---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Joel Barlow 1
  
Joel Barlow           
W-L: ( 9-10) PR = 82.3281

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10- 6 408 H New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 1- 8 410 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 8- 7 412 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 13- 9 415 A Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 17- 1 417 A Fairfield Warde (13- 6, 85.0) 7-15 422 A Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 1- 4 424 A Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 8-12 426 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 7- 9 429 H New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 15- 2 503 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 6- 7 505 A Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 8-15 510 H Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 21- 2 512 H Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 7-14 514 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 9- 3 515 A Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 17- 3 520 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 4-14 603 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 6- 4 606 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 4-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Brien McMahon          10- 6       4     1    +      3.49
   408 H New Fairfield           1- 8      -7    -8           0.00
   410 H Pomperaug               8- 7       1     3          -1.53
   412 H Glastonbury            13- 9       4     2    +      2.37
   415 A Notre Dame Fairfield   17- 1      16    13           0.00
   417 A Fairfield Warde         7-15      -8    -3          -1.57
   422 A Weston                  1- 4      -3    -2          -0.95
   424 A Brookfield              8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.20
   426 H Guilford                7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.15
   429 H New Milford            15- 2      13     9           0.00
   503 A Southington             6- 7      -1     0          -0.87
   505 A Newtown                 8-15      -7    -6           0.00
   510 H Stratford-Bunnell      21- 2      19    12           0.00
   512 H Masuk                   7-14      -7    -6           0.00
   514 H Bethel                  9- 3       6     2    +      3.08
   515 A Immaculate Heart       17- 3      14    15           0.00
   520 A Masuk                   4-14     -10    -7           0.00
   603 H Brookfield              6- 4       2     1           1.34
   606 A New Fairfield           4-15     -11   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Brookfield              8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.20
   426 H Guilford                7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Brien McMahon          10- 6       4     1    +      3.49
   412 H Glastonbury            13- 9       4     2    +      2.37
   514 H Bethel                  9- 3       6     2    +      3.08

Joel Barlow Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Avon HS Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Joel Barlow
Bacon/East Hampton Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Berlin Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Joel Barlow
Bethel Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Branford
Brien McMahon Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Bristol Central Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Bristol Eastern Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Joel Barlow
Brookfield Brookfield tied - ( 6- 4) ( 6- 4) Brookfield
Canton Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Conard Conard Conard   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Cromwell Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Danbury Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Joel Barlow
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   3- 0 vs 1- 2
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Enfield Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
EO Smith Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Fitch Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Foran Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Joel Barlow
Glastonbury Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Granby Memorial Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Griswold-Norwich Tech Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hall
Hamden Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Joel Barlow
Housatonic Regional Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Immaculate Heart Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Jonathan Law Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Killingly Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Lakeview United Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Lewis Mills Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Lyman Hall Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Masuk Masuk Masuk  
Mercy Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Middletown-Coginchaug Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Montville Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Morgan School Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New London/St Bernards Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
New Milford Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Newington Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
North Haven Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Northwest Catholic Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Norwalk Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Norwich Free Academy Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Notre Dame Fairfield Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Old Lyme Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Old Saybrook Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Pomperaug Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
RHAM Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Rockville Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Rocky Hill Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Sacred Heart Academy Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Sheehan Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Shelton Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Joel Barlow
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Somers Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
South Windsor Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Joel Barlow
Southington Southington Southington  
St Joseph Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Joel Barlow
St Paul Catholic Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Stamford Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Joel Barlow
Staples Staples Staples   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Stonington Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Stratford-Bunnell Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Suffield HS Suffield HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Trumbull Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Joel Barlow
Valley Regional Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Waterford Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Watertown Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
West Haven Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Westhill Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Joel Barlow
Weston Weston Weston  
Wethersfield Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Wheeler Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Wolcott Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Woodstock Academy Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow

PowerWise = 70


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Brien McMahon   ( 8- 9, 81.1)    10- 6      -18.81      16.00       0.73         0.92            15.41
   0 H New Fairfield   (21- 1, 91.1)     1- 8       -8.80      26.01      -0.73         0.92            -8.77
   0 H Pomperaug       ( 5-12, 80.5)     8- 7      -19.38      15.43      -0.73         0.92            13.55
   0 H Glastonbury     ( 9- 9, 81.4)    13- 9      -18.48      16.33      -0.73         0.92            14.38
   0 A Notre Dame Fai  ( 2-14, 68.6)    17- 1      -31.25       3.55       0.73         0.92             3.94
   0 A Fairfield Ward  (13- 6, 85.0)     7-15      -14.87      19.94       0.73         0.92           -13.03
   0 A Weston          (12- 8, 83.7)     1- 4      -16.24      18.57       0.73         0.92           -14.30
   0 A Brookfield      (11- 7, 82.4)     8-12      -17.50      17.31       0.73         0.92           -15.46
   0 H Guilford        ( 8- 9, 82.9)     7- 9      -17.00      17.81      -0.73         0.92           -16.33
   0 H New Milford     ( 3-13, 74.1)    15- 2      -25.81       9.00      -0.73         0.92             7.62
   0 A Southington     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     6- 7      -18.17      16.64       0.73         0.92           -16.07
   0 A Newtown         (13- 8, 87.9)     8-15      -12.01      22.80       0.73         0.92           -10.40
   0 H Stratford-Bunn  ( 3-13, 70.9)    21- 2      -29.05       5.76      -0.73         0.92             4.64
   0 H Masuk           (16- 5, 89.0)     7-14      -10.87      23.94      -0.73         0.92           -10.68
   0 H Bethel          ( 9- 9, 81.1)     9- 3      -18.77      16.04      -0.73         0.92            14.11
   0 A Immaculate Hea  ( 0-16, 66.9)    17- 3      -33.03       1.78       0.73         0.92             2.31
   0 A Masuk           (16- 5, 89.0)     4-14      -10.87      23.94       0.73         0.92            -9.34
   0 H Brookfield      (11- 7, 82.4)     6- 4      -17.50      17.31      -0.73         0.92            15.28
   0 A New Fairfield   (21- 1, 91.1)     4-15       -8.80      26.01       0.73         0.92            -7.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -30.58

winning pts = 91.2331 losing points = -121.8085

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------