | |
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Melbourne | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Menendez | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Merritt Island | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | ||
| Milton | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mitchell | |
| Naples | Naples | Naples | ||
| Navarre | Navarre | Navarre | ||
| Nease | Nease | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Nease | |
| Newberry | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | Niceville | ||
| North Bay Haven | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Northside Christian | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| NSU University School | NSU University School | NSU University School | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oak Hall | |
| Ocoee | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Okeechobee | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Olympia | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Olympic Heights | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Orangewood Christian | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Osceola | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Oviedo | |
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Park Vista | Park Vista | Park Vista | ||
| Parrish Community | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Pasco | Lake Nona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Nona | |
| Paxon Institute | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Pensacola | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | ||
| Providence School | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | ||
| River Ridge | River Ridge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | River Ridge | |
| Riverdale | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Riverside | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Rockledge | Rockledge | Rockledge | ||
| Sandalwood | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Santa Fe | Lake Nona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Nona | |
| Sarasota | Sarasota | Sarasota | ||
| Satellite | Satellite | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Satellite | |
| Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | ||
| Sebastian River | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Seminole | Seminole | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Seminole | |
| Seminole Ridge | Seminole Ridge | Seminole Ridge | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| South Lake | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| South Plantation | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| St Brendan | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| St Cloud | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| St Petersburg | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | St Stephens Episcopal | St Stephens Episcopal | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Sunlake | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Trinity Prep | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Venice | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vero Beach | |
| Viera | Viera | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Viera | |
| Village School | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Washington | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Wekiva | Wekiva | Wekiva | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| West Boca Raton | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| West Broward | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| West Florida | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Western | Western | Western | ||
| Westminster Christian | Westminster Christian | Westminster Christian | ||
| Wharton | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Windermere HS | |
| Windermere Prep | Lake Nona | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Winter Haven | Lake Nona | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Nona | |
| Winter Park | Winter Park | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | Winter Park | |
| Winter Springs | Winter Springs | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Winter Springs | |
| Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | ||
| Wolfson | Lake Nona | Lake Nona |
PowerWise = 110
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Trinity Cathol ( 1-16, 63.8) 23- 3 -36.13 5.97 -0.45 1.02 5.65
0 A Timber Creek (10- 6, 78.1) 6- 9 -21.79 20.31 0.45 1.02 -21.85
0 H Edgewater (10- 7, 74.7) 11-10 -25.23 16.87 -0.45 1.02 16.81
0 H Colonial ( 6- 7, 69.3) 18- 4 -30.56 11.54 -0.45 1.02 11.35
0 H Tohopekaliga ( 2-11, 65.8) 14- 0 -34.11 8.00 -0.45 1.02 7.72
0 H Cypress Creek ( 1- 9, 58.3) 17- 0 -41.60 1.00 -0.45 1.02 0.56
0 H Innovation ( 1-12, 61.3) 24- 2 -38.61 3.49 -0.45 1.02 3.11
0 H Melbourne ( 4-11, 74.9) 1- 0 -24.96 17.15 -0.45 1.02 17.09
0 H Boone ( 5-12, 74.0) 11- 9 -25.86 16.24 -0.45 1.02 16.16
0 H St Cloud (12- 3, 73.6) 9- 5 -26.31 15.79 -0.45 1.02 15.71
0 H Olympia ( 3- 9, 68.4) 21- 2 -31.47 10.64 -0.45 1.02 10.43
0 A Ocoee ( 1-11, 58.7) 23- 1 -41.17 1.00 0.45 1.02 1.49
0 H Lake Buena Vis ( 5-11, 65.0) 22- 2 -34.88 7.22 -0.45 1.02 6.93
0 H Horizon (13- 4, 79.2) 10-17 -20.65 21.45 -0.45 1.02 -21.61
------
69.55
|
winning pts = 113.0143 losing points = -43.4682
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------