Heritage
W-L: (14- 3) PR = 93.1245Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 16- 5 313 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 17- 1 318 H Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 20- 6 319 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 16- 5 402 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 17- 4 404 H Denver East (10- 7, 90.5) 9- 3 408 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 19- 1 410 H Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 11- 6 412 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 16- 5 415 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 9-13 417 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 16- 4 421 A ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 15-18 424 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 16- 2 425 A Poudre District ( 7- 9, 89.5) 7- 5 426 A Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 21- 3 507 H Poudre District ( 7- 9, 89.5) 11- 9 509 A Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 11-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Columbine 16- 5 11 8 0.00
313 A Denver South 17- 1 16 7 0.00
318 H Arapahoe 20- 6 14 6 0.00
319 H Northfield 16- 5 11 5 0.00
402 H Chatfield 17- 4 13 5 0.49
404 H Denver East 9- 3 6 3 1.93
408 A Palmer Ridge 19- 1 18 5 0.50
410 H Castle View 11- 6 5 6 0.00
412 H Cherry Creek 16- 5 11 5 0.49
415 A Regis Jesuit 9-13 -4 -4 0.39
417 H Rock Canyon 16- 4 12 8 0.00
421 A ThunderRidge 15-18 -3 -4 1.16
424 H Pine Creek 16- 2 14 6 0.00
425 A Poudre District 7- 5 2 3 -1.19
426 A Cherokee Trail 21- 3 18 9 0.00
507 H Poudre District 11- 9 2 4 - -2.08
509 A Fairview 11-15 -4 -3 -0.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 H Poudre District 11- 9 2 4 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Heritage Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Heritage | Heritage 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Arapahoe | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Aspen | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Battle Mountain | Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage | |
| Castle View | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Chatfield | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Cherry Creek | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Heritage | Heritage 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Conifer | Heritage | Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Heritage | Heritage 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Denver East | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Denver North | Heritage | Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Durango | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Eagle Valley | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Eaglecrest | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fruita Monument | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Golden | Heritage | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Heritage | |
| Grand Junction | Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage | |
| Grandview | Heritage | Heritage 7- 0 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Green Mountain | Heritage | tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 2) | Heritage | |
| Holy Family | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Horizon | Heritage | Heritage 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Kent Denver | Heritage | insuffient: ( 8- 3)( 7- 4) | Heritage | |
| Legend | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Liberty | Heritage | Heritage 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mead | Heritage | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Heritage | |
| Montrose | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Mullen | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Heritage | |
| Northfield | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Palmer | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Palmer Ridge | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Pine Creek | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Poudre District | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Pueblo West | Heritage | Heritage 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ralston Valley | Heritage | Heritage 7- 1 vs 5- 3 | ||
| Rampart | Heritage | Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Roaring Fork | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Rock Canyon | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| St Marys Academy | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| Steamboat Springs | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Summit | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Telluride | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 10- 0 vs 7- 3 |
PowerWise = 45
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 16- 5 -14.77 15.95 0.45 0.90 14.84
0 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 17- 1 -13.97 16.76 0.45 0.90 15.57
0 H Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 20- 6 -12.52 18.20 -0.45 0.90 16.06
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 16- 5 -11.35 19.37 -0.45 0.90 17.13
0 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 17- 4 -10.84 19.88 -0.45 0.90 17.59
0 H Denver East (10- 7, 90.5) 9- 3 -9.40 21.33 -0.45 0.90 18.89
0 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 19- 1 -11.72 19.00 0.45 0.90 17.60
0 H Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 11- 6 -12.15 18.58 -0.45 0.90 16.41
0 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 16- 5 -10.83 19.89 -0.45 0.90 17.59
0 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 9-13 -2.83 27.90 0.45 0.90 -2.15
0 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 16- 4 -14.56 16.16 -0.45 0.90 14.22
0 A ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 15-18 -3.07 27.66 0.45 0.90 -2.37
0 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 16- 2 -12.35 18.37 -0.45 0.90 16.22
0 A Poudre Distric ( 7- 9, 89.5) 7- 5 -10.41 20.31 0.45 0.90 18.79
0 A Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 21- 3 -16.03 14.70 0.45 0.90 13.71
0 H Poudre Distric ( 7- 9, 89.5) 11- 9 -10.41 20.31 -0.45 0.90 17.98
0 A Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 11-15 -4.05 26.67 0.45 0.90 -3.26
------
224.81
|
winning pts = 232.6010 losing points = -7.7880
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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