Hill-Murray
W-L: (10- 5) PR = 89.7074Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A East Ridge ( 9- 6, 90.6) 4- 6 412 H White Bear Lake ( 5- 9, 87.4) 16-11 421 H Blake School ( 6- 8, 88.2) 14- 9 422 H Tartan/North St Paul ( 1-13, 71.4) 21- 1 425 A St Paul/Two Rivers ( 6- 8, 79.1) 17- 4 429 A Hastings ( 3-11, 74.8) 23- 2 501 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 4- 5 503 H Woodbury ( 5- 9, 85.8) 11- 6 506 H St Croix Prep (10- 5, 89.3) 10- 9 509 A Mahtomedi ( 8- 6, 88.8) 11- 9 512 H Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 12- 8 514 H Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 8-12 521 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 7- 9 530 H White Bear Lake ( 5- 9, 87.4) 10- 7 602 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 4- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 A East Ridge 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.51
412 H White Bear Lake 16-11 5 3 + 2.15
421 H Blake School 14- 9 5 2 + 2.89
422 H Tartan/North St Paul 21- 1 20 19 0.00
425 A St Paul/Two Rivers 17- 4 13 10 0.00
429 A Hastings 23- 2 21 14 0.00
501 H Farmington 4- 5 -1 0 -0.95
503 H Woodbury 11- 6 5 4 0.53
506 H St Croix Prep 10- 9 1 1 0.00
509 A Mahtomedi 11- 9 2 0 1.71
512 H Simley 12- 8 4 4 -0.37
514 H Chisago Lakes 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.30
521 A Roseville 7- 9 -2 -2 0.37
530 H White Bear Lake 10- 7 3 3 0.15
602 A Roseville 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Chisago Lakes 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H White Bear Lake 16-11 5 3 + 2.15 421 H Blake School 14- 9 5 2 + 2.89 |
Hill-Murray Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Anoka | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Apple Valley | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Hill-Murray | |
| Becker | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Blaine | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Blake School | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Bloomington Jefferson | Bloomington Jefferson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bloomington Jefferson | |
| Bloomington Kennedy/Burn | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Brainerd | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Breck School | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Hill-Murray | |
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Centennial | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Hill-Murray | |
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Champlin Park | |
| Chanhassen | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Chaska | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | ||
| Columbia Heights | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Duluth Co-Op | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Hill-Murray | |
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Eagan | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Eden Prairie | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hill-Murray | |
| Edina | Edina | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Edina | |
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Forest Lake | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Hill-Murray | |
| Grand Rapids-Greenway | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Hastings | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Hermantown-Proctor | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Holy Angels Academy | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Hopkins | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Hutchinson | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Irondale | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Lakeville North | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | Lakeville South 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mahtomedi | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Mankato Co-Op | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | Maple Grove | ||
| Minneapolis Co-Op | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Minnetonka | |
| Monticello | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Moorhead | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Mound Westonka | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Mounds View | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| New Prague | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Northfield | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Orono | Orono | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Orono | |
| Osseo-Park Center | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hill-Murray | |
| Owatonna | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove 8- 0 vs 6- 2 | ||
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | Prior Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rochester Century | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Rochester JM/Lourdes | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Rochester Mayo | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hill-Murray | |
| Rocori | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Rogers | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Rosemount | Rosemount | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rosemount | |
| Roseville | Roseville | Roseville | ||
| Sartell-Sauk Rapids | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Shakopee | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Simley | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Southwest Christian | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| St Cloud Area | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| St Croix Prep | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| St Louis Park | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hill-Murray | |
| St Michael-Albertville | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| St Paul Academy | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Tartan/North St Paul | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Totino-Grace | Hill-Murray | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Visitation | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Waconia | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hill-Murray | |
| Wayzata | Wayzata | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wayzata | |
| White Bear Lake | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | ||
| Woodbury | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray |
PowerWise = 64
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A East Ridge ( 9- 6, 90.6) 4- 6 -9.30 23.76 0.59 0.98 -8.52
0 H White Bear Lak ( 5- 9, 87.4) 16-11 -12.45 20.61 -0.59 0.98 19.59
0 H Blake School ( 6- 8, 88.2) 14- 9 -11.71 21.35 -0.59 0.98 20.32
0 H Tartan/North S ( 1-13, 71.4) 21- 1 -28.53 4.53 -0.59 0.98 3.85
0 A St Paul/Two Ri ( 6- 8, 79.1) 17- 4 -20.80 12.26 0.59 0.98 12.58
0 A Hastings ( 3-11, 74.8) 23- 2 -25.06 8.00 0.59 0.98 8.41
0 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 4- 5 -9.55 23.50 -0.59 0.98 -9.93
0 H Woodbury ( 5- 9, 85.8) 11- 6 -14.07 18.99 -0.59 0.98 18.01
0 H St Croix Prep (10- 5, 89.3) 10- 9 -10.60 22.46 -0.59 0.98 21.40
0 A Mahtomedi ( 8- 6, 88.8) 11- 9 -11.08 21.98 0.59 0.98 22.10
0 H Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 12- 8 -13.97 19.09 -0.59 0.98 18.11
0 H Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 8-12 -9.90 23.16 -0.59 0.98 -10.27
0 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 7- 9 -8.42 24.64 0.59 0.98 -7.66
0 H White Bear Lak ( 5- 9, 87.4) 10- 7 -12.45 20.61 -0.59 0.98 19.59
0 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 4- 8 -8.42 24.64 0.59 0.98 -7.66
------
119.93
|
winning pts = 163.9698 losing points = -44.0418
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------