Key School
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 74.2805Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 H Rockbridge Academy ( 5- 5, 70.9) 17- 6 319 H FCA (12- 4, 77.9) 12-15 403 H Beth TFiloh ( 6- 4, 75.9) 5-11 408 A Annapolis Area Christi ( 9- 2, 79.8) 4-15 422 H Friends School ( 2- 8, 72.3) 12-10 424 A Catholic High Baltimor ( 7- 3, 78.0) 9-15 429 A Chapelgate Christian ( 6- 6, 73.1) 16-13 502 H Chapelgate Christian ( 6- 6, 73.1) 12- 9 507 A Annapolis Area Christi ( 9- 2, 79.8) 6-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 H Rockbridge Academy 17- 6 11 4 1.17
319 H FCA 12-15 -3 -3 0.15
403 H Beth TFiloh 5-11 -6 -1 - -3.78
408 A Annapolis Area Christi 4-15 -11 -6 0.00
422 H Friends School 12-10 2 2 -0.44
424 A Catholic High Baltimor 9-15 -6 -4 -0.80
429 A Chapelgate Christian 16-13 3 1 + 2.25
502 H Chapelgate Christian 12- 9 3 2 1.35
507 A Annapolis Area Christi 6-18 -12 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Beth TFiloh 5-11 -6 -1 - -3.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Chapelgate Christian 16-13 3 1 + 2.25 |
Key School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Key School | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Key School | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Key School | Key School 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Key School | Key School | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Key School | Key School | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Field School | Field School | ||
| Friends School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Gunston Day School | |
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indian Creek | |
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Key School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Key School | |
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Park School | |
| Rockbridge Academy | Key School | Key School | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salisbury School | |
| Sandy Spring Friends | Key School | Key School 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| School Without Walls | School Without Walls | School Without Walls | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Key School | Key School 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Key School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Key School | |
| Washington Latin | Key School | Key School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Key School | Key School | ||
| Aberdeen | Key School | Key School | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Key School | Key School | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Key School | Key School | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Key School | Key School | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Key School | Key School | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Key School | Key School | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Key School | Key School | ||
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Key School | Key School | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Key School | Key School | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Key School | Key School | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Key School | Key School | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Key School | Key School | ||
| DuVal | Key School | Key School | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eastern Technical | |
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Key School | Key School | ||
| Einstein | Key School | Key School | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Key School | Key School | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Key School | Key School | ||
| Gaithersburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Key School | Key School | ||
| Guilford Park | Key School | Key School | ||
| Gwynn Park | Key School | Key School | ||
| Hammond | Key School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Key School | |
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Key School | Key School | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Key School | Key School | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Key School | Key School | ||
| Lansdowne | Key School | Key School | ||
| Laurel | Key School | Key School | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Key School | Key School | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Key School | Key School | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Key School | Key School | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Key School | Key School | ||
| North East Cecil | Key School | Key School | ||
| North Hagerstown | Key School | Key School | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast | Northeast | Northeast | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Key School | Key School | ||
| Northwood | Key School | Key School | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Key School | Key School | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Key School | Key School | ||
| Owings Mills | Key School | Key School | ||
| Oxon Hill | Key School | Key School | ||
| Paint Branch | Key School | Key School | ||
| Parkdale | Key School | Key School | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Key School | Key School | ||
| Patapsco | Key School | Key School | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Key School | Key School | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Key School | Key School | ||
| Seneca Valley | Key School | Key School | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Key School | Key School | ||
| St Charles | Key School | Key School | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Key School | Key School | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Key School | Key School | ||
| Western Baltimore | Key School | Key School | ||
| Western STES | Key School | Key School | ||
| Westlake | Key School | Key School | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Key School | Key School | ||
| Wilde Lake | Key School | Key School | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Key School | Key School | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 73
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Rockbridge Aca ( 5- 5, 70.9) 17- 6 -29.01 8.91 -0.45 1.33 11.25
0 H FCA (12- 4, 77.9) 12-15 -22.02 15.90 -0.45 1.33 -29.87
0 H Beth TFiloh ( 6- 4, 75.9) 5-11 -23.95 13.97 -0.45 1.33 -32.44
0 A Annapolis Area ( 9- 2, 79.8) 4-15 -20.08 17.84 0.45 1.33 -26.10
0 H Friends School ( 2- 8, 72.3) 12-10 -27.61 10.31 -0.45 1.33 13.11
0 A Catholic High ( 7- 3, 78.0) 9-15 -21.87 16.05 0.45 1.33 -28.47
0 A Chapelgate Chr ( 6- 6, 73.1) 16-13 -26.82 11.10 0.45 1.33 15.35
0 H Chapelgate Chr ( 6- 6, 73.1) 12- 9 -26.82 11.10 -0.45 1.33 14.16
0 A Annapolis Area ( 9- 2, 79.8) 6-18 -20.08 17.84 0.45 1.33 -26.10
------
-89.09
|
winning pts = 53.8784 losing points = -142.9733
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------