---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls JH Rose 1
  
JH Rose               
W-L: (16- 3) PR = 87.4723

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H DH Conley ( 0- 4, 71.0) 23- 1 228 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 16-10 303 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 12- 9 310 H Wakefield (12- 9, 84.3) 16- 6 312 A First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 19- 8 325 H Hunt ( 5-10, 73.6) 19- 4 331 H Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 16- 2 402 A Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 21- 2 407 H Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 17- 1 409 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 14-15 415 H First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 14- 4 424 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 4-10 428 A Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 22- 3 430 H Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 22- 5 505 A Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 13- 2 507 H New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 14- 8 520 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 22- 3 523 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 9- 7 528 N Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 11-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H DH Conley              23- 1      22    17           0.00
   228 H Croatan                16-10       6     1    ++     4.38
   303 H Swansboro              12- 9       3     2           0.62
   310 H Wakefield              16- 6      10     4           1.48
   312 A First Flight           19- 8      11     8           0.00
   325 H Hunt                   19- 4      15    14           0.00
   331 H Havelock               16- 2      14    15           0.00
   402 A Northside              21- 2      19    12           0.00
   407 H Jacksonville           17- 1      16    14           0.00
   409 A New Bern               14-15      -1     1          -1.87
   415 H First Flight           14- 4      10     8           0.00
   424 H Swansboro               4-10      -6     2    ---   -7.38
   428 A Havelock               22- 3      19    15           0.00
   430 H Northside              22- 5      17    12           0.00
   505 A Jacksonville           13- 2      11    13           0.00
   507 H New Bern               14- 8       6     1    +      3.52
   520 A Carrboro               22- 3      19     8           0.00
   523 H Swansboro               9- 7       2     2          -0.38
   528 N Union Pines            11-14      -3    -3          -0.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Swansboro               4-10      -6     2    ---   -7.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Croatan                16-10       6     1    ++     4.38
   507 H New Bern               14- 8       6     1    +      3.52

JH Rose Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell JH Rose   JH Rose
Arendell Parrott Academy JH Rose insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) JH Rose
Asheville HS JH Rose   JH Rose
Asheville School JH Rose   JH Rose
Ashley JH Rose JH Rose   3- 1 vs 1- 1
Athens Drive JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Atkins JH Rose   JH Rose
Ballantyne Ridge JH Rose   JH Rose
Bishop McGuinness JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) JH Rose
Broughton JH Rose   JH Rose
Butler JH Rose   JH Rose
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy JH Rose JH Rose   2- 1 vs 0- 1
Cape Fear HS JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro JH Rose JH Rose  
Cary Academy JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Cary HS JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian JH Rose   JH Rose
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King JH Rose   JH Rose
Clayton JH Rose JH Rose   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Cleveland JH Rose   JH Rose
Community School Davidso JH Rose   JH Rose
Corinth Holders JH Rose   JH Rose
Croatan JH Rose JH Rose  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School JH Rose   JH Rose
Davie JH Rose   JH Rose
DH Conley JH Rose JH Rose  
Durham Academy JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth JH Rose   JH Rose
Enloe JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike JH Rose   JH Rose
First Flight JH Rose JH Rose  
Forsyth CDS JH Rose   JH Rose
Fuquay-Varina JH Rose JH Rose   3- 2 vs 0- 2
Garner JH Rose   JH Rose
Glenn JH Rose   JH Rose
Green Hope JH Rose   JH Rose
Green Level JH Rose   JH Rose
Greensboro Day School JH Rose   JH Rose
Grimsley JH Rose   JH Rose
Havelock JH Rose JH Rose  
Heritage JH Rose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) JH Rose
Hickory JH Rose   JH Rose
High Point Central JH Rose   JH Rose
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell JH Rose   JH Rose
Hough JH Rose   JH Rose
Hunt JH Rose JH Rose  
Independence JH Rose   JH Rose
Jack Britt JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) JH Rose
Jacksonville JH Rose JH Rose  
Jordan JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Lake Norman Charter JH Rose   JH Rose
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney JH Rose insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) JH Rose
Leesville Road JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Lincoln Charter JH Rose   JH Rose
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek JH Rose   JH Rose
Millbrook JH Rose JH Rose   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Mooresville JH Rose   JH Rose
Mount Tabor JH Rose   JH Rose
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Myers Park
New Bern JH Rose insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) JH Rose
New Hanover New Hanover tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) New Hanover
North Brunswick JH Rose JH Rose   3- 0 vs 1- 1
North Davidson JH Rose   JH Rose
North Lincoln JH Rose   JH Rose
Northern Guilford JH Rose   JH Rose
Northside JH Rose JH Rose  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood JH Rose JH Rose   3- 1 vs 0- 2
Page JH Rose   JH Rose
Panther Creek JH Rose   JH Rose
Parkwood JH Rose   JH Rose
Patton JH Rose   JH Rose
Pine Forest JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Pine Lake Prep JH Rose   JH Rose
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge JH Rose   JH Rose
Providence JH Rose   JH Rose
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee JH Rose   JH Rose
Ragsdale JH Rose   JH Rose
Ravenscroft School JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Riverside Durham JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
RJ Reynolds JH Rose   JH Rose
Rolesville JH Rose JH Rose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ronald Reagan JH Rose   JH Rose
Sanderson JH Rose   JH Rose
Seaforth JH Rose JH Rose   3- 1 vs 1- 1
South Brunswick JH Rose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) JH Rose
South Iredell JH Rose   JH Rose
South Mecklenburg JH Rose   JH Rose
Southeast Guilford JH Rose   JH Rose
Southlake Christian JH Rose   JH Rose
Southwest Guilford JH Rose   JH Rose
St Davids School JH Rose   JH Rose
St Marys JH Rose   JH Rose
St Stephens JH Rose   JH Rose
Sun Valley JH Rose   JH Rose
Swansboro JH Rose JH Rose  
TC Roberson JH Rose   JH Rose
Terry Sanford JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) JH Rose
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Wake Forest JH Rose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) JH Rose
Wakefield JH Rose JH Rose  
Watauga JH Rose   JH Rose
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick JH Rose   JH Rose
West Forsyth JH Rose   JH Rose
West Stokes JH Rose   JH Rose
White Oak JH Rose JH Rose   6- 2 vs 0- 5
Willow Spring JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose

PowerWise = 103


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H DH Conley       ( 0- 4, 71.0)    23- 1      -28.91      10.90      -0.31         0.89             9.40
   0 H Croatan         (13- 9, 87.2)    16-10      -12.74      27.07      -0.31         0.89            23.75
   0 H Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)    12- 9      -14.51      25.30      -0.31         0.89            22.19
   0 H Wakefield       (12- 9, 84.3)    16- 6      -15.65      24.16      -0.31         0.89            21.17
   0 A First Flight    ( 7- 7, 79.4)    19- 8      -20.47      19.33       0.31         0.89            17.43
   0 H Hunt            ( 5-10, 73.6)    19- 4      -26.33      13.47      -0.31         0.89            11.69
   0 H Havelock        ( 2-10, 72.7)    16- 2      -27.24      12.57      -0.31         0.89            10.89
   0 A Northside       ( 7-12, 75.5)    21- 2      -24.38      15.43       0.31         0.89            13.96
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 2-12, 74.0)    17- 1      -25.91      13.90      -0.31         0.89            12.07
   0 A New Bern        (17- 4, 86.3)    14-15      -13.60      26.20       0.31         0.89           -11.80
   0 H First Flight    ( 7- 7, 79.4)    14- 4      -20.47      19.33      -0.31         0.89            16.89
   0 H Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)     4-10      -14.51      25.30      -0.31         0.89           -13.15
   0 A Havelock        ( 2-10, 72.7)    22- 3      -27.24      12.57       0.31         0.89            11.43
   0 H Northside       ( 7-12, 75.5)    22- 5      -24.38      15.43      -0.31         0.89            13.42
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 2-12, 74.0)    13- 2      -25.91      13.90       0.31         0.89            12.61
   0 H New Bern        (17- 4, 86.3)    14- 8      -13.60      26.20      -0.31         0.89            22.99
   0 A Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)    22- 3      -20.33      19.47       0.31         0.89            17.56
   0 H Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)     9- 7      -14.51      25.30      -0.31         0.89            22.19
   0 N Union Pines     (15- 6, 90.2)    11-14       -9.67      30.14      -0.00         0.89            -8.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       226.10

winning pts = 259.6325 losing points = -33.5331

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------