Harwood Union
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 91.7027Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 H St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 4- 6 418 H Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 16- 2 430 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 4-14 501 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 5-15 503 A Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 14- 2 505 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 13- 4 508 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 12- 1 513 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 8-14 516 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8- 9 519 H Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 9-21 520 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 11-14 523 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 13-14 524 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 7-17 527 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 7-12 529 H Green Mountain Valley (13- 1, 99.6) 6-20 531 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 10- 7 604 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 16-11 607 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 H St Johnsbury Academy 4- 6 -2 -3 1.25
418 H Lyndon Institute 16- 2 14 10 0.00
430 A Burlington 4-14 -10 -3 - -2.01
501 A Essex 5-15 -10 -6 0.00
503 A Lamoille Union 14- 2 12 9 0.00
505 H Stowe 13- 4 9 2 + 2.76
508 H Milton 12- 1 11 8 0.00
513 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.05
516 H Rice Memorial 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.92
519 H Middlebury Union 9-21 -12 -4 -0.64
520 A Spaulding 11-14 -3 2 -- -5.28
523 H Colchester 13-14 -1 3 - -3.76
524 H Hartford 7-17 -10 -6 0.00
527 A U-32 7-12 -5 -4 -0.57
529 H Green Mountain Valley 6-20 -14 -7 0.00
531 A Stowe 10- 7 3 1 1.72
604 A Stowe 16-11 5 1 + 3.72
607 A Hartford 8-12 -4 -7 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 A Spaulding 11-14 -3 2 -- -5.28 430 A Burlington 4-14 -10 -3 - -2.01 513 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.05 523 H Colchester 13-14 -1 3 - -3.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Stowe 13- 4 9 2 + 2.76 516 H Rice Memorial 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.92 604 A Stowe 16-11 5 1 + 3.72 |
Harwood Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Brattleboro Union | Brattleboro Union | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Brattleboro Union | |
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Colchester | Colchester | Colchester | ||
| Essex | Essex | Essex | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | ||
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Lamoille Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Harwood Union | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Spaulding | Spaulding | Spaulding | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stowe | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | Harwood Union | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| U-32 | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Vergennes/Mt Abraham | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union 4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
PowerWise = 6
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Johnsbury A (10- 6, 95.4) 4- 6 -4.47 12.93 -0.48 0.86 -4.27
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 16- 2 -17.39 1.00 -0.48 0.86 0.45
0 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 4-14 -5.68 11.72 0.48 0.86 -4.49
0 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 5-15 -2.60 14.80 0.48 0.86 -1.84
0 A Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 14- 2 -17.40 1.00 0.48 0.86 1.28
0 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 13- 4 -9.96 7.44 -0.48 0.86 6.01
0 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 12- 1 -15.91 1.49 -0.48 0.86 0.87
0 A Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 8-14 -6.72 10.68 0.48 0.86 -5.39
0 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8- 9 -3.80 13.60 -0.48 0.86 -3.70
0 H Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 9-21 -3.36 14.04 -0.48 0.86 -3.32
0 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 11-14 -10.95 6.45 0.48 0.86 -9.04
0 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 13-14 -10.48 6.92 -0.48 0.86 -9.46
0 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 7-17 -1.73 15.67 -0.48 0.86 -1.91
0 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 7-12 -4.24 13.16 0.48 0.86 -3.25
0 H Green Mountain (13- 1, 99.6) 6-20 -0.32 17.08 -0.48 0.86 -0.69
0 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 10- 7 -9.96 7.44 0.48 0.86 6.84
0 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 16-11 -9.96 7.44 0.48 0.86 6.84
0 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 8-12 -1.73 15.67 0.48 0.86 -1.08
------
-26.14
|
winning pts = 22.2912 losing points = -48.4297
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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