Henry Clay
W-L: (14- 6) PR = 86.8299Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 0-18 306 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 12- 2 310 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 20- 3 314 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 10- 8 316 H Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 4-13 318 A Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 14- 1 321 H Louisville Collegiate ( 7- 8, 91.2) 8-12 326 H Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 13- 7 411 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 7- 4 412 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 8- 5 416 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 20- 2 421 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 16- 5 423 H Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 9-13 428 H Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 19- 3 430 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 20- 8 505 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 23- 0 510 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 20- 5 512 N Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 7- 9 515 A Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 14-13 517 N Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 8-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 A Eastern 0-18 -18 -11 0.00
306 A Bryan Station 12- 2 10 6 0.00
310 A Scott County 20- 3 17 10 0.00
314 A Cooper 10- 8 2 3 -1.35
316 H Sacred Heart Academy 4-13 -9 -8 0.00
318 A Frederick Douglass 14- 1 13 6 0.00
321 H Louisville Collegiate 8-12 -4 -4 -0.47
326 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 13- 7 6 3 + 2.06
411 H Oldham County 7- 4 3 2 0.83
412 A Ballard 8- 5 3 2 1.16
416 A Lexington Catholic 20- 2 18 4 1.24
421 H Tates Creek 16- 5 11 12 0.00
423 H Sayre School 9-13 -4 -2 -1.94
428 H Woodford County 19- 3 16 8 0.00
430 H Lafayette 20- 8 12 7 0.00
505 A Great Crossing 23- 0 23 10 0.00
510 H Frederick Douglass 20- 5 15 7 0.00
512 N Sayre School 7- 9 -2 -3 0.88
515 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 14-13 1 1 -0.30
517 N Sayre School 8-15 -7 -3 - -2.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 N Sayre School 8-15 -7 -3 - -2.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 13- 7 6 3 + 2.06 |
Henry Clay Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Assumption | |
| Atherton | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Ballard | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Bowling Green | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Bryan Station | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Central Hardin | Henry Clay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Henry Clay | |
| Christian Academy | Henry Clay | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Henry Clay | |
| Collins | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 8- 0 vs 6- 2 | ||
| Cooper | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Dixie Heights | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| DuPont Manual | Henry Clay | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Henry Clay | |
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern | ||
| Fern Creek | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Great Crossing | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Greenwood | Henry Clay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Henry Clay | |
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Lafayette | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Lexington Christian | Henry Clay | insuffient: ( 8- 0)( 7- 1) | Henry Clay | |
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | ||
| Male | Henry Clay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Henry Clay | |
| Mercy Academy | Henry Clay | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Henry Clay | |
| North Oldham | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 6- 0) | Notre Dame Academy | |
| Oldham County | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Owensboro | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Presentation Academy | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Ryle | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School | ||
| Scott County | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Shelby County | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| South Oldham | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| South Warren | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Henry | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Tates Creek | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Woodford County | Henry Clay | Henry Clay |
PowerWise = 33
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 0-18 -2.81 25.49 0.82 0.68 -1.35
0 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 12- 2 -20.29 8.01 0.82 0.68 6.01
0 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 20- 3 -23.93 4.37 0.82 0.68 3.53
0 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 10- 8 -17.24 11.05 0.82 0.68 8.08
0 H Sacred Heart A (15- 5, 95.6) 4-13 -4.33 23.96 -0.82 0.68 -3.51
0 A Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 14- 1 -19.50 8.79 0.82 0.68 6.54
0 H Louisville Col ( 7- 8, 91.2) 8-12 -8.72 19.58 -0.82 0.68 -6.49
0 H Paul Laurence (14- 5, 84.7) 13- 7 -15.19 13.10 -0.82 0.68 8.36
0 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 7- 4 -14.42 13.88 -0.82 0.68 8.88
0 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 8- 5 -15.73 12.57 0.82 0.68 9.11
0 A Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 20- 2 -17.65 10.65 0.82 0.68 7.80
0 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 16- 5 -23.98 4.32 -0.82 0.68 2.38
0 H Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 9-13 -10.19 18.11 -0.82 0.68 -7.49
0 H Woodford Count ( 5- 9, 79.9) 19- 3 -19.99 8.31 -0.82 0.68 5.09
0 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 20- 8 -19.42 8.87 -0.82 0.68 5.48
0 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 23- 0 -23.56 4.74 0.82 0.68 3.78
0 H Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 20- 5 -19.50 8.79 -0.82 0.68 5.42
0 N Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 7- 9 -10.19 18.11 -0.00 0.68 -6.93
0 A Paul Laurence (14- 5, 84.7) 14-13 -15.19 13.10 0.82 0.68 9.48
0 N Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 8-15 -10.19 18.11 -0.00 0.68 -6.93
------
57.24
|
winning pts = 89.9542 losing points = -32.7101
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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