---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Kalamazoo Central 1
  
Kalamazoo Central     
W-L: ( 1- 9) PR = 76.2373

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Jenison ( 2-16, 77.2) 9-11 325 A Holland West Ottawa ( 3-14, 79.4) 1-12 409 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 4-15 414 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 0-14 421 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 3-10 502 A Zeeland East ( 5-14, 82.3) 4-16 507 H Holland West Ottawa ( 3-14, 79.4) 8- 9 512 A Jenison ( 2-16, 77.2) 12-11 514 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 3-17 516 H Forest Hills Northern/ ( 6-15, 88.8) 2-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Jenison                 9-11      -2     0          -1.68
   325 A Holland West Ottawa     1-12     -11    -4          -1.20
   409 A Howell                  4-15     -11    -9           0.00
   414 H Lansing Catholic-Waver  0-14     -14    -9           0.00
   421 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie     3-10      -7    -4          -1.23
   502 A Zeeland East            4-16     -12    -7           0.00
   507 H Holland West Ottawa     8- 9      -1    -3           1.56
   512 A Jenison                12-11       1    -2    +      2.56
   514 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie     3-17     -14    -5           0.00
   516 H Forest Hills Northern/  2-14     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Jenison                12-11       1    -2    +      2.56

Kalamazoo Central Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Kalamazoo Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kalamazoo Central
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cass Tech Kalamazoo Central   Kalamazoo Central
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley   Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Davison   Davison
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fenton-Linden Co-Op
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing Flushing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flushing
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea  
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven Grand Haven   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   4- 1 vs 1- 5
Grandville Grandville Grandville   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Henry Ford II Kalamazoo Central   Kalamazoo Central
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa  
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Kalamazoo Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kalamazoo Central
Holt Holt Holt   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Jenison Jenison tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Jenison
Lake Fenton Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lakeview Kalamazoo Central   Kalamazoo Central
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly  
Lapeer Kalamazoo Central   Kalamazoo Central
Livonia United Livonia United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Livonia United
Lowell Lowell Lowell   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Marian Marian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Midland Midland insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Northview Northview Northview   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Northville Northville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Plymouth Plymouth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Royal Oak Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salem Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United   South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena St Catherine of Siena   St Catherine of Siena
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Kalamazoo Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kalamazoo Central
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield   West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Zeeland East Zeeland East  

PowerWise = 7


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jenison         ( 2-16, 77.2)     9-11      -22.72       6.47      -0.62         1.61           -37.54
   0 A Holland West O  ( 3-14, 79.4)     1-12      -20.48       8.71       0.62         1.61           -31.94
   0 A Howell          ( 9-11, 84.2)     4-15      -15.68      13.51       0.62         1.61           -24.21
   0 H Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)     0-14      -14.33      14.86      -0.62         1.61           -24.05
   0 H St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)     3-10      -19.27       9.92      -0.62         1.61           -31.99
   0 A Zeeland East    ( 5-14, 82.3)     4-16      -17.60      11.60       0.62         1.61           -27.30
   0 H Holland West O  ( 3-14, 79.4)     8- 9      -20.48       8.71      -0.62         1.61           -33.94
   0 A Jenison         ( 2-16, 77.2)    12-11      -22.72       6.47       0.62         1.61            11.40
   0 A St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)     3-17      -19.27       9.92       0.62         1.61           -29.99
   0 H Forest Hills N  ( 6-15, 88.8)     2-14      -11.06      18.13      -0.62         1.61           -18.78
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -248.35

winning pts = 11.4025 losing points = -259.7480

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------