Kettle Moraine
W-L: (19- 4) PR = 95.8343Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 15- 6 407 H Brookfield (15- 3, 93.5) 14-13 408 H Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 11-12 410 A Arrowhead (11- 5, 94.5) 8- 4 417 H Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 19- 5 419 H Whitefish Bay (15- 4, 93.6) 15- 7 422 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 9- 7 424 A Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 11- 7 429 H Janesville ( 4-11, 84.0) 18- 1 501 H Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 13- 4 506 H Arrowhead (11- 5, 94.5) 11- 9 508 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 18- 3 516 H Hudson (11- 0, 99.9) 4-10 517 A De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 15- 5 517 A Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 13-12 519 A Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 10- 7 520 H University Milwaukee (16- 2, 96.8) 10-11 522 H Middleton ( 5- 8, 86.1) 21- 7 529 H Homestead ( 2-12, 83.6) 19- 3 603 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 10- 8 605 H Arrowhead (11- 5, 94.5) 9- 6 607 A University Milwaukee (16- 2, 96.8) 10- 7 614 N Hudson (11- 0, 99.9) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
403 A Oconomowoc 15- 6 9 4 0.72
407 H Brookfield 14-13 1 3 -1.90
408 H Mukwonago 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.57
410 A Arrowhead 8- 4 4 1 + 3.26
417 H Waukesha 19- 5 14 9 0.00
419 H Whitefish Bay 15- 7 8 3 + 2.13
422 H Muskego 9- 7 2 4 - -2.50
424 A Mukwonago 11- 7 4 2 1.64
429 H Janesville 18- 1 17 12 0.00
501 H Oconomowoc 13- 4 9 5 0.00
506 H Arrowhead 11- 9 2 2 0.05
508 A Waukesha 18- 3 15 7 0.00
516 H Hudson 4-10 -6 -3 -1.54
517 A De Pere 15- 5 10 9 0.00
517 A Notre Dame 13-12 1 4 - -2.61
519 A Muskego 10- 7 3 3 -0.29
520 H University Milwaukee 10-11 -1 0 -0.61
522 H Middleton 21- 7 14 10 0.00
529 H Homestead 19- 3 16 13 0.00
603 H Muskego 10- 8 2 4 - -2.50
605 H Arrowhead 9- 6 3 2 1.05
607 A University Milwaukee 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 4.60
614 N Hudson 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Mukwonago 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.57 422 H Muskego 9- 7 2 4 - -2.50 517 A Notre Dame 13-12 1 4 - -2.61 603 H Muskego 10- 8 2 4 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 607 A University Milwaukee 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 4.60 410 A Arrowhead 8- 4 4 1 + 3.26 419 H Whitefish Bay 15- 7 8 3 + 2.13 614 N Hudson 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.07 |
Kettle Moraine Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Arrowhead | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Bay Port | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Brookfield | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Cedarburg | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Central Wisconsin | Kettle Moraine | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Kettle Moraine | |
| De Pere | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| DeForest | Kettle Moraine | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Kettle Moraine | |
| Divine Savior | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 7- 2 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Franklin | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Hamilton | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Homestead | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson | ||
| Janesville | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Kenosha | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 6- 2 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Kimberly | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Madison | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 7- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Middleton | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Mukwonago | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Muskego | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Neenah | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Oak Creek | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Oconomowoc | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Oregon | Kettle Moraine | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Kettle Moraine | |
| Pulaski | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Sun Prairie | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Superior | Kettle Moraine | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kettle Moraine | |
| University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | University Milwaukee | |
| Verona | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Waukesha | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Waunakee | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Wauwatosa | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 4- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| West Bend | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Whitefish Bay | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine |
PowerWise = 33
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 15- 6 -8.95 11.96 0.60 0.68 8.59
0 H Brookfield (15- 3, 93.5) 14-13 -6.36 14.54 -0.60 0.68 9.53
0 H Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 11-12 -7.03 13.87 -0.60 0.68 -5.22
0 A Arrowhead (11- 5, 94.5) 8- 4 -5.41 15.49 0.60 0.68 11.00
0 H Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 19- 5 -12.12 8.78 -0.60 0.68 5.59
0 H Whitefish Bay (15- 4, 93.6) 15- 7 -6.33 14.57 -0.60 0.68 9.55
0 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 9- 7 -7.96 12.94 -0.60 0.68 8.44
0 A Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 11- 7 -7.03 13.87 0.60 0.68 9.89
0 H Janesville ( 4-11, 84.0) 18- 1 -15.88 5.02 -0.60 0.68 3.02
0 H Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 13- 4 -8.95 11.96 -0.60 0.68 7.76
0 H Arrowhead (11- 5, 94.5) 11- 9 -5.41 15.49 -0.60 0.68 10.17
0 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 18- 3 -12.12 8.78 0.60 0.68 6.41
0 H Hudson (11- 0, 99.9) 4-10 -0.00 20.90 -0.60 0.68 -0.41
0 A De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 15- 5 -13.64 7.26 0.60 0.68 5.37
0 A Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 13-12 -8.28 12.62 0.60 0.68 9.04
0 A Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 10- 7 -7.96 12.94 0.60 0.68 9.26
0 H University Mil (16- 2, 96.8) 10-11 -3.07 17.83 -0.60 0.68 -2.51
0 H Middleton ( 5- 8, 86.1) 21- 7 -13.76 7.14 -0.60 0.68 4.47
0 H Homestead ( 2-12, 83.6) 19- 3 -16.32 4.58 -0.60 0.68 2.72
0 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 10- 8 -7.96 12.94 -0.60 0.68 8.44
0 H Arrowhead (11- 5, 94.5) 9- 6 -5.41 15.49 -0.60 0.68 10.17
0 A University Mil (16- 2, 96.8) 10- 7 -3.07 17.83 0.60 0.68 12.60
0 N Hudson (11- 0, 99.9) 9-10 -0.00 20.90 -0.00 0.68 -0.00
------
143.88
|
winning pts = 152.0233 losing points = -8.1470
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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