Hartford
W-L: (15- 1) PR = 98.1694Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 14-10 418 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 15- 4 423 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 11- 8 430 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 13- 4 503 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 14-12 508 A Brattleboro Union ( 3- 9, 92.7) 13- 4 510 A St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 10- 6 513 A Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 14- 0 514 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 14- 1 519 A Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 13- 5 521 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 19- 1 524 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 17- 7 527 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 19-10 607 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 12- 8 610 N Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 15- 6 614 N Green Mountain Valley (13- 1, 99.6) 13-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 14-10 4 5 -0.51
418 A Spaulding 15- 4 11 9 0.00
423 H Mt Mansfield Union 11- 8 3 5 - -2.00
430 H Rice Memorial 13- 4 9 3 + 2.45
503 A U-32 14-12 2 2 -0.04
508 A Brattleboro Union 13- 4 9 5 0.00
510 A St Johnsbury Academy 10- 6 4 2 1.74
513 A Lyndon Institute 14- 0 14 15 0.00
514 H Stowe 14- 1 13 9 0.00
519 A Woodstock Union 13- 5 8 3 + 2.50
521 H Lamoille Union 19- 1 18 16 0.00
524 A Harwood Union 17- 7 10 6 0.00
527 H Burlington 19-10 9 4 0.57
607 H Harwood Union 12- 8 4 7 -1.00
610 N Woodstock Union 15- 6 9 3 + 2.02
614 N Green Mountain Valley 13-19 -6 -1 - -3.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 H Mt Mansfield Union 11- 8 3 5 - -2.00 614 N Green Mountain Valley 13-19 -6 -1 - -3.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Rice Memorial 13- 4 9 3 + 2.45 519 A Woodstock Union 13- 5 8 3 + 2.50 610 N Woodstock Union 15- 6 9 3 + 2.02 |
Hartford Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Hartford | Hartford 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Burlington | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Champlain Valley Union | |
| Colchester | Hartford | Hartford 10- 1 vs 4- 7 | ||
| Essex | Hartford | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Hartford | |
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | ||
| Harwood Union | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Lamoille Union | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Middlebury Union | Hartford | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Hartford | |
| Milton | Hartford | Hartford 10- 0 vs 1- 9 | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Rice Memorial | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Rutland | Hartford | Hartford 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| South Burlington | Hartford | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Hartford | |
| Spaulding | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Stowe | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | Hartford | Hartford 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| U-32 | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Woodstock Union | Hartford | Hartford |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 14-10 -6.72 10.68 0.48 0.97 10.84
0 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 15- 4 -10.95 6.45 0.48 0.97 6.73
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 11- 8 -6.44 10.96 -0.48 0.97 10.18
0 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 13- 4 -3.80 13.60 -0.48 0.97 12.74
0 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 14-12 -4.24 13.16 0.48 0.97 13.24
0 A Brattleboro Un ( 3- 9, 92.7) 13- 4 -7.21 10.19 0.48 0.97 10.36
0 A St Johnsbury A (10- 6, 95.4) 10- 6 -4.47 12.93 0.48 0.97 13.02
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 14- 0 -17.39 1.00 0.48 0.97 1.43
0 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 14- 1 -9.96 7.44 -0.48 0.97 6.77
0 A Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 13- 5 -4.71 12.69 0.48 0.97 12.79
0 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 19- 1 -17.40 1.00 -0.48 0.97 0.51
0 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 17- 7 -8.20 9.21 0.48 0.97 9.40
0 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 19-10 -5.68 11.72 -0.48 0.97 10.92
0 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 12- 8 -8.20 9.21 -0.48 0.97 8.48
0 N Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 15- 6 -4.71 12.69 -0.00 0.97 12.32
0 N Green Mountain (13- 1, 99.6) 13-19 -0.32 17.08 -0.00 0.97 -0.31
------
139.42
|
winning pts = 139.7353 losing points = -0.3109
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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