---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Grand Ledge 1
  
Grand Ledge           
W-L: (14- 4) PR = 89.7702

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 16- 9 410 A Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 5-11 412 H Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 16- 4 412 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 13- 4 412 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 8- 8 414 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 16- 6 417 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 8-12 422 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 14- 9 424 A Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 17- 9 429 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 20-10 501 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 15- 4 503 A Spring Lake ( 8- 9, 93.3) 6-17 505 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 13- 7 507 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 20-10 513 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri ( 3-15, 83.2) 19- 6 514 A Grandville ( 8-12, 86.6) 18-14 521 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 16- 5 528 H DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 18- 8 530 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 18-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Saginaw Heritage       16- 9       7     3    +      2.35
   410 A Holt                    5-11      -6     0    --    -4.68
   412 H Davison                16- 4      12    12           0.00
   412 H Swartz Creek           13- 4       9     5           0.00
   412 A Mattawan                8- 8       0    -3    +      2.91
   414 A East Lansing           16- 6      10     5           0.00
   417 A Haslett                 8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.58
   422 H Okemos                 14- 9       5     5           0.00
   424 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 17- 9       8     4           1.42
   429 A DeWitt                 20-10      10     4           0.63
   501 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    15- 4      11    10           0.00
   503 A Spring Lake             6-17     -11    -4          -0.84
   505 H Swartz Creek           13- 7       6     5           0.00
   507 H Flushing               20-10      10    13           0.00
   513 A Ann Arbor Father Gabri 19- 6      13     6           0.00
   514 A Grandville             18-14       4     3           1.50
   521 H Swartz Creek           16- 5      11     5           0.00
   528 H DeWitt                 18- 8      10     6           0.00
   530 A Haslett                18-20      -2    -1          -0.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Holt                    5-11      -6     0    --    -4.68
   417 A Haslett                 8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Saginaw Heritage       16- 9       7     3    +      2.35
   412 A Mattawan                8- 8       0    -3    +      2.91

Grand Ledge Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Ann Arbor Huron Grand Ledge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Pioneer Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Skyline Grand Ledge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Avondale Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Battle Creek Harper Cree Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Bedford Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Byron Center Grand Ledge tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Grand Ledge
Caledonia Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) Grand Ledge
Canton Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Cass Tech Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chippewa Valley Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Clarkston Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Comstock Park Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Dexter Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Grand Ledge
Divine Child Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   3- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lansing Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Farmington Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Grand Ledge
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Grand Ledge
Flint Powers Catholic Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Flushing Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Grand Ledge
Grand Blanc Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grand Haven Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Ledge tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) Grand Ledge
Grandville Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grosse Pointe North Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grosse Pointe South Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett  
Henry Ford II Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Holland West Ottawa Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Grand Ledge
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   5- 0 vs 1- 3
Hudsonville Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 4- 1) Grand Ledge
Jenison Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kalamazoo Central Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Fenton Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lakeview Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Lapeer Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Livonia United Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Lowell Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 4) Grand Ledge
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mercy
Midland Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 2) Northview
Northville Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Notre Dame Prep Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Novi Grand Ledge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Okemos Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Oxford Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Grand Ledge
Plymouth Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Portage Northern Grand Ledge tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 4) Grand Ledge
Reeths-Puffer Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Rochester Adams Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Rochester HS Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Rochester Stoney Creek Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockford
Royal Oak Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Sacred Heart Academy Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Saginaw Heritage Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Salem Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake Spring Lake  
St Catherine of Siena Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Swartz Creek Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Tecumseh Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Traverse City Central Grand Ledge tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 2) Grand Ledge
Troy Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Troy Athens Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
University Liggett Grand Ledge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Utica Eisenhower Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Walled Lake Northern Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Warren Regina Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Waterford United Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
West Bloomfield Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Ledge

PowerWise = 74


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)    16- 9      -12.16      17.03      -0.62         0.85            13.89
   0 A Holt            (15- 6, 89.5)     5-11      -10.43      18.76       0.62         0.85            -8.30
   0 H Davison         ( 2-15, 78.2)    16- 4      -21.68       7.51      -0.62         0.85             5.83
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)    13- 4      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         0.85            11.59
   0 A East Lansing    ( 4-12, 83.8)    16- 6      -16.12      13.08       0.62         0.85            11.59
   0 A Haslett         (12- 7, 90.6)     8-12       -9.33      19.87       0.62         0.85            -7.37
   0 H Okemos          ( 5- 9, 85.3)    14- 9      -14.64      14.55      -0.62         0.85            11.79
   0 A Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)    17- 9      -14.33      14.86       0.62         0.85            13.10
   0 A DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)    20-10      -15.12      14.07       0.62         0.85            12.44
   0 H St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)    15- 4      -19.27       9.92      -0.62         0.85             7.87
   0 A Spring Lake     ( 8- 9, 93.3)     6-17       -6.59      22.60       0.62         0.85            -5.05
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)    13- 7      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         0.85            11.59
   0 H Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)    20-10      -22.46       6.73      -0.62         0.85             5.17
   0 A Ann Arbor Fath  ( 3-15, 83.2)    19- 6      -16.70      12.50       0.62         0.85            11.10
   0 A Grandville      ( 8-12, 86.6)    18-14      -13.25      15.94       0.62         0.85            14.02
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)    16- 5      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         0.85            11.59
   0 H DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)    18- 8      -15.12      14.07      -0.62         0.85            11.39
   0 A Haslett         (12- 7, 90.6)    18-20       -9.33      19.87       0.62         0.85            -7.37
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       124.88

winning pts = 152.9732 losing points = -28.0888

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------