---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Immaculate Heart 1
  
Immaculate Heart      
W-L: ( 0-16) PR = 66.8688

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 5-15 407 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 0-16 410 H New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 2-16 412 A Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 1- 4 415 H Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 5-17 416 A Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 1-19 419 H Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 8-15 422 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 0-17 424 A Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 5- 7 428 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 1-16 429 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 1-17 506 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 5-18 508 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 1-18 513 A Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 5- 8 515 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 3-17 527 H Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Danbury                 5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   407 H Weston                  0-16     -16   -16           0.00
   410 H New Milford             2-16     -14    -6           0.00
   412 A Notre Dame Fairfield    1- 4      -3    -3          -0.50
   415 H Newtown                 5-17     -12   -20           0.00
   416 A Bethel                  1-19     -18   -15           0.00
   419 H Stratford-Bunnell       8-15      -7    -3          -1.74
   422 A Pomperaug               0-17     -17   -14           0.00
   424 A Stratford-Bunnell       5- 7      -2    -5    +      2.71
   428 A Stamford                1-16     -15   -16           0.00
   429 H Brookfield              1-17     -16   -15           0.00
   506 A Masuk                   5-18     -13   -23           0.00
   508 A New Fairfield           1-18     -17   -25           0.00
   513 A Notre Dame Fairfield    5- 8      -3    -3          -0.50
   515 H Joel Barlow             3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   527 H Westhill                2-21     -19   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Stratford-Bunnell       5- 7      -2    -5    +      2.71

Immaculate Heart Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Berlin Berlin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Berlin
Bethel Bethel Bethel  
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Bristol Central Bristol Central   Bristol Central
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield  
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Cromwell   Cromwell
Danbury Danbury Danbury  
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic East Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith   EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   7- 0 vs 0- 7
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Fitch tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fitch
Foran Foran Foran   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Griswold-Norwich Tech Griswold-Norwich Tech   Griswold-Norwich Tech
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Housatonic Regional Housatonic Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Housatonic Regional
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jonathan Law
Killingly Killingly   Killingly
Lakeview United Lakeview United tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeview United
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk Masuk  
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug Middletown-Coginchaug   Middletown-Coginchaug
Montville Montville   Montville
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New London/St Bernards New London/St Bernards   New London/St Bernards
New Milford New Milford New Milford  
Newington Newington   Newington
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven North Haven insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield Notre Dame Fairfield Notre Dame Fairfield  
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug Pomperaug  
RHAM RHAM   RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rockville Rockville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rockville
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   Rocky Hill
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph St Joseph   4- 1 vs 0- 5
St Paul Catholic Immaculate Heart   Immaculate Heart
Stamford Stamford Stamford  
Staples Staples Staples   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Stratford-Bunnell Stratford-Bunnell  
Suffield HS Suffield HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland   Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Valley Regional Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown Watertown   Watertown
West Haven West Haven insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Haven
Westhill Westhill Westhill  
Weston Weston Weston  
Wethersfield Wethersfield   Wethersfield
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Windsor   Windsor
Wolcott Wolcott   Wolcott
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy

PowerWise = 1


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Danbury         ( 4-12, 75.7)     5-15      -24.25      10.56       0.73         1.09           -25.74
   0 H Weston          (12- 8, 83.7)     0-16      -16.24      18.57      -0.73         1.09           -18.57
   0 H New Milford     ( 3-13, 74.1)     2-16      -25.81       9.00      -0.73         1.09           -29.03
   0 A Notre Dame Fai  ( 2-14, 68.6)     1- 4      -31.25       3.55       0.73         1.09           -33.40
   0 H Newtown         (13- 8, 87.9)     5-17      -12.01      22.80      -0.73         1.09           -13.94
   0 A Bethel          ( 9- 9, 81.1)     1-19      -18.77      16.04       0.73         1.09           -19.74
   0 H Stratford-Bunn  ( 3-13, 70.9)     8-15      -29.05       5.76      -0.73         1.09           -32.57
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-12, 80.5)     0-17      -19.38      15.43       0.73         1.09           -20.41
   0 A Stratford-Bunn  ( 3-13, 70.9)     5- 7      -29.05       5.76       0.73         1.09           -30.98
   0 A Stamford        ( 7- 9, 81.9)     1-16      -18.01      16.80       0.73         1.09           -18.91
   0 H Brookfield      (11- 7, 82.4)     1-17      -17.50      17.31      -0.73         1.09           -19.94
   0 A Masuk           (16- 5, 89.0)     5-18      -10.87      23.94       0.73         1.09           -11.10
   0 A New Fairfield   (21- 1, 91.1)     1-18       -8.80      26.01       0.73         1.09            -8.83
   0 A Notre Dame Fai  ( 2-14, 68.6)     5- 8      -31.25       3.55       0.73         1.09           -33.40
   0 H Joel Barlow     ( 9-10, 82.3)     3-17      -17.57      17.24      -0.73         1.09           -20.02
   0 H Westhill        ( 6- 9, 78.4)     2-21      -21.53      13.28      -0.73         1.09           -24.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -360.92

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -360.9220

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------