---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls Reno 1
  
Reno                  
W-L: ( 5-12) PR = 86.0491

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Galena (13- 6, 95.6) 3-20 305 A Bishop Manogue (11- 4, 94.9) 6-16 312 H McQueen ( 4-11, 86.3) 3-11 314 H Oasis Academy/Fallon ( 8- 8, 90.2) 4-10 328 H Reed ( 1- 4, 83.6) 16- 1 403 H Truckee-North Tahoe (16- 1, 97.9) 1-16 408 A Oasis Academy/Fallon ( 8- 8, 90.2) 9-14 409 A Spanish Springs ( 6- 8, 89.4) 9-14 415 A Damonte Ranch ( 1-13, 85.1) 22- 1 417 A McQueen ( 4-11, 86.3) 7- 4 421 H Bishop Manogue (11- 4, 94.9) 3-14 423 H Damonte Ranch ( 1-13, 85.1) 11- 6 424 H Galena (13- 6, 95.6) 2-19 428 A Reed ( 1- 4, 83.6) 18- 1 501 A Truckee-North Tahoe (16- 1, 97.9) 4-16 505 H Spanish Springs ( 6- 8, 89.4) 8-15 506 A Reed ( 1- 4, 83.6) 1-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Galena                  3-20     -17   -10           0.00
   305 A Bishop Manogue          6-16     -10    -9           0.00
   312 H McQueen                 3-11      -8     0    --    -5.03
   314 H Oasis Academy/Fallon    4-10      -6    -4          -1.19
   328 H Reed                   16- 1      15     3    +      2.28
   403 H Truckee-North Tahoe     1-16     -15   -12           0.00
   408 A Oasis Academy/Fallon    9-14      -5    -4          -0.55
   409 A Spanish Springs         9-14      -5    -4          -1.29
   415 A Damonte Ranch          22- 1      21     1    ++     4.41
   417 A McQueen                 7- 4       3    -1    +      3.61
   421 H Bishop Manogue          3-14     -11    -9           0.00
   423 H Damonte Ranch          11- 6       5     1    +      3.77
   424 H Galena                  2-19     -17    -9           0.00
   428 A Reed                   18- 1      17     2    +      2.92
   501 A Truckee-North Tahoe     4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   505 H Spanish Springs         8-15      -7    -3          -1.93
   506 A Reed                    1-17     -16     2    ---   -7.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Reed                    1-17     -16     2    ---   -7.08
   312 H McQueen                 3-11      -8     0    --    -5.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Damonte Ranch          22- 1      21     1    ++     4.41
   328 H Reed                   16- 1      15     3    +      2.28
   417 A McQueen                 7- 4       3    -1    +      3.61
   423 H Damonte Ranch          11- 6       5     1    +      3.77
   428 A Reed                   18- 1      17     2    +      2.92

Reno Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bishop Gorman Bishop Gorman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Gorman
Bishop Gorman II Bishop Gorman II   Bishop Gorman II
Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue  
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Coronado Coronado insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Coronado
Damonte Ranch Reno Reno  
Faith Lutheran Faith Lutheran   Faith Lutheran
Galena Galena Galena  
McQueen McQueen tied - ( 2- 6) ( 2- 5) McQueen
Oasis Academy/Fallon Oasis Academy/Fallon Oasis Academy/Fallon  
One Hill One Hill   One Hill
Palo Verde Palo Verde insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Palo Verde
Reed Reno Reno  
Spanish Springs Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Truckee-North Tahoe Truckee-North Tahoe Truckee-North Tahoe  

PowerWise = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Galena          (13- 6, 95.6)     3-20       -4.26      12.00       0.32         0.80            -3.15
   0 A Bishop Manogue  (11- 4, 94.9)     6-16       -4.96      11.29       0.32         0.80            -3.72
   0 H McQueen         ( 4-11, 86.3)     3-11      -13.56       2.69      -0.32         0.80           -11.13
   0 H Oasis Academy/  ( 8- 8, 90.2)     4-10       -9.72       6.53      -0.32         0.80            -8.05
   0 H Reed            ( 1- 4, 83.6)    16- 1      -16.25       1.00      -0.32         0.80             0.54
   0 H Truckee-North   (16- 1, 97.9)     1-16       -1.95      14.30      -0.32         0.80            -1.82
   0 A Oasis Academy/  ( 8- 8, 90.2)     9-14       -9.72       6.53       0.32         0.80            -7.53
   0 A Spanish Spring  ( 6- 8, 89.4)     9-14      -10.46       5.79       0.32         0.80            -8.13
   0 A Damonte Ranch   ( 1-13, 85.1)    22- 1      -14.76       1.49       0.32         0.80             1.45
   0 A McQueen         ( 4-11, 86.3)     7- 4      -13.56       2.69       0.32         0.80             2.41
   0 H Bishop Manogue  (11- 4, 94.9)     3-14       -4.96      11.29      -0.32         0.80            -4.23
   0 H Damonte Ranch   ( 1-13, 85.1)    11- 6      -14.76       1.49      -0.32         0.80             0.94
   0 H Galena          (13- 6, 95.6)     2-19       -4.26      12.00      -0.32         0.80            -3.67
   0 A Reed            ( 1- 4, 83.6)    18- 1      -16.25       1.00       0.32         0.80             1.06
   0 A Truckee-North   (16- 1, 97.9)     4-16       -1.95      14.30       0.32         0.80            -1.31
   0 H Spanish Spring  ( 6- 8, 89.4)     8-15      -10.46       5.79      -0.32         0.80            -8.64
   0 A Reed            ( 1- 4, 83.6)     1-17      -16.25       1.00       0.32         0.80           -12.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -67.74

winning pts = 6.4085 losing points = -74.1507

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------