---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Grimsley 1
  
Grimsley              
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 80.6799

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A North Davidson ( 7- 9, 73.9) 14- 4 303 A Atkins (12- 8, 78.2) 8- 9 304 H Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 8- 5 310 A Davie (10-10, 75.8) 16- 4 317 A Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 3-15 325 A Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 7- 9 402 A RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 7- 6 408 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 7-13 422 H Ragsdale ( 1- 9, 70.5) 20- 0 423 H Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 8- 9 424 A Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 10- 2 428 H Page ( 5- 9, 80.4) 9- 6 501 A Northern Guilford ( 1-11, 75.4) 12- 9 506 H Northern Guilford ( 1-11, 75.4) 12- 4 507 A Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 7- 6 508 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 9-14 513 H Porter Ridge ( 7-10, 76.4) 13- 7 516 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 8-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A North Davidson         14- 4      10     7           0.00
   303 A Atkins                  8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.13
   304 H Southwest Guilford      8- 5       3     5          -1.54
   310 A Davie                  16- 4      12     5           0.39
   317 A Bishop McGuinness       3-15     -12    -6           0.00
   325 A Southeast Guilford      7- 9      -2     0          -1.55
   402 A RJ Reynolds             7- 6       1    -1           1.94
   408 A Northwest Guilford      7-13      -6    -8           0.00
   422 H Ragsdale               20- 0      20    10           0.00
   423 H Southeast Guilford      8- 9      -1     0          -1.16
   424 A Southwest Guilford     10- 2       8     4           1.07
   428 H Page                    9- 6       3     1    +      2.43
   501 A Northern Guilford      12- 9       3     5          -1.97
   506 H Northern Guilford      12- 4       8     6           0.00
   507 A Southeast Guilford      7- 6       1     0           1.45
   508 A Northwest Guilford      9-14      -5    -8           0.00
   513 H Porter Ridge           13- 7       6     5           0.42
   516 H West Forsyth            8-20     -12    -4          -1.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Atkins                  8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Page                    9- 6       3     1    +      2.43

Grimsley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins Atkins  
Ballantyne Ridge Grimsley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Grimsley
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness  
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Grimsley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grimsley
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Grimsley   Grimsley
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Grimsley   Grimsley
Cary Academy Grimsley   Grimsley
Cary HS Grimsley   Grimsley
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Grimsley   Grimsley
Cleveland Grimsley   Grimsley
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Grimsley   Grimsley
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Davidson Day School
Davie Grimsley Grimsley  
DH Conley Grimsley   Grimsley
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Grimsley Grimsley   3- 4 vs 0- 6
Enloe Grimsley   Grimsley
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight Grimsley   Grimsley
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Grimsley   Grimsley
Glenn Grimsley Grimsley   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Grimsley   Grimsley
Greensboro Day School Grimsley insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Grimsley
Havelock Grimsley   Grimsley
Heritage Grimsley   Grimsley
Hickory Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
High Point Central Grimsley Grimsley   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt Grimsley   Grimsley
Independence Grimsley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grimsley
Jack Britt Grimsley   Grimsley
Jacksonville Grimsley   Grimsley
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Grimsley   Grimsley
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Grimsley Grimsley   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Mount Tabor Grimsley Grimsley   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Grimsley   Grimsley
North Davidson Grimsley Grimsley  
North Lincoln Grimsley   Grimsley
Northern Guilford Grimsley Grimsley  
Northside Grimsley   Grimsley
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Northwood Grimsley   Grimsley
Page Grimsley Grimsley  
Panther Creek Grimsley   Grimsley
Parkwood Grimsley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grimsley
Patton Grimsley   Grimsley
Pine Forest Grimsley   Grimsley
Pine Lake Prep Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Grimsley Grimsley  
Providence Grimsley   Grimsley
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Grimsley   Grimsley
Ragsdale Grimsley Grimsley  
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Grimsley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Grimsley
RJ Reynolds Grimsley Grimsley  
Rolesville Grimsley   Grimsley
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Grimsley   Grimsley
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford  
Southlake Christian Grimsley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grimsley
Southwest Guilford Grimsley Grimsley  
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens Grimsley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Grimsley
Sun Valley Grimsley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grimsley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson Grimsley   Grimsley
Terry Sanford Grimsley   Grimsley
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga Grimsley   Grimsley
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Weddington
West Brunswick Grimsley   Grimsley
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
West Stokes Grimsley insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Grimsley
White Oak Grimsley   Grimsley
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 61


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A North Davidson  ( 7- 9, 73.9)    14- 4      -26.03      13.78       0.31         0.94            13.19
   0 A Atkins          (12- 8, 78.2)     8- 9      -21.65      18.15       0.31         0.94           -20.00
   0 H Southwest Guil  ( 8-13, 76.4)     8- 5      -23.45      16.35      -0.31         0.94            15.04
   0 A Davie           (10-10, 75.8)    16- 4      -24.14      15.66       0.31         0.94            14.96
   0 A Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)     3-15      -13.71      26.09       0.31         0.94           -12.56
   0 A Southeast Guil  (15- 5, 80.8)     7- 9      -19.08      20.72       0.31         0.94           -17.59
   0 A RJ Reynolds     (13-10, 81.3)     7- 6      -18.59      21.21       0.31         0.94            20.16
   0 A Northwest Guil  (16- 5, 88.2)     7-13      -11.67      28.14       0.31         0.94           -10.65
   0 H Ragsdale        ( 1- 9, 70.5)    20- 0      -29.38      10.42      -0.31         0.94             9.48
   0 H Southeast Guil  (15- 5, 80.8)     8- 9      -19.08      20.72      -0.31         0.94           -18.16
   0 A Southwest Guil  ( 8-13, 76.4)    10- 2      -23.45      16.35       0.31         0.94            15.61
   0 H Page            ( 5- 9, 80.4)     9- 6      -19.48      20.32      -0.31         0.94            18.76
   0 A Northern Guilf  ( 1-11, 75.4)    12- 9      -24.50      15.31       0.31         0.94            14.63
   0 H Northern Guilf  ( 1-11, 75.4)    12- 4      -24.50      15.31      -0.31         0.94            14.06
   0 A Southeast Guil  (15- 5, 80.8)     7- 6      -19.08      20.72       0.31         0.94            19.71
   0 A Northwest Guil  (16- 5, 88.2)     9-14      -11.67      28.14       0.31         0.94           -10.65
   0 H Porter Ridge    ( 7-10, 76.4)    13- 7      -23.50      16.31      -0.31         0.94            14.99
   0 H West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     8-20      -15.17      24.64      -0.31         0.94           -14.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        66.48

winning pts = 170.5854 losing points = -104.1084

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------