Green Mountain Valle
W-L: (13- 1) PR = 99.5798
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
424 A Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 16- 2
428 A Stratton Mountain Scho ( 0- 8, 90.7) 15- 2
430 H Stratton Mountain Scho ( 0- 8, 90.7) 15- 2
502 A Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 9-10
505 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 18- 9
519 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 16- 6
522 H Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 15- 4
524 A Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 20- 1
528 A Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 15- 2
529 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 20- 6
531 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 16- 3
606 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 17- 5
610 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 8- 2
614 N Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 19-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 A Lyndon Institute 16- 2 14 17 0.00
428 A Stratton Mountain Scho 15- 2 13 8 0.00
430 H Stratton Mountain Scho 15- 2 13 9 0.00
502 A Woodstock Union 9-10 -1 4 -- -4.91
505 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 18- 9 9 7 0.00
519 H U-32 16- 6 10 4 0.60
522 H Woodstock Union 15- 4 11 5 0.13
524 A Lamoille Union 20- 1 19 17 0.00
528 A Colchester 15- 2 13 10 0.00
529 A Harwood Union 20- 6 14 7 0.00
531 H Spaulding 16- 3 13 11 0.00
606 H Spaulding 17- 5 12 11 0.00
610 H U-32 8- 2 6 4 0.60
614 N Hartford 19-13 6 1 + 3.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 A Woodstock Union 9-10 -1 4 -- -4.91
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
614 N Hartford 19-13 6 1 + 3.59
|
Green Mountain Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Bellows Free Academy - S |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Green Mountain Valley |
Brattleboro Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
Green Mountain Valley   3- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
Burlington |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
Green Mountain Valley   7- 0 vs 5- 2 |
|
Burr & Burton Academy |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Green Mountain Valley |
Champlain Valley Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
 
| Green Mountain Valley |
Colchester |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Essex |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Green Mountain Valley |
Hartford |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Harwood Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Lamoille Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Lyndon Institute |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Middlebury Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Green Mountain Valley |
Milton |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
Green Mountain Valley   7- 0 vs 1- 6 |
|
Mt Anthony Union |
Mt Anthony Union |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) |
Mt Anthony Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
Green Mountain Valley   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Rice Memorial |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
insuffient: ( 7- 0)( 6- 1) |
Green Mountain Valley |
Rutland |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) |
Green Mountain Valley |
South Burlington |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Green Mountain Valley |
Spaulding |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
St Johnsbury Academy |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
Green Mountain Valley   9- 1 vs 6- 3 |
|
Stowe |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
Green Mountain Valley   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Stratton Mountain School |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
U-32 |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Vergennes/Mt Abraham |
Green Mountain Valley |
Green Mountain Valley |
 
| |
Woodstock Union |
Green Mountain Valley |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) |
Green Mountain Valley |
PowerWise = 24

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 16- 2 -17.39 1.00 0.48 1.11 1.64
0 A Stratton Mount ( 0- 8, 90.7) 15- 2 -9.21 8.19 0.48 1.11 9.62
0 H Stratton Mount ( 0- 8, 90.7) 15- 2 -9.21 8.19 -0.48 1.11 8.56
0 A Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 9-10 -4.71 12.69 0.48 1.11 -4.70
0 H Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 18- 9 -6.72 10.68 -0.48 1.11 11.33
0 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 16- 6 -4.24 13.16 -0.48 1.11 14.08
0 H Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 15- 4 -4.71 12.69 -0.48 1.11 13.56
0 A Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 20- 1 -17.40 1.00 0.48 1.11 1.64
0 A Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 15- 2 -10.48 6.92 0.48 1.11 8.21
0 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 20- 6 -8.20 9.21 0.48 1.11 10.75
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 16- 3 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 1.11 6.63
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 17- 5 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 1.11 6.63
0 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 8- 2 -4.24 13.16 -0.48 1.11 14.08
0 N Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 19-13 -1.73 15.67 -0.00 1.11 17.39
------
119.40
|
winning pts = 124.1011 losing points = -4.6999
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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