---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Hoggard 1
  
Hoggard               
W-L: (17- 6) PR = 91.5440

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 A Myers Park (14- 7, 90.0) 15-10 304 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 19-10 306 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 22-11 315 A Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 14-15 318 H South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 17-10 320 A North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 16- 0 325 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 17- 1 327 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 16- 5 328 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 12-13 401 H Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 19- 5 404 H Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 13-14 408 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 15- 5 410 A South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 19- 6 422 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 21-14 424 A Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 19- 5 426 H Charlotte Catholic (14- 5, 94.1) 9-16 429 H North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 16- 1 502 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 15- 0 505 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 11-13 507 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 14- 6 513 H Athens Drive (10-10, 82.8) 16- 2 516 A Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 17- 2 520 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 12-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Myers Park             15-10       5     1    +      3.75
   304 H Croatan                19-10       9     5           0.31
   306 H Swansboro              22-11      11     6           0.00
   315 A Pinecrest              14-15      -1     1    -     -2.22
   318 H South Brunswick        17-10       7    10           0.00
   320 A North Brunswick        16- 0      16    16           0.00
   325 H West Brunswick         17- 1      16    16           0.00
   327 A Laney                  16- 5      11     5           0.00
   328 H Holly Springs          12-13      -1    -2           0.97
   401 H Ashley                 19- 5      14     8           0.00
   404 H Topsail                13-14      -1     2    -     -2.56
   408 A New Hanover            15- 5      10     2    +      2.53
   410 A South Brunswick        19- 6      13     9           0.00
   422 H Laney                  21-14       7     6           0.00
   424 A Ashley                 19- 5      14     7           0.00
   426 H Charlotte Catholic      9-16      -7    -2    -     -2.78
   429 H North Brunswick        16- 1      15    17           0.00
   502 A West Brunswick         15- 0      15    15           0.00
   505 A Topsail                11-13      -2     1    -     -2.95
   507 H New Hanover            14- 6       8     3           1.92
   513 H Athens Drive           16- 2      14     9           0.00
   516 A Willow Spring          17- 2      15     5           0.19
   520 H Holly Springs          12-13      -1    -2           0.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Pinecrest              14-15      -1     1    -     -2.22
   404 H Topsail                13-14      -1     2    -     -2.56
   426 H Charlotte Catholic      9-16      -7    -2    -     -2.78
   505 A Topsail                11-13      -2     1    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Myers Park             15-10       5     1    +      3.75
   408 A New Hanover            15- 5      10     2    +      2.53

Hoggard Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex   2- 1 vs 0- 1
Apex Friendship Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Hoggard
Ardrey Kell Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Arendell Parrott Academy Hoggard   Hoggard
Asheville HS Hoggard   Hoggard
Asheville School Hoggard   Hoggard
Ashley Hoggard Hoggard  
Athens Drive Hoggard Hoggard  
Atkins Hoggard   Hoggard
Ballantyne Ridge Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Bishop McGuinness Hoggard   Hoggard
Broughton Broughton Broughton   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Butler Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Cannon School Hoggard   Hoggard
Cape Fear Academy Hoggard Hoggard   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Cape Fear HS Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   4- 0 vs 1- 2
Carrboro Hoggard   Hoggard
Cary Academy Hoggard   Hoggard
Cary HS Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Hoggard
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic  
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Hoggard   Hoggard
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Hoggard   Hoggard
Clayton Hoggard tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Cleveland Hoggard tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Community School Davidso Hoggard   Hoggard
Corinth Holders Hoggard tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) Hoggard
Croatan Hoggard Hoggard  
Cuthbertson Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Davidson Day School Hoggard   Hoggard
Davie Hoggard   Hoggard
DH Conley Hoggard   Hoggard
Durham Academy Hoggard   Hoggard
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hoggard
Enloe Hoggard tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Fayetteville Academy Hoggard   Hoggard
Fike Hoggard   Hoggard
First Flight Hoggard Hoggard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Forsyth CDS Hoggard   Hoggard
Fuquay-Varina Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) Hoggard
Garner Hoggard tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Glenn Hoggard   Hoggard
Green Hope Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 2) Hoggard
Green Level Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Hoggard
Greensboro Day School Hoggard   Hoggard
Grimsley Hoggard   Hoggard
Havelock Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hoggard
Heritage Hoggard   Hoggard
Hickory Hoggard   Hoggard
High Point Central Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs  
Hopewell Hoggard   Hoggard
Hough Hoggard   Hoggard
Hunt Hoggard   Hoggard
Independence Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Jack Britt Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Jacksonville Hoggard Hoggard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
JH Rose Hoggard tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Hoggard
Jordan Hoggard   Hoggard
Lake Norman Charter Hoggard   Hoggard
Lake Norman HS Hoggard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hoggard
Laney Hoggard Hoggard  
Leesville Road Hoggard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 2) Hoggard
Lincoln Charter Hoggard   Hoggard
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Hoggard tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) Hoggard
Millbrook Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) Hoggard
Mooresville Hoggard   Hoggard
Mount Tabor Hoggard   Hoggard
Myers Park Hoggard Hoggard  
New Bern Hoggard Hoggard   3- 0 vs 1- 2
New Hanover Hoggard Hoggard  
North Brunswick Hoggard Hoggard  
North Davidson Hoggard   Hoggard
North Lincoln Hoggard   Hoggard
Northern Guilford Hoggard   Hoggard
Northside Hoggard Hoggard   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Northwest Guilford Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Northwood Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hoggard
Page Hoggard   Hoggard
Panther Creek Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Hoggard
Parkwood Hoggard   Hoggard
Patton Hoggard   Hoggard
Pine Forest Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Pine Lake Prep Hoggard   Hoggard
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Porter Ridge Hoggard   Hoggard
Providence Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Providence Day Providence Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Hoggard   Hoggard
Ragsdale Hoggard   Hoggard
Ravenscroft School Hoggard   Hoggard
Riverside Durham Hoggard   Hoggard
RJ Reynolds Hoggard   Hoggard
Rolesville Hoggard   Hoggard
Ronald Reagan Hoggard   Hoggard
Sanderson Hoggard tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Seaforth Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
South Brunswick Hoggard Hoggard  
South Iredell Hoggard   Hoggard
South Mecklenburg Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hoggard
Southeast Guilford Hoggard   Hoggard
Southlake Christian Hoggard   Hoggard
Southwest Guilford Hoggard   Hoggard
St Davids School Hoggard   Hoggard
St Marys Hoggard   Hoggard
St Stephens Hoggard   Hoggard
Sun Valley Hoggard   Hoggard
Swansboro Hoggard Hoggard  
TC Roberson Hoggard   Hoggard
Terry Sanford Hoggard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hoggard
Topsail Topsail Topsail  
Union Pines Hoggard tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Hoggard
Wake Forest Hoggard   Hoggard
Wakefield Hoggard Hoggard   2- 2 vs 0- 5
Watauga Hoggard   Hoggard
Weddington Weddington Weddington   3- 0 vs 1- 2
West Brunswick Hoggard Hoggard  
West Forsyth Hoggard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hoggard
West Stokes Hoggard   Hoggard
White Oak Hoggard Hoggard   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Willow Spring Hoggard Hoggard  

PowerWise = 112


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Myers Park      (14- 7, 90.0)    15-10       -9.91      29.90       0.31         0.73            22.15
   0 H Croatan         (13- 9, 87.2)    19-10      -12.74      27.07      -0.31         0.73            19.62
   0 H Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)    22-11      -14.51      25.30      -0.31         0.73            18.33
   0 A Pinecrest       (17- 5, 90.0)    14-15       -9.89      29.92       0.31         0.73            -7.03
   0 H South Brunswic  ( 6-11, 82.2)    17-10      -17.65      22.15      -0.31         0.73            16.02
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)    16- 0      -24.60      15.20       0.31         0.73            11.37
   0 H West Brunswick  ( 2-15, 76.3)    17- 1      -23.64      16.17      -0.31         0.73            11.63
   0 A Laney           ( 9- 8, 86.0)    16- 5      -13.86      25.95       0.31         0.73            19.25
   0 H Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)    12-13       -6.08      33.72      -0.31         0.73            -4.69
   0 H Ashley          ( 7-12, 84.3)    19- 5      -15.57      24.23      -0.31         0.73            17.55
   0 H Topsail         (17- 3, 90.3)    13-14       -9.61      30.19      -0.31         0.73            -7.27
   0 A New Hanover     (18- 4, 88.8)    15- 5      -11.13      28.68       0.31         0.73            21.25
   0 A South Brunswic  ( 6-11, 82.2)    19- 6      -17.65      22.15       0.31         0.73            16.47
   0 H Laney           ( 9- 8, 86.0)    21-14      -13.86      25.95      -0.31         0.73            18.80
   0 A Ashley          ( 7-12, 84.3)    19- 5      -15.57      24.23       0.31         0.73            17.99
   0 H Charlotte Cath  (14- 5, 94.1)     9-16       -5.83      33.98      -0.31         0.73            -4.50
   0 H North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)    16- 1      -24.60      15.20      -0.31         0.73            10.93
   0 A West Brunswick  ( 2-15, 76.3)    15- 0      -23.64      16.17       0.31         0.73            12.08
   0 A Topsail         (17- 3, 90.3)    11-13       -9.61      30.19       0.31         0.73            -6.82
   0 H New Hanover     (18- 4, 88.8)    14- 6      -11.13      28.68      -0.31         0.73            20.81
   0 H Athens Drive    (10-10, 82.8)    16- 2      -17.11      22.70      -0.31         0.73            16.42
   0 A Willow Spring   (13- 6, 86.4)    17- 2      -13.47      26.34       0.31         0.73            19.54
   0 H Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)    12-13       -6.08      33.72      -0.31         0.73            -4.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       255.22

winning pts = 290.2072 losing points = -34.9894

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------