---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Hereford 1
  
Hereford              
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 86.4753

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 5- 7 325 A Mercy (12- 2, 92.0) 6-10 328 H Gerstell Academy (11- 4, 90.7) 7-16 402 H Sparrows Point ( 6- 7, 79.5) 17- 0 407 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 13-18 409 A Eastern Technical (10- 3, 83.0) 18- 4 411 H Dulaney (11- 5, 90.9) 5-13 423 A Towson (13- 4, 92.4) 7-13 425 A Catonsville ( 7- 7, 88.9) 14-19 428 A Century (12- 5, 91.5) 9-23 430 H Perry Hall ( 7- 8, 80.4) 16- 6 501 A Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 1-20 512 A Eastern Technical (10- 3, 83.0) 18- 9 514 A Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 2-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Westminster             5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.34
   325 A Mercy                   6-10      -4    -6           1.00
   328 H Gerstell Academy        7-16      -9    -4          -1.19
   402 H Sparrows Point         17- 0      17     7           0.00
   407 H CM Wright              13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.74
   409 A Eastern Technical      18- 4      14     3           1.95
   411 H Dulaney                 5-13      -8    -4          -0.98
   423 A Towson                  7-13      -6    -6           0.00
   425 A Catonsville            14-19      -5    -3    -     -2.08
   428 A Century                 9-23     -14    -5           0.00
   430 H Perry Hall             16- 6      10     7           0.00
   501 A Manchester Valley       1-20     -19   -14           0.00
   512 A Eastern Technical      18- 9       9     3           1.95
   514 A Manchester Valley       2-20     -18   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H CM Wright              13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.74
   425 A Catonsville            14-19      -5    -3    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Westminster             5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.34

Hereford Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Hereford   Hereford
Anne Arundel County Hereford   Hereford
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Hereford   Hereford
Bishop McNamara Hereford   Hereford
Brookewood SG Hereford   Hereford
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Hereford   Hereford
Catholic High Baltimore Hereford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hereford
Chapelgate Christian Hereford   Hereford
Concordia Prep Hereford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hereford
Cristo Rey Jesuit Hereford   Hereford
DC International Hereford   Hereford
EL Haynes Charter Hereford   Hereford
Elizabeth Seton Hereford   Hereford
FCA Hereford   Hereford
Field School Hereford   Hereford
Friends School Hereford   Hereford
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Hereford   Hereford
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy  
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Hereford   Hereford
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Holy Child
Holy Cross Hereford   Hereford
Indian Creek Hereford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hereford
Jackson-Reed Hereford   Hereford
Jemicy Hereford   Hereford
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Hereford   Hereford
KIPP College Prep Hereford   Hereford
Maret School Hereford   Hereford
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Hereford   Hereford
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Hereford   Hereford
Park School Hereford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hereford
Rockbridge Academy Hereford   Hereford
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salisbury School Hereford   Hereford
Sandy Spring Friends Hereford   Hereford
School Without Walls Hereford   Hereford
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Hereford   Hereford
St Andrews Episcopal Hereford   Hereford
St James School Hereford   Hereford
St Johns Catholic Prep Hereford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hereford
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken Hereford   Hereford
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Hereford   Hereford
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Tome School Hereford   Hereford
Washington Latin Hereford   Hereford
Worcester Prep Hereford   Hereford
Aberdeen Hereford   Hereford
Academy for College & Ca Hereford   Hereford
Annapolis Hereford   Hereford
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Hereford   Hereford
Baltimore Polytechnic Hereford   Hereford
Bel Air Bel Air Bel Air   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Hereford   Hereford
Bladensburg Hereford   Hereford
Blair Hereford   Hereford
Blake Hereford   Hereford
Bohemia Manor Hereford   Hereford
Boonsboro Hereford   Hereford
Bowie Hereford   Hereford
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Hereford   Hereford
Calvert Hereford   Hereford
Cambridge SD Hereford   Hereford
Carver A&T Hereford Hereford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Catoctin Hereford   Hereford
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville  
Centennial Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Central PG Hereford   Hereford
Century Century Century  
CH Flowers Hereford   Hereford
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Hereford   Hereford
Chopticon Hereford   Hereford
City College Hereford   Hereford
Clarksburg Hereford   Hereford
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright  
CMIT North Hereford   Hereford
Crofton Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Damascus Hereford   Hereford
Dr Henry Wise Hereford   Hereford
Dulaney Dulaney Dulaney  
Dundalk Hereford   Hereford
DuVal Hereford   Hereford
Eastern Technical Hereford Hereford  
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Einstein Hereford   Hereford
Eleanor Roosevelt Hereford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hereford
Elkton Hereford   Hereford
Fairmont Heights Hereford   Hereford
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Hereford tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Hereford
Franklin Hereford Hereford   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Frederick Hereford   Hereford
Frederick Douglass PG Hereford   Hereford
Gaithersburg Hereford   Hereford
Glen Burnie Hereford   Hereford
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Gov Thomas Johnson Hereford   Hereford
Great Mills Hereford   Hereford
Guilford Park Hereford   Hereford
Gwynn Park Hereford   Hereford
Hammond Hereford   Hereford
Harford Tech Hereford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hereford
Havre De Grace Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Howard Howard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Hereford   Hereford
Kennedy Hereford   Hereford
Kent County Hereford   Hereford
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Hereford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hereford
La Plata Hereford   Hereford
Lackey Hereford   Hereford
Lansdowne Hereford   Hereford
Laurel Hereford   Hereford
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Linganore Linganore tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Linganore
Loch Raven Hereford Hereford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Long Reach Hereford   Hereford
Magruder Hereford   Hereford
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley  
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Hereford   Hereford
Middletown Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Milford Mill Hereford   Hereford
MJ McDonough Hereford   Hereford
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Mount Hebron
New Town Hereford   Hereford
North Caroline Hereford   Hereford
North County Hereford   Hereford
North Dorchester Hereford   Hereford
North East Cecil Hereford   Hereford
North Hagerstown Hereford   Hereford
North Harford Hereford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hereford
North Point Hereford   Hereford
Northeast Hereford   Hereford
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Hereford   Hereford
Northwestern PG Hereford   Hereford
Northwood Hereford   Hereford
Oakdale Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Oakland Mills Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Old Mill Hereford   Hereford
Overlea Hereford   Hereford
Owings Mills Hereford   Hereford
Oxon Hill Hereford   Hereford
Paint Branch Hereford   Hereford
Parkdale Hereford   Hereford
Parkside Hereford   Hereford
Parkville Hereford Hereford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Patapsco Hereford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hereford
Patterson Mill Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Patuxent Hereford   Hereford
Perry Hall Hereford Hereford  
Perryville Hereford   Hereford
Pikesville Hereford Hereford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Poolesville Hereford   Hereford
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Hereford   Hereford
Randallstown Hereford   Hereford
Randallstown Hereford   Hereford
Reservoir Hereford   Hereford
Richard Montgomery Hereford   Hereford
Rising Sun Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
River Hill River Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) River Hill
Rockville Hereford   Hereford
Seneca Valley Hereford   Hereford
Severn Run Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Severna Park Severna Park insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Hereford   Hereford
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll   3- 2 vs 0- 5
South Hagerstown Hereford   Hereford
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South River
Southern Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Sparrows Point Hereford Hereford  
Springbrook Hereford   Hereford
St Charles Hereford   Hereford
Stephen Decatur Hereford   Hereford
Suitland Hereford   Hereford
Thomas Stone Hereford   Hereford
Towson Towson Towson  
Tuscarora Hereford   Hereford
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Urbana
Walkersville Hereford   Hereford
Walter Johnson Hereford   Hereford
Watkins Mill Hereford   Hereford
Western Baltimore Hereford   Hereford
Western STES Hereford Hereford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Westlake Hereford   Hereford
Westminster Westminster Westminster  
Wheaton Hereford   Hereford
Whitman Hereford   Hereford
Wicomico Hereford   Hereford
Wilde Lake Hereford   Hereford
Winston Churchill Hereford   Hereford
Winters Mill Winters Mill tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Winters Mill
Woodlawn Hereford   Hereford
Wootton Hereford   Hereford

PowerWise = 165


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Westminster     ( 8- 8, 90.4)     5- 7       -9.53      28.39       0.45         0.85            -7.76
   0 A Mercy           (12- 2, 92.0)     6-10       -7.89      30.03       0.45         0.85            -6.36
   0 H Gerstell Acade  (11- 4, 90.7)     7-16       -9.17      28.75      -0.45         0.85            -8.22
   0 H Sparrows Point  ( 6- 7, 79.5)    17- 0      -20.42      17.50      -0.45         0.85            14.57
   0 H CM Wright       (11- 5, 88.2)    13-18      -11.71      26.21      -0.45         0.85           -10.39
   0 A Eastern Techni  (10- 3, 83.0)    18- 4      -16.92      21.00       0.45         0.85            18.33
   0 H Dulaney         (11- 5, 90.9)     5-13       -8.96      28.96      -0.45         0.85            -8.04
   0 A Towson          (13- 4, 92.4)     7-13       -7.51      30.41       0.45         0.85            -6.03
   0 A Catonsville     ( 7- 7, 88.9)    14-19      -10.96      26.96       0.45         0.85            -8.98
   0 A Century         (12- 5, 91.5)     9-23       -8.42      29.50       0.45         0.85            -6.81
   0 H Perry Hall      ( 7- 8, 80.4)    16- 6      -19.48      18.44      -0.45         0.85            15.38
   0 A Manchester Val  (19- 0, 99.9)     1-20       -0.00      37.92       0.45         0.85            -0.38
   0 A Eastern Techni  (10- 3, 83.0)    18- 9      -16.92      21.00       0.45         0.85            18.33
   0 A Manchester Val  (19- 0, 99.9)     2-20       -0.00      37.92       0.45         0.85            -0.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         3.24

winning pts = 66.6085 losing points = -63.3654

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------