---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Jordan 1
  
Jordan                
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 76.9643

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 3-18 311 H Sanderson ( 8- 9, 79.2) 3-10 312 H Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 5- 6 317 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 0-18 319 H Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 11- 6 409 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 2-18 414 A Northwood ( 3-10, 76.1) 11- 7 416 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 2-16 421 A Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 12- 5 428 A East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 0-22 430 H Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 1-21 502 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 6- 9 505 H Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 4-16 507 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 2-17 508 A Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 1-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Durham Academy          3-18     -15    -4          -0.71
   311 H Sanderson               3-10      -7    -2    -     -3.05
   312 H Northwood               5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.21
   317 A Chapel Hill             0-18     -18   -21           0.00
   319 H Riverside Durham       11- 6       5     3    +      2.40
   409 A Seaforth                2-18     -16    -8           0.00
   414 A Northwood              11- 7       4     1    +      3.40
   416 A Chapel Hill             2-16     -14   -21           0.00
   421 A Riverside Durham       12- 5       7     2    +      3.01
   428 A East Chapel Hill        0-22     -22   -17           0.00
   430 H Seaforth                1-21     -20    -7           0.00
   502 A Carrboro                6- 9      -3    -3          -0.09
   505 H Carrboro                4-16     -12    -2    -     -2.70
   507 H East Chapel Hill        2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   508 A Millbrook               1-12     -11    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Sanderson               3-10      -7    -2    -     -3.05
   312 H Northwood               5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.21
   505 H Carrboro                4-16     -12    -2    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Riverside Durham       11- 6       5     3    +      2.40
   414 A Northwood              11- 7       4     1    +      3.40
   421 A Riverside Durham       12- 5       7     2    +      3.01

Jordan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive Athens Drive   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton Broughton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Butler Jordan   Jordan
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Cary Academy
Cary HS Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Cleveland Jordan   Jordan
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   Davidson Day School
Davie Jordan   Jordan
DH Conley Jordan   Jordan
Durham Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy  
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth Jordan   Jordan
Enloe Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Glenn Jordan   Jordan
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Jordan   Jordan
Heritage Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Jordan   Jordan
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Independence Jordan   Jordan
Jack Britt Jordan   Jordan
Jacksonville Jordan   Jordan
JH Rose JH Rose insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) JH Rose
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Jordan   Jordan
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook Millbrook  
Mooresville Jordan   Jordan
Mount Tabor Jordan   Jordan
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Jordan   Jordan
North Davidson Jordan   Jordan
North Lincoln Jordan   Jordan
Northern Guilford Jordan   Jordan
Northside Jordan   Jordan
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Jordan tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Jordan
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Jordan   Jordan
Patton Jordan   Jordan
Pine Forest Jordan   Jordan
Pine Lake Prep Jordan   Jordan
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Jordan   Jordan
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Jordan   Jordan
Ragsdale Jordan   Jordan
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Riverside Durham Jordan Jordan  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Jordan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jordan
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan   Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson Sanderson  
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell   South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Jordan   Jordan
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) St Marys
St Stephens Jordan   Jordan
Sun Valley Jordan   Jordan
Swansboro Swansboro insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Swansboro
TC Roberson Jordan   Jordan
Terry Sanford Jordan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Jordan
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wakefield
Watauga Jordan   Jordan
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick Jordan   Jordan
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Jordan   Jordan
White Oak Jordan   Jordan
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 44


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Durham Academy  ( 6- 9, 81.6)     3-18      -18.34      21.46      -0.31         1.12           -20.97
   0 H Sanderson       ( 8- 9, 79.2)     3-10      -20.68      19.13      -0.31         1.12           -23.59
   0 H Northwood       ( 3-10, 76.1)     5- 6      -23.84      15.96      -0.31         1.12           -27.15
   0 A Chapel Hill     (21- 1, 97.3)     0-18       -2.63      37.18       0.31         1.12            -2.61
   0 H Riverside Durh  ( 1-16, 74.7)    11- 6      -25.23      14.58      -0.31         1.12            16.05
   0 A Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)     2-18      -15.13      24.67       0.31         1.12           -16.67
   0 A Northwood       ( 3-10, 76.1)    11- 7      -23.84      15.96       0.31         1.12            18.29
   0 A Chapel Hill     (21- 1, 97.3)     2-16       -2.63      37.18       0.31         1.12            -2.61
   0 A Riverside Durh  ( 1-16, 74.7)    12- 5      -25.23      14.58       0.31         1.12            16.73
   0 A East Chapel Hi  (22- 4, 94.1)     0-22       -5.77      34.03       0.31         1.12            -6.15
   0 H Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)     1-21      -15.13      24.67      -0.31         1.12           -17.36
   0 A Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)     6- 9      -20.33      19.47       0.31         1.12           -22.52
   0 H Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)     4-16      -20.33      19.47      -0.31         1.12           -23.21
   0 H East Chapel Hi  (22- 4, 94.1)     2-17       -5.77      34.03      -0.31         1.12            -6.83
   0 A Millbrook       (14-10, 83.1)     1-12      -16.81      23.00       0.31         1.12           -18.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -137.15

winning pts = 51.0732 losing points = -188.2216

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------