Havre De Grace
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 83.0802Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 7-14 326 H Edgewood ( 2-10, 70.0) 20- 2 401 H Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 18- 9 404 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 6-13 407 A Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 22- 7 410 A Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 10- 9 414 A Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 17- 7 423 A Bel Air (11- 5, 87.6) 4-14 425 H Carver A&T ( 6- 6, 76.7) 17- 5 428 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 15- 7 430 A Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 22- 4 502 H Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 17- 4 509 H Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 21-12 512 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 6-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
324 H CM Wright 7-14 -7 -5 -0.34
326 H Edgewood 20- 2 18 14 0.00
401 H Patterson Mill 18- 9 9 4 0.92
404 A North Harford 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.30
407 A Elkton 22- 7 15 11 0.00
410 A Harford Tech 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.16
414 A Perryville 17- 7 10 7 0.00
423 A Bel Air 4-14 -10 -5 -0.05
425 H Carver A&T 17- 5 12 7 0.00
428 A Rising Sun 15- 7 8 5 0.30
430 A Aberdeen 22- 4 18 9 0.00
502 H Perryville 17- 4 13 8 0.00
509 H Patterson Mill 21-12 9 4 0.92
512 H Fallston 6-17 -11 -5 -0.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A North Harford 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Harford Tech 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.16 |
Havre De Grace Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Brookewood SG | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| DC International | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| FCA | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Field School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Friends School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Jemicy | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Maret School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| School Without Walls | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| St James School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| Washington Latin | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Worcester Prep | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Aberdeen | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Blair | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Blake | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Boonsboro | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Bowie | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Calvert | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Cambridge SD | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Carver A&T | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Catoctin | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Chopticon | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| City College | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Clarksburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dundalk | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| DuVal | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Eastern Technical | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Einstein | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Elkton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Franklin | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| Frederick | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Gaithersburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Glen Burnie | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Great Mills | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Guilford Park | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Gwynn Park | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hammond | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Harford Tech | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hereford | |
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Kennedy | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Kent County | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Lansdowne | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Laurel | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Long Reach | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Magruder | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| MJ McDonough | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North Dorchester | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North East Cecil | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace 6- 2 vs 2- 6 | ||
| North Hagerstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northeast | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northwestern PG | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northwood | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Old Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Overlea | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Owings Mills | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Oxon Hill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Paint Branch | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Parkdale | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Parkside | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Parkville | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Patapsco | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Patterson Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Patuxent | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Perry Hall | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Perryville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Pikesville | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Poolesville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Randallstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Reservoir | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Rising Sun | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Seneca Valley | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Severn Run | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Hagerstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Springbrook | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| St Charles | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Thomas Stone | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Western Baltimore | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Western STES | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Westlake | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Wilde Lake | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Winston Churchill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Wootton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace |
PowerWise = 144
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 7-14 -11.71 26.21 -0.45 0.85 -10.39
0 H Edgewood ( 2-10, 70.0) 20- 2 -29.95 7.97 -0.45 0.85 6.43
0 H Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 18- 9 -20.45 17.47 -0.45 0.85 14.54
0 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 6-13 -15.57 22.35 0.45 0.85 -12.92
0 A Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 22- 7 -27.81 10.11 0.45 0.85 9.03
0 A Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 10- 9 -16.11 21.81 0.45 0.85 19.02
0 A Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 17- 7 -24.49 13.43 0.45 0.85 11.86
0 A Bel Air (11- 5, 87.6) 4-14 -12.32 25.60 0.45 0.85 -10.14
0 H Carver A&T ( 6- 6, 76.7) 17- 5 -23.16 14.76 -0.45 0.85 12.23
0 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 15- 7 -21.97 15.95 0.45 0.85 14.01
0 A Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 22- 4 -26.39 11.53 0.45 0.85 10.24
0 H Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 17- 4 -24.49 13.43 -0.45 0.85 11.10
0 H Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 21-12 -20.45 17.47 -0.45 0.85 14.54
0 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 6-17 -11.85 26.07 -0.45 0.85 -10.51
------
79.03
|
winning pts = 123.0024 losing points = -43.9676
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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