Housatonic Regional
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 72.4920Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 A St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 15- 3 421 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 10-12 423 H Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 9- 6 424 A Lakeview United ( 3-12, 67.7) 14- 4 429 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 12- 6 506 H Lakeview United ( 3-12, 67.7) 19- 5 508 H St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 16- 3 512 A Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 6-16 517 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 7- 8 519 H Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 7-15 521 A Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 9-19 523 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 11- 9 530 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 13- 6 603 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 3-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 A St Paul Catholic 15- 3 12 7 0.00
421 H Watertown 10-12 -2 -1 -1.22
423 H Notre Dame Fairfield 9- 6 3 5 -1.57
424 A Lakeview United 14- 4 10 4 0.92
429 A Wolcott 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.49
506 H Lakeview United 19- 5 14 6 0.00
508 H St Paul Catholic 16- 3 13 8 0.00
512 A Watertown 6-16 -10 -2 - -2.77
517 H Wolcott 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.96
519 H Granby Memorial 7-15 -8 -8 0.00
521 A Granby Memorial 9-19 -10 -10 0.00
523 H Wolcott 11- 9 2 2 0.04
530 H Wolcott 13- 6 7 2 + 3.04
603 A Lauralton Hall 3-20 -17 -11 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Watertown 6-16 -10 -2 - -2.77 517 H Wolcott 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Wolcott 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.49 530 H Wolcott 13- 6 7 2 + 3.04 |
Housatonic Regional Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | ||
| Berlin | Berlin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional 4- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Danbury | Danbury | Danbury | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 1) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Enfield | Enfield | ||
| EO Smith | EO Smith | EO Smith | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Farmington | |
| Fitch | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Housatonic Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Housatonic Regional | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Jonathan Law | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Jonathan Law | |
| Killingly | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Lakeview United | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Middletown-Coginchaug | Middletown-Coginchaug | ||
| Montville | Montville | Montville | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Morgan School | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | North Haven | North Haven | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pomperaug | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rockville | |
| Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Shelton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Shelton | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Housatonic Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Housatonic Regional | |
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Watertown | Watertown | ||
| West Haven | West Haven | West Haven | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westhill | |
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Wethersfield | |
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Wolcott | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional |
PowerWise = 14
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 15- 3 -34.81 1.00 0.73 1.25 2.16
0 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 10-12 -25.90 8.90 -0.73 1.25 -33.30
0 H Notre Dame Fai ( 2-14, 68.6) 9- 6 -31.25 3.55 -0.73 1.25 3.54
0 A Lakeview Unite ( 3-12, 67.7) 14- 4 -32.21 2.59 0.73 1.25 4.15
0 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 12- 6 -28.64 6.17 0.73 1.25 8.62
0 H Lakeview Unite ( 3-12, 67.7) 19- 5 -32.21 2.59 -0.73 1.25 2.34
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 16- 3 -34.81 1.00 -0.73 1.25 0.34
0 A Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 6-16 -25.90 8.90 0.73 1.25 -31.48
0 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 7- 8 -28.64 6.17 -0.73 1.25 -36.72
0 H Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 7-15 -18.20 16.61 -0.73 1.25 -23.66
0 A Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 9-19 -18.20 16.61 0.73 1.25 -21.85
0 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 11- 9 -28.64 6.17 -0.73 1.25 6.80
0 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 13- 6 -28.64 6.17 -0.73 1.25 6.80
0 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 3-20 -17.23 17.58 0.73 1.25 -20.64
------
-132.90
|
winning pts = 34.7526 losing points = -167.6496
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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