---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Lafayette 1
  
Lafayette             
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 80.4792

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 10- 8 313 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 8- 9 318 A Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 5- 6 321 H Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 8-12 324 A Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 13-12 331 H Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 5-16 415 A Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 11- 3 417 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 0-18 421 H Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 14- 9 423 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 6- 7 425 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 7- 8 430 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 8-20 503 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 8- 4 509 A Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 11- 8 510 H Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 6-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Cooper                 10- 8       2    -1    +      3.35
   313 A Great Crossing          8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.31
   318 A Lexington Christian     5- 6      -1    -2           0.72
   321 H Woodford County         8-12      -4     1    --    -5.39
   324 A Frederick Douglass     13-12       1    -1           1.74
   331 H Paul Laurence Dunbar    5-16     -11    -3          -1.59
   415 A Tates Creek            11- 3       8     4           1.27
   417 A Sayre School            0-18     -18   -10           0.00
   421 H Scott County           14- 9       5     5           0.00
   423 A Lexington Catholic      6- 7      -1    -3           1.59
   425 A Bryan Station           7- 8      -1     0          -1.05
   430 A Henry Clay              8-20     -12    -7           0.00
   503 H Bryan Station           8- 4       4     2    +      2.31
   509 A Woodford County        11- 8       3     0    +      3.26
   510 H Paul Laurence Dunbar    6-14      -8    -3          -1.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Great Crossing          8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.31
   321 H Woodford County         8-12      -4     1    --    -5.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Cooper                 10- 8       2    -1    +      3.35
   503 H Bryan Station           8- 4       4     2    +      2.31
   509 A Woodford County        11- 8       3     0    +      3.26

Lafayette Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Assumption Assumption insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Assumption
Atherton Atherton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Atherton
Ballard Ballard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ballard
Bowling Green Bowling Green   Bowling Green
Bryan Station Lafayette insuffient: ( 4- 6)( 3- 6) Lafayette
Central Hardin Lafayette insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lafayette
Christian Academy Christian Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christian Academy
Collins Collins insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 6- 1) Collins
Cooper Lafayette Lafayette  
Dixie Heights Lafayette insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Lafayette
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern Eastern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fern Creek Fern Creek   Fern Creek
Frederick Douglass Lafayette Lafayette  
Great Crossing Great Crossing Great Crossing  
Greenwood Lafayette   Lafayette
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Male Lafayette   Lafayette
Mercy Academy Mercy Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy Academy
North Oldham North Oldham tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Oldham
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Oldham County Oldham County tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Oldham County
Owensboro Lafayette   Lafayette
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar  
Presentation Academy Presentation Academy   Presentation Academy
Ryle Lafayette insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Lafayette
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sayre School Sayre School Sayre School  
Scott County Lafayette Lafayette  
Shelby County Lafayette Lafayette   4- 1 vs 1- 3
South Oldham South Oldham   South Oldham
South Warren Lafayette insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Lafayette
St Henry St Henry   St Henry
Tates Creek Lafayette Lafayette  
Woodford County Lafayette insuffient: ( 2- 7)( 3- 5) Lafayette

PowerWise = 14


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Cooper          ( 6- 8, 82.7)    10- 8      -17.24      11.05      -0.82         0.91             9.28
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 3-11, 76.3)     8- 9      -23.56       4.74       0.82         0.91           -20.63
   0 A Lexington Chri  (12- 3, 81.4)     5- 6      -18.52       9.77       0.82         0.91           -16.06
   0 H Woodford Count  ( 5- 9, 79.9)     8-12      -19.99       8.31      -0.82         0.91           -18.88
   0 A Frederick Doug  ( 8- 9, 80.4)    13-12      -19.50       8.79       0.82         0.91             8.72
   0 H Paul Laurence   (14- 5, 84.7)     5-16      -15.19      13.10      -0.82         0.91           -14.53
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 1-12, 75.9)    11- 3      -23.98       4.32       0.82         0.91             4.67
   0 A Sayre School    (17- 5, 89.7)     0-18      -10.19      18.11       0.82         0.91            -8.50
   0 H Scott County    ( 1-10, 76.0)    14- 9      -23.93       4.37      -0.82         0.91             3.22
   0 A Lexington Cath  (10- 9, 82.3)     6- 7      -17.65      10.65       0.82         0.91           -15.27
   0 A Bryan Station   ( 7-10, 79.6)     7- 8      -20.29       8.01       0.82         0.91           -17.66
   0 A Henry Clay      (14- 6, 86.8)     8-20      -13.07      15.23       0.82         0.91           -11.11
   0 H Bryan Station   ( 7-10, 79.6)     8- 4      -20.29       8.01      -0.82         0.91             6.52
   0 A Woodford Count  ( 5- 9, 79.9)    11- 8      -19.99       8.31       0.82         0.91             8.28
   0 H Paul Laurence   (14- 5, 84.7)     6-14      -15.19      13.10      -0.82         0.91           -14.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -96.48

winning pts = 40.6874 losing points = -137.1665

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------