---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Greely 1
  
Greely                
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 95.2144

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 422 A Kennebunk (16- 0, 99.9) 1-10 424 A Freeport (16- 0, 98.4) 7- 8 429 H Marshwood (11- 5, 96.3) 9-10 502 A York ( 6-10, 93.5) 5- 3 506 H Falmouth (12- 5, 95.9) 3- 5 508 H Cape Elizabeth ( 8- 9, 94.5) 10- 7 512 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 15- 5 516 A Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 7- 6 517 A Fryeburg Academy ( 8- 6, 91.2) 16- 1 521 A North Yarmouth Academy ( 7- 8, 93.7) 0- 3 528 H York ( 6-10, 93.5) 10- 5 530 H Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 8- 6 531 A Waynflete School ( 8- 7, 93.1) 7- 4 602 A Fryeburg Academy ( 8- 6, 91.2) 6-17 604 H Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 7- 8 613 N Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 12- 6 618 A Freeport (16- 0, 98.4) 11-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Kennebunk               1-10      -9    -5           0.00
   424 A Freeport                7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.66
   429 H Marshwood               9-10      -1    -1          -0.47
   502 A York                    5- 3       2     1           0.81
   506 H Falmouth                3- 5      -2     0          -1.86
   508 H Cape Elizabeth         10- 7       3     1           1.75
   512 H Messalonskee           15- 5      10     5           0.00
   516 A Yarmouth                7- 6       1     0           1.27
   517 A Fryeburg Academy       16- 1      15     3           1.50
   521 A North Yarmouth Academy  0- 3      -3     1    --    -4.03
   528 H York                   10- 5       5     2    +      2.78
   530 H Maranacook/Winthrop     8- 6       2     1           1.02
   531 A Waynflete School        7- 4       3     2           1.36
   602 A Fryeburg Academy        6-17     -11     3    ---   -8.50
   604 H Yarmouth                7- 8      -1     1          -1.76
   613 N Gardiner-Hall-Dale     12- 6       6     4           0.81
   618 A Freeport               11-12      -1    -4    +      2.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 A Fryeburg Academy        6-17     -11     3    ---   -8.50
   521 A North Yarmouth Academy  0- 3      -3     1    --    -4.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Freeport                7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.66
   528 H York                   10- 5       5     2    +      2.78
   618 A Freeport               11-12      -1    -4    +      2.66

Greely Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Greely insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Greely
Biddeford Greely tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Greely
Bonny Eagle Greely   Greely
Brewer/Hampden Greely Greely   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Brunswick Greely Greely   5- 2 vs 2- 4
Camden Hills Regional Greely insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Greely
Cape Elizabeth Greely Greely  
Cheverus Greely insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 2) Greely
Cony Greely insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Greely
Deering Greely insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Greely
Edward Little Greely insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Greely
Erskine Academy Greely Greely   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Falmouth Falmouth Falmouth  
Freeport Freeport Freeport  
Fryeburg Academy Greely tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Greely
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Greely Greely  
Gorham Gorham Gorham   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Greely Greely   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Houlton Greely Greely   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kennebunk Kennebunk Kennebunk  
Lake Region Greely Greely   5- 4 vs 1- 6
Lewiston Greely Greely   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lincoln Academy Greely Greely   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Maranacook/Winthrop Greely Greely  
Marshwood Marshwood Marshwood  
Massabesic Greely insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 2- 5) Greely
MCI/Nokomis Greely Greely   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Messalonskee Greely Greely  
Morse-Boothbay Greely Greely   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Mount Ararat
Mount Blue Greely Greely   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Noble Greely insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Greely
North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy  
Oceanside Greely   Greely
Oxford Hills Comp Greely Greely   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Portland Greely insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Greely
Sanford Greely tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Greely
Scarborough Greely insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Greely
South Portland Greely tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Greely
St Dominic Academy Greely Greely   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Thornton Academy Greely Greely   2- 4 vs 0- 5
Traip Academy Greely insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Greely
Waynflete School Greely Greely  
Wells Greely insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Greely
Westbrook Greely   Greely
Windham Windham Windham   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Winslow/Lawrence Greely   Greely
Yarmouth Greely tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Greely
York Greely Greely  

PowerWise = 41


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Kennebunk       (16- 0, 99.9)     1-10       -0.00      18.75       0.51         0.92            -0.47
   0 A Freeport        (16- 0, 98.4)     7- 8       -1.54      17.21       0.51         0.92            -0.95
   0 H Marshwood       (11- 5, 96.3)     9-10       -3.64      15.11      -0.51         0.92            -3.83
   0 A York            ( 6-10, 93.5)     5- 3       -6.39      12.36       0.51         0.92            11.87
   0 H Falmouth        (12- 5, 95.9)     3- 5       -4.04      14.71      -0.51         0.92            -4.20
   0 H Cape Elizabeth  ( 8- 9, 94.5)    10- 7       -5.42      13.33      -0.51         0.92            11.82
   0 H Messalonskee    ( 8- 8, 90.4)    15- 5       -9.53       9.21      -0.51         0.92             8.03
   0 A Yarmouth        ( 9- 7, 95.0)     7- 6       -4.93      13.82       0.51         0.92            13.22
   0 A Fryeburg Acade  ( 8- 6, 91.2)    16- 1       -8.70      10.05       0.51         0.92             9.74
   0 A North Yarmouth  ( 7- 8, 93.7)     0- 3       -6.23      12.52       0.51         0.92            -5.27
   0 H York            ( 6-10, 93.5)    10- 5       -6.39      12.36      -0.51         0.92            10.93
   0 H Maranacook/Win  (11- 4, 94.7)     8- 6       -5.15      13.60      -0.51         0.92            12.07
   0 A Waynflete Scho  ( 8- 7, 93.1)     7- 4       -6.84      11.90       0.51         0.92            11.45
   0 A Fryeburg Acade  ( 8- 6, 91.2)     6-17       -8.70      10.05       0.51         0.92            -7.55
   0 H Yarmouth        ( 9- 7, 95.0)     7- 8       -4.93      13.82      -0.51         0.92            -5.02
   0 N Gardiner-Hall-  ( 9- 6, 91.0)    12- 6       -8.87       9.87      -0.00         0.92             9.11
   0 A Freeport        (16- 0, 98.4)    11-12       -1.54      17.21       0.51         0.92            -0.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        70.00

winning pts = 98.2395 losing points = -28.2440

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------