---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Haddam-Killingworth 1
  
Haddam-Killingworth   
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 76.5996

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 9- 8 408 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 7-17 410 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 8-10 415 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 8-15 417 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 17-14 419 H Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 3-17 422 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 6- 5 424 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 9-11 429 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 12- 6 501 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 15- 7 508 A Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 14- 8 513 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 15- 8 515 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 4- 9 517 A Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 8-18 519 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 17- 8 520 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 13- 5 527 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 9-12 603 A Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 7-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A North Branford          9- 8       1    -1           1.70
   408 H Suffield HS             7-17     -10    -8           0.00
   410 H Old Saybrook            8-10      -2     1    -     -2.98
   415 A Morgan School           8-15      -7     1    ---   -6.08
   417 A Cromwell               17-14       3     5          -1.70
   419 H Somers                  3-17     -14    -4          -1.05
   422 H Valley Regional         6- 5       1     4    -     -2.60
   424 H Old Lyme                9-11      -2    -1          -1.13
   429 A Old Saybrook           12- 6       6     0    ++     5.47
   501 H Morgan School          15- 7       8     3    +      2.47
   508 A Valley Regional        14- 8       6     2    +      2.86
   513 H North Branford         15- 8       7     1    ++     4.25
   515 A Old Lyme                4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.67
   517 A Norwich Free Academy    8-18     -10    -4          -0.88
   519 H Newington              17- 8       9     0    ++     5.44
   520 H Cromwell               13- 5       8     6           0.00
   527 A Old Saybrook            9-12      -3     0    -     -2.53
   603 A Sacred Heart Academy    7-17     -10    -4          -0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Morgan School           8-15      -7     1    ---   -6.08
   410 H Old Saybrook            8-10      -2     1    -     -2.98
   422 H Valley Regional         6- 5       1     4    -     -2.60
   515 A Old Lyme                4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.67
   527 A Old Saybrook            9-12      -3     0    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Old Saybrook           12- 6       6     0    ++     5.47
   513 H North Branford         15- 8       7     1    ++     4.25
   519 H Newington              17- 8       9     0    ++     5.44
   501 H Morgan School          15- 7       8     3    +      2.47
   508 A Valley Regional        14- 8       6     2    +      2.86

Haddam-Killingworth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Berlin Berlin insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Central Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern   Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Canton Canton insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Danbury Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ellington
Enfield Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
EO Smith EO Smith insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Farmington
Fitch Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 2) Haddam-Killingworth
Foran Foran tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   3- 2 vs 1- 5
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Haddam-Killingworth
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Guilford
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hall
Hamden Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Housatonic Regional Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Immaculate Heart Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Killingly Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Lakeview United Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ledyard Ledyard insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 2) Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Montville Montville tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 2) Montville
Morgan School Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   4- 3 vs 2- 3
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Milford Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Newington Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
North Haven Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Notre Dame Fairfield Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Old Lyme Old Lyme Old Lyme  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook  
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Rockville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rockville
Rocky Hill Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Sheehan Sheehan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Sheehan
Shelton Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Simsbury Simsbury tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor South Windsor tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Windsor
Southington Southington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Suffield HS Suffield HS Suffield HS  
Tolland Tolland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Waterford Waterford Waterford   3- 0 vs 1- 4
Watertown Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
West Haven Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Wheeler Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wheeler
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Wolcott Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Woodstock Academy Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddam-Killingworth

PowerWise = 31


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A North Branford  ( 8-10, 76.6)     9- 8      -23.32      11.49       0.73         0.97            11.88
   0 H Suffield HS     (19- 2, 85.4)     7-17      -14.54      20.27      -0.73         0.97           -14.85
   0 H Old Saybrook    (11- 7, 76.3)     8-10      -23.56      11.25      -0.73         0.97           -23.62
   0 A Morgan School   ( 8- 9, 74.8)     8-15      -25.11       9.70       0.73         0.97           -23.71
   0 A Cromwell        ( 1-14, 71.2)    17-14      -28.72       6.09       0.73         0.97             6.63
   0 H Somers          (13- 7, 81.3)     3-17      -18.63      16.18      -0.73         0.97           -18.82
   0 H Valley Regiona  ( 6-10, 73.7)     6- 5      -26.17       8.64      -0.73         0.97             7.70
   0 H Old Lyme        (13- 6, 78.2)     9-11      -21.70      13.11      -0.73         0.97           -21.81
   0 A Old Saybrook    (11- 7, 76.3)    12- 6      -23.56      11.25       0.73         0.97            11.65
   0 H Morgan School   ( 8- 9, 74.8)    15- 7      -25.11       9.70      -0.73         0.97             8.73
   0 A Valley Regiona  ( 6-10, 73.7)    14- 8      -26.17       8.64       0.73         0.97             9.11
   0 H North Branford  ( 8-10, 76.6)    15- 8      -23.32      11.49      -0.73         0.97            10.47
   0 A Old Lyme        (13- 6, 78.2)     4- 9      -21.70      13.11       0.73         0.97           -20.40
   0 A Norwich Free A  (12- 6, 80.0)     8-18      -19.91      14.90       0.73         0.97           -18.65
   0 H Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)    17- 8      -22.13      12.68      -0.73         0.97            11.62
   0 H Cromwell        ( 1-14, 71.2)    13- 5      -28.72       6.09      -0.73         0.97             5.21
   0 A Old Saybrook    (11- 7, 76.3)     9-12      -23.56      11.25       0.73         0.97           -22.20
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (10-10, 80.3)     7-17      -19.62      15.19       0.73         0.97           -18.37
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -99.45

winning pts = 82.9867 losing points = -182.4348

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------