Great Mills
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 73.2450Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 4-17 326 A North Point ( 5- 7, 76.5) 2-14 331 H Westlake ( 0-11, 66.2) 13- 4 402 A Patuxent ( 5- 9, 73.8) 6- 7 404 A Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 8-16 407 H Huntingtown (12- 3, 88.3) 1-21 411 H La Plata ( 9- 3, 84.0) 5-12 421 H Northern Calvert (12- 2, 87.6) 3-18 425 A Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 1-19 428 A Lackey ( 2-11, 70.4) 9- 6 430 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 7-10 502 H St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 18- 0 507 A St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 9- 3 508 A Northern Calvert (12- 2, 87.6) 4-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
324 A Calvert 4-17 -13 -8 0.00
326 A North Point 2-14 -12 -4 -1.25
331 H Westlake 13- 4 9 7 0.00
402 A Patuxent 6- 7 -1 -1 0.05
404 A Chopticon 8-16 -8 -6 0.00
407 H Huntingtown 1-21 -20 -15 0.00
411 H La Plata 5-12 -7 -10 0.00
421 H Northern Calvert 3-18 -15 -14 0.00
425 A Leonardtown 1-19 -18 -17 0.00
428 A Lackey 9- 6 3 2 0.57
430 A MJ McDonough 7-10 -3 0 - -2.51
502 H St Charles 18- 0 18 4 1.05
507 A St Charles 9- 3 6 3 1.94
508 A Northern Calvert 4-15 -11 -15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A MJ McDonough 7-10 -3 0 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Great Mills Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Field School | Field School | ||
| Friends School | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| School Without Walls | School Without Walls | School Without Walls | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Washington Latin | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Worcester Prep | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | Aberdeen | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Annapolis | |
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | CMIT North | CMIT North | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| DuVal | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Einstein | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Gaithersburg | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Guilford Park | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Gwynn Park | Great Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Great Mills | |
| Hammond | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Lansdowne | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Laurel | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North East Cecil | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North Hagerstown | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast | Northeast | Northeast | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Northwood | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Owings Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Oxon Hill | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Paint Branch | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Parkdale | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Patapsco | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Seneca Valley | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severn Run | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern | |
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| St Charles | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Western Baltimore | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Western STES | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Westlake | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 66
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 4-17 -19.19 18.73 0.45 0.85 -16.02
0 A North Point ( 5- 7, 76.5) 2-14 -23.36 14.56 0.45 0.85 -19.58
0 H Westlake ( 0-11, 66.2) 13- 4 -33.70 4.22 -0.45 0.85 3.22
0 A Patuxent ( 5- 9, 73.8) 6- 7 -26.06 11.86 0.45 0.85 -21.88
0 A Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 8-16 -20.85 17.07 0.45 0.85 -17.44
0 H Huntingtown (12- 3, 88.3) 1-21 -11.59 26.33 -0.45 0.85 -10.29
0 H La Plata ( 9- 3, 84.0) 5-12 -15.87 22.05 -0.45 0.85 -13.94
0 H Northern Calve (12- 2, 87.6) 3-18 -12.30 25.62 -0.45 0.85 -10.89
0 A Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 1-19 -10.52 27.40 0.45 0.85 -8.61
0 A Lackey ( 2-11, 70.4) 9- 6 -29.53 8.39 0.45 0.85 7.55
0 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 7-10 -26.61 11.31 0.45 0.85 -22.36
0 H St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 18- 0 -30.16 7.76 -0.45 0.85 6.25
0 A St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 9- 3 -30.16 7.76 0.45 0.85 7.01
0 A Northern Calve (12- 2, 87.6) 4-15 -12.30 25.62 0.45 0.85 -10.12
------
-127.09
|
winning pts = 24.0337 losing points = -151.1220
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------