Holt
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 89.4716Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 14-13 404 A Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 12-13 407 H Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5- 6, 82.6) 16- 7 410 H Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 11- 5 415 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 14- 8 422 H Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 12-13 424 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 17- 7 426 A South Lyon United (21- 0, 97.2) 3-10 426 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 13- 5 426 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 11- 9 429 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 17-14 501 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 19- 7 503 A Traverse City Central (13- 3, 89.6) 13-12 507 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 16- 6 509 H Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 16- 9 510 H Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 4-14 510 H Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 14- 3 510 A Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 7- 7 512 A White Lake Lakeland (11- 7, 92.0) 7-18 513 H East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 18-15 521 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 21-10 527 H Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 7-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Novi 14-13 1 2 -0.59
404 A Lake Orion 12-13 -1 -2 1.28
407 H Ann Arbor Skyline 16- 7 9 7 0.00
410 H Grand Ledge 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.68
415 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 14- 8 6 5 0.47
422 H Haslett 12-13 -1 0 -0.52
424 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 17- 7 10 8 0.00
426 A South Lyon United 3-10 -7 -8 0.00
426 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op 13- 5 8 8 0.00
426 H Oxford 11- 9 2 6 - -3.00
429 H Okemos 17-14 3 5 -1.83
501 A DeWitt 19- 7 12 4 0.93
503 A Traverse City Central 13-12 1 -1 1.71
507 A Davison 16- 6 10 11 0.00
509 H Portage Northern 16- 9 7 2 + 2.85
510 H Mattawan 4-14 -10 -2 - -3.03
510 H Ann Arbor Huron 14- 3 11 10 0.00
510 A Saline 7- 7 0 -4 + 3.80
512 A White Lake Lakeland 7-18 -11 -3 -1.84
513 H East Lansing 18-15 3 6 - -2.00
521 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 21-10 11 5 0.47
527 H Hartland 7-19 -12 -4 -1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Oxford 11- 9 2 6 - -3.00 510 H Mattawan 4-14 -10 -2 - -3.03 513 H East Lansing 18-15 3 6 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Grand Ledge 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.68 509 H Portage Northern 16- 9 7 2 + 2.85 510 A Saline 7- 7 0 -4 + 3.80 |
Holt Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Holt | Holt 4- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Holt | Holt | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Holt | Holt 3- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Holt | Holt | ||
| Avondale | Holt | Holt 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Holt | Holt | ||
| Bedford | Holt | Holt 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) | Birmingham Unified | |
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) | Bloomfield Hills | |
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Brighton B | Holt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holt | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Byron Center | |
| Caledonia | Caledonia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Caledonia | |
| Canton | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 4) | Holt | |
| Cass Tech | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Holt | Holt | ||
| Clarkston | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Holt | |
| Comstock Park | Holt | Holt | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Cranbrook Kingswood | |
| Davison | Holt | Holt | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 4- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| DeWitt | Holt | Holt | ||
| Dexter | Holt | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 3) | Holt | |
| Divine Child | Holt | Holt | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids 3- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| East Lansing | Holt | Holt | ||
| Farmington | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Holt | |
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Holt | Holt | ||
| Flint Powers Catholic | Holt | Holt 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Flushing | Holt | Holt 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Grand Blanc | Holt | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) | Holt | |
| Grand Haven | Holt | Holt 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grand Ledge | Holt | Holt | ||
| Grand Rapids Christian | Holt | Holt 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Grandville | Holt | Holt 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Holt | Holt | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Holt | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Holt | |
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland | ||
| Haslett | Haslett | Haslett | ||
| Henry Ford II | Holt | Holt | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Holt | Holt 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Howell | Holt | Holt 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Hudsonville | |
| Jenison | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Kalamazoo Central | Holt | Holt 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Fenton | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lakeview | Holt | Holt | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Holt | Holt | ||
| Lapeer | Holt | Holt | ||
| Livonia United | Holt | Holt 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lowell | Holt | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Holt | |
| Marian | Marian | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 4- 2) | Mercy | |
| Midland | Holt | Holt 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 2) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Northview | |
| Northville | Holt | Holt 2- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Holt | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Holt | |
| Novi | Holt | Holt | ||
| Okemos | Holt | Holt | ||
| Oxford | Holt | Holt | ||
| Plymouth | Holt | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 3) | Holt | |
| Portage Northern | Holt | Holt | ||
| Reeths-Puffer | Holt | Holt | ||
| Rochester Adams | Holt | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Holt | |
| Rochester HS | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Holt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Rockford | Rockford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Rockford | |
| Royal Oak | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Holt | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Holt | |
| Salem | Holt | Holt 2- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Saline | Saline | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Catherine of Siena | Holt | Holt | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Holt | Holt | ||
| Swartz Creek | Holt | Holt 5- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Tecumseh | Holt | Holt 4- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Traverse City Central | Holt | Holt | ||
| Troy | Holt | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Holt | |
| Troy Athens | Holt | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Holt | |
| University Liggett | Holt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holt | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Holt | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Holt | |
| Walled Lake Northern | Holt | Holt 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Warren Regina | Holt | Holt | ||
| Waterford United | Holt | Holt 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| West Bloomfield | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holt | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | ||
| Zeeland East | Holt | Holt |
PowerWise = 72
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 14-13 -12.64 16.55 0.62 0.73 12.56
0 A Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 12-13 -8.76 20.43 0.62 0.73 -5.95
0 H Ann Arbor Skyl ( 5- 6, 82.6) 16- 7 -17.30 11.89 -0.62 0.73 8.24
0 H Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 11- 5 -10.13 19.06 -0.62 0.73 13.48
0 H Lansing Cathol (10- 8, 85.6) 14- 8 -14.33 14.86 -0.62 0.73 10.41
0 H Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 12-13 -9.33 19.87 -0.62 0.73 -7.27
0 A St Johns/Ovid- ( 8-10, 80.6) 17- 7 -19.27 9.92 0.62 0.73 7.71
0 A South Lyon Uni (21- 0, 97.2) 3-10 -2.74 26.45 0.62 0.73 -1.55
0 H Fenton-Linden (11- 9, 82.6) 13- 5 -17.34 11.85 -0.62 0.73 8.21
0 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 11- 9 -15.55 13.65 -0.62 0.73 9.52
0 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 17-14 -14.64 14.55 -0.62 0.73 10.18
0 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 19- 7 -15.12 14.07 0.62 0.73 10.74
0 A Traverse City (13- 3, 89.6) 13-12 -10.34 18.85 0.62 0.73 14.23
0 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 16- 6 -21.68 7.51 0.62 0.73 5.94
0 H Portage Northe (12-10, 87.9) 16- 9 -11.96 17.23 -0.62 0.73 12.15
0 H Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 4-14 -7.84 21.35 -0.62 0.73 -6.19
0 H Ann Arbor Huro ( 4-10, 80.0) 14- 3 -19.93 9.26 -0.62 0.73 6.32
0 A White Lake Lak (11- 7, 92.0) 7-18 -7.89 21.30 0.62 0.73 -5.32
0 H East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 18-15 -16.12 13.08 -0.62 0.73 9.11
0 H Lansing Cathol (10- 8, 85.6) 21-10 -14.33 14.86 -0.62 0.73 10.41
0 H Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 7-19 -6.14 23.06 -0.62 0.73 -4.94
------
117.98
|
winning pts = 149.1966 losing points = -31.2116
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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