---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Jacksonville 1
  
Jacksonville          
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 73.9938

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 2-17 303 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 3-16 326 A Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 5- 7 328 A North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 5- 8 331 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 5-21 402 H Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 11- 9 407 A JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 1-17 409 A First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 4- 9 428 H New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 3-20 430 A Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 8- 9 502 H Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 8- 7 505 H JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 2-13 507 H First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 3- 8 516 A Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 0-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A New Hanover             2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   303 H New Hanover             3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   326 A Northside               5- 7      -2    -2          -0.17
   328 A North Brunswick         5- 8      -3    -2          -1.39
   331 A New Bern                5-21     -16   -13           0.00
   402 H Havelock               11- 9       2     2           0.37
   407 A JH Rose                 1-17     -16   -14           0.00
   409 A First Flight            4- 9      -5    -6           0.00
   428 H New Bern                3-20     -17   -12           0.00
   430 A Havelock                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.02
   502 H Northside               8- 7       1    -1    +      2.22
   505 H JH Rose                 2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   507 H First Flight            3- 8      -5    -5           0.00
   516 A Union Pines             0-22     -22   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Havelock                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Northside               8- 7       1    -1    +      2.22

Jacksonville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary HS Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan Croatan   4- 3 vs 1- 7
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School   Davidson Day School
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Jacksonville
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Enloe Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight First Flight  
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Glenn Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Jacksonville
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Jacksonville
Independence Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Jack Britt Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Jacksonville
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose  
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern New Bern  
New Hanover New Hanover New Hanover  
North Brunswick North Brunswick North Brunswick  
North Davidson Jacksonville   Jacksonville
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 4) Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Pine Forest Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham   Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan   Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell   South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Swansboro Swansboro insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 1) Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail Topsail   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Watauga Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Jacksonville   Jacksonville
White Oak Jacksonville Jacksonville   2- 4 vs 0- 4
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 24


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A New Hanover     (18- 4, 88.8)     2-17      -11.13      28.68       0.31         1.20           -13.04
   0 H New Hanover     (18- 4, 88.8)     3-16      -11.13      28.68      -0.31         1.20           -13.77
   0 A Northside       ( 7-12, 75.5)     5- 7      -24.38      15.43       0.31         1.20           -29.00
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)     5- 8      -24.60      15.20       0.31         1.20           -29.27
   0 A New Bern        (17- 4, 86.3)     5-21      -13.60      26.20       0.31         1.20           -16.02
   0 H Havelock        ( 2-10, 72.7)    11- 9      -27.24      12.57      -0.31         1.20            14.77
   0 A JH Rose         (16- 3, 87.5)     1-17      -12.43      27.38       0.31         1.20           -14.60
   0 A First Flight    ( 7- 7, 79.4)     4- 9      -20.47      19.33       0.31         1.20           -24.30
   0 H New Bern        (17- 4, 86.3)     3-20      -13.60      26.20      -0.31         1.20           -16.75
   0 A Havelock        ( 2-10, 72.7)     8- 9      -27.24      12.57       0.31         1.20           -32.44
   0 H Northside       ( 7-12, 75.5)     8- 7      -24.38      15.43      -0.31         1.20            18.22
   0 H JH Rose         (16- 3, 87.5)     2-13      -12.43      27.38      -0.31         1.20           -15.34
   0 H First Flight    ( 7- 7, 79.4)     3- 8      -20.47      19.33      -0.31         1.20           -25.03
   0 A Union Pines     (15- 6, 90.2)     0-22       -9.67      30.14       0.31         1.20           -11.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -207.86

winning pts = 32.9908 losing points = -240.8504

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------