---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Hamden 1
  
Hamden                
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 77.8773

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 7-13 410 H Mercy (10- 7, 78.2) 8- 9 411 A Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 7- 8 414 A Shelton ( 6-10, 76.3) 12- 9 416 H North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 4-11 421 A Jonathan Law ( 2-14, 72.7) 11- 3 424 H West Haven ( 2-14, 72.9) 9- 6 428 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 11- 3 501 H New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 2-15 503 H Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 7-11 505 H Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 9-12 508 A Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 9-10 512 A West Haven ( 2-14, 72.9) 11- 8 517 A Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 9-10 519 A Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 3-23 521 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Guilford                7-13      -6    -4          -0.70
   410 H Mercy                   8- 9      -1     0          -1.44
   411 A Lyman Hall              7- 8      -1    -2           1.11
   414 A Shelton                12- 9       3     1    +      2.20
   416 H North Haven             4-11      -7     2    ---   -7.40
   421 A Jonathan Law           11- 3       8     4           0.53
   424 H West Haven              9- 6       3     6    -     -2.00
   428 A Sheehan                11- 3       8    -1    +++    6.15
   501 H New Fairfield           2-15     -13   -13           0.00
   503 H Lewis Mills             7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.74
   505 H Lyman Hall              9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.34
   508 A Sacred Heart Academy    9-10      -1    -3    +      2.13
   512 A West Haven             11- 8       3     4          -1.27
   517 A Trumbull                9-10      -1    -4    +      3.00
   519 A Amity Regional          3-23     -20   -12           0.00
   521 H Brien McMahon          10- 9       1    -2    +      3.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H North Haven             4-11      -7     2    ---   -7.40
   424 H West Haven              9- 6       3     6    -     -2.00
   503 H Lewis Mills             7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.74
   505 H Lyman Hall              9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Sheehan                11- 3       8    -1    +++    6.15
   414 A Shelton                12- 9       3     1    +      2.20
   508 A Sacred Heart Academy    9-10      -1    -3    +      2.13
   517 A Trumbull                9-10      -1    -4    +      3.00
   521 H Brien McMahon          10- 9       1    -2    +      3.48

Hamden Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Hamden   Hamden
Berlin Hamden insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hamden
Bethel Bethel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bethel
Branford Branford Branford   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Brien McMahon Hamden Hamden  
Bristol Central Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Bristol Eastern Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Brookfield Brookfield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Brookfield
Canton Canton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Conard Conard Conard   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cromwell Hamden   Hamden
Danbury Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hamden
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   4- 1 vs 1- 5
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic East Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
EO Smith Hamden tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hamden
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Hamden   Hamden
Foran Foran Foran   5- 3 vs 2- 6
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Hamden   Hamden
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hall
Housatonic Regional Hamden   Hamden
Immaculate Heart Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Hamden Hamden  
Killingly Hamden   Hamden
Lakeview United Hamden   Hamden
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall  
Masuk Masuk insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Masuk
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Middletown-Coginchaug Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Montville Hamden   Hamden
Morgan School Hamden   Hamden
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New London/St Bernards Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hamden
New Milford Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Newington Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Newtown Newtown insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Newtown
North Branford Hamden tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Hamden
North Haven North Haven North Haven  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Hamden insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Hamden
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hamden
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Hamden   Hamden
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
RHAM Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Rockville Hamden   Hamden
Rocky Hill Hamden   Hamden
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Sheehan Hamden Hamden  
Shelton Hamden Hamden  
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Windsor Hamden   Hamden
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Hamden   Hamden
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Stamford
Staples Staples insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Staples
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Hamden Hamden   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Suffield HS Suffield HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull  
Valley Regional Hamden   Hamden
Waterford Waterford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waterford
Watertown Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hamden
West Haven Hamden Hamden  
Westhill Westhill insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Westhill
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Weston
Wethersfield Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Wheeler Hamden   Hamden
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Wolcott Hamden   Hamden
Woodstock Academy Hamden   Hamden

PowerWise = 43


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Guilford        ( 8- 9, 82.9)     7-13      -17.00      17.81      -0.73         1.09           -19.39
   0 H Mercy           (10- 7, 78.2)     8- 9      -21.74      13.07      -0.73         1.09           -24.58
   0 A Lyman Hall      (10- 7, 79.3)     7- 8      -20.64      14.17       0.73         1.09           -21.79
   0 A Shelton         ( 6-10, 76.3)    12- 9      -23.55      11.26       0.73         1.09            13.11
   0 H North Haven     ( 6-10, 76.2)     4-11      -23.69      11.12      -0.73         1.09           -26.72
   0 A Jonathan Law    ( 2-14, 72.7)    11- 3      -27.22       7.59       0.73         1.09             9.09
   0 H West Haven      ( 2-14, 72.9)     9- 6      -27.02       7.79      -0.73         1.09             7.73
   0 A Sheehan         ( 8-10, 78.3)    11- 3      -21.60      13.21       0.73         1.09            15.25
   0 H New Fairfield   (21- 1, 91.1)     2-15       -8.80      26.01      -0.73         1.09           -10.42
   0 H Lewis Mills     (14- 5, 79.9)     7-11      -20.04      14.77      -0.73         1.09           -22.71
   0 H Lyman Hall      (10- 7, 79.3)     9-12      -20.64      14.17      -0.73         1.09           -23.37
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (10-10, 80.3)     9-10      -19.62      15.19       0.73         1.09           -20.67
   0 A West Haven      ( 2-14, 72.9)    11- 8      -27.02       7.79       0.73         1.09             9.32
   0 A Trumbull        (10- 7, 81.1)     9-10      -18.75      16.06       0.73         1.09           -19.72
   0 A Amity Regional  (15- 6, 89.2)     3-23      -10.74      24.07       0.73         1.09           -10.96
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 8- 9, 81.1)    10- 9      -18.81      16.00      -0.73         1.09            16.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -129.11

winning pts = 71.2128 losing points = -200.3224

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------