Gulf Breeze
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 82.0683Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 22- 2 212 H West Florida ( 5- 7, 72.1) 16- 1 214 A Navarre (14- 6, 79.1) 18- 6 219 H Pensacola Catholic (18- 4, 87.6) 4-18 221 H Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 17- 7 226 H South Walton (17- 4, 83.6) 5- 8 228 A Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 5- 8 301 A Fletcher (11- 5, 78.9) 12-10 305 H Pensacola ( 1-12, 65.0) 22- 1 312 A Pensacola Catholic (18- 4, 87.6) 6-13 325 A Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 21- 3 327 A Washington ( 7- 7, 74.6) 19- 3 331 H South Walton (17- 4, 83.6) 10-11 402 H Navarre (14- 6, 79.1) 15- 8 404 A Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 15- 5 414 H Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 19- 6 416 H Navarre (14- 6, 79.1) 15- 6 422 H Tocoi Creek ( 9- 8, 83.1) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Tate 22- 2 20 12 0.00
212 H West Florida 16- 1 15 10 0.00
214 A Navarre 18- 6 12 3 + 2.48
219 H Pensacola Catholic 4-18 -14 -5 0.00
221 H Niceville 17- 7 10 6 0.00
226 H South Walton 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.97
228 A Bolles School 5- 8 -3 -3 0.49
301 A Fletcher 12-10 2 3 -0.71
305 H Pensacola 22- 1 21 18 0.00
312 A Pensacola Catholic 6-13 -7 -6 0.00
325 A Tate 21- 3 18 11 0.00
327 A Washington 19- 3 16 7 0.00
331 H South Walton 10-11 -1 -1 0.03
402 H Navarre 15- 8 7 3 1.57
404 A Niceville 15- 5 10 5 0.00
414 H Tate 19- 6 13 12 0.00
416 H Navarre 15- 6 9 3 1.57
422 H Tocoi Creek 8-12 -4 -1 - -3.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Tocoi Creek 8-12 -4 -1 - -3.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Navarre 18- 6 12 3 + 2.48 |
Gulf Breeze Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Alonso | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | ||
| Angeline Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Apopka | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Barron Collier | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bartow | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Beachside | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bloomingdale | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Boca Ciega | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Boca Raton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | Bolles School | ||
| Boone | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Buchholz | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Canterbury School | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cape Coral | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Celebration | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Clearwater Central Catho | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Colonial | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | Community School Naples | ||
| Cooper City | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Glades | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Reef | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Shores | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Coral Springs | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Countryside | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Creekside | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Cypress Lake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Discovery | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Durant | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Dwyer | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| East Lake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| East Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| East River | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Eastside | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Edgewater | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Edgewood | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Estero | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Evans | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| First Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Fleming Island | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Fletcher | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Forest | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Fort Myers | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gainesville | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gateway | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | Hagerty | ||
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Horizon | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| IMG Academy | IMG Academy | IMG Academy | ||
| IMG National | IMG National | IMG National | ||
| Immokalee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Innovation | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Key West | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Keys Gate | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | ||
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | Lake Howell | ||
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Minneola | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Nona | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lake Wales | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lakeland | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Land O Lakes | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Largo | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Leesburg | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lely | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lourdes Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Lyman | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Maclay | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Marco Island Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Martin County | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Matanzas | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Melbourne | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Menendez | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Merritt Island | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Miami Country Day | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Milton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Mitchell | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Naples | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Navarre | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Nease | Gulf Breeze | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Newberry | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| North Bay Haven | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Broward Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Northside Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| NSU University School | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ocoee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Okeechobee | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Olympia | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Olympic Heights | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Orangewood Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Osceola | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Park Vista | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Parrish Community | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Pasco | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Paxon Institute | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Pensacola | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ponte Vedra | |
| Providence School | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| River Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Riverdale | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Riverside | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Rockledge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sandalwood | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Santa Fe | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sarasota | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Satellite | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Seacoast Collegiate | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Sebastian River | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Seminole | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Lake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Plantation | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | St Augustine | |
| St Brendan | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Cloud | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Petersburg | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Sunlake | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Timber Creek | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Trinity Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Venice | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | Vero Beach | ||
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Washington | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wekiva | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wellington | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Boca Raton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Broward | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Florida | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Orange | |
| Western | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Westminster Christian | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wharton | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Windermere HS | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Windermere Prep | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Winter Haven | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Winter Park | |
| Winter Springs | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Wolfson | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Gulf Breeze |
PowerWise = 177
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 22- 2 -29.67 12.43 -0.45 0.80 9.54
0 H West Florida ( 5- 7, 72.1) 16- 1 -27.78 14.32 -0.45 0.80 11.04
0 A Navarre (14- 6, 79.1) 18- 6 -20.81 21.29 0.45 0.80 17.32
0 H Pensacola Cath (18- 4, 87.6) 4-18 -12.32 29.78 -0.45 0.80 -10.18
0 H Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 17- 7 -23.48 18.62 -0.45 0.80 14.47
0 H South Walton (17- 4, 83.6) 5- 8 -16.34 25.76 -0.45 0.80 -13.38
0 A Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 5- 8 -14.79 27.31 0.45 0.80 -11.42
0 A Fletcher (11- 5, 78.9) 12-10 -21.00 21.10 0.45 0.80 17.17
0 H Pensacola ( 1-12, 65.0) 22- 1 -34.90 7.20 -0.45 0.80 5.37
0 A Pensacola Cath (18- 4, 87.6) 6-13 -12.32 29.78 0.45 0.80 -9.45
0 A Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 21- 3 -29.67 12.43 0.45 0.80 10.27
0 A Washington ( 7- 7, 74.6) 19- 3 -25.29 16.81 0.45 0.80 13.75
0 H South Walton (17- 4, 83.6) 10-11 -16.34 25.76 -0.45 0.80 -13.38
0 H Navarre (14- 6, 79.1) 15- 8 -20.81 21.29 -0.45 0.80 16.60
0 A Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 15- 5 -23.48 18.62 0.45 0.80 15.19
0 H Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 19- 6 -29.67 12.43 -0.45 0.80 9.54
0 H Navarre (14- 6, 79.1) 15- 6 -20.81 21.29 -0.45 0.80 16.60
0 H Tocoi Creek ( 9- 8, 83.1) 8-12 -16.79 25.31 -0.45 0.80 -13.74
------
85.31
|
winning pts = 156.8655 losing points = -71.5531
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------