---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Grand Blanc 1
  
Grand Blanc           
W-L: ( 9-11) PR = 84.4379

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 7- 6 320 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 19-20 408 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 16- 8 410 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 18- 5 412 H Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 10-13 414 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 1-14 415 H Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 17-16 416 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 8-13 421 H Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 4-17 422 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 19-10 429 H Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 7- 9 501 H Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 16- 5 503 A Sacred Heart Academy ( 8- 7, 85.6) 6-11 503 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 8- 6 505 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 13-16 508 A Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 4-14 512 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 10-13 514 H Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 19-13 516 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 17- 8 522 A Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 3-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Rochester Stoney Creek  7- 6       1    -3    +      3.95
   320 H Clarkston              19-20      -1     0          -1.07
   408 A Davison                16- 8       8     6           0.00
   410 H Midland                18- 5      13     5           0.00
   412 H Portage Northern       10-13      -3    -3          -0.12
   414 H Saline                  1-14     -13    -8           0.00
   415 H Flint Powers Catholic  17-16       1     3          -1.82
   416 H Troy Athens             8-13      -5    -2    -     -3.40
   421 H Lake Orion              4-17     -13    -6           0.00
   422 A Midland                19-10       9     4           0.97
   429 H Saginaw Heritage        7- 9      -2    -3           0.68
   501 H Davison                16- 5      11     7           0.00
   503 A Sacred Heart Academy    6-11      -5    -2    -     -3.20
   503 H Troy Athens             8- 6       2    -2    +      3.60
   505 H Howell                 13-16      -3     1    -     -3.84
   508 A Saginaw Heritage        4-14     -10    -4          -1.08
   512 A Swartz Creek           10-13      -3    -1          -1.80
   514 H Flint Powers Catholic  19-13       6     3    +      2.18
   516 H Clarkston              17- 8       9     0    ++     4.93
   522 A Lake Orion              3-22     -19    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Troy Athens             8-13      -5    -2    -     -3.40
   503 A Sacred Heart Academy    6-11      -5    -2    -     -3.20
   505 H Howell                 13-16      -3     1    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Clarkston              17- 8       9     0    ++     4.93
   319 A Rochester Stoney Creek  7- 6       1    -3    +      3.95
   503 H Troy Athens             8- 6       2    -2    +      3.60
   514 H Flint Powers Catholic  19-13       6     3    +      2.18

Grand Blanc Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Grand Blanc
Ann Arbor Huron Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Ann Arbor Pioneer Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Ann Arbor Skyline Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Avondale Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Cass Tech Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Clarkston Clarkston insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Dexter
Divine Child Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing Grand Blanc tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Grand Blanc
Farmington Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 3 vs 1- 3
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Grand Blanc
Flint Powers Catholic Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Flushing Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Grand Blanc
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Haven Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Henry Ford II Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Holland West Ottawa Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Holt
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudsonville
Jenison Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Kalamazoo Central Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Lake Fenton Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion  
Lakeview Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Livonia United Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Blanc
Lowell Lowell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lowell
Marian Marian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercy
Midland Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Novi Novi tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Oxford Grand Blanc tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Grand Blanc
Plymouth Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Portage Northern Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 2) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 3 vs 1- 3
Rochester Stoney Creek Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockford
Royal Oak Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 2 vs 0- 3
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Saline Saline Saline  
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 3 vs 1- 3
Troy Athens Troy Athens insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Warren Regina Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Blanc
Waterford United Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
West Bloomfield Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   2- 2 vs 0- 2
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grand Blanc

PowerWise = 45


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Rochester Ston  ( 9- 8, 86.8)     7- 6      -13.13      16.06       0.62         0.80            13.42
   0 H Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)    19-20      -14.91      14.28      -0.62         0.80           -12.49
   0 A Davison         ( 2-15, 78.2)    16- 8      -21.68       7.51       0.62         0.80             6.54
   0 H Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)    18- 5      -20.11       9.08      -0.62         0.80             6.81
   0 H Portage Northe  (12-10, 87.9)    10-13      -11.96      17.23      -0.62         0.80           -10.11
   0 H Saline          (16- 3, 92.7)     1-14       -7.25      21.94      -0.62         0.80            -6.33
   0 H Flint Powers C  ( 5- 6, 82.2)    17-16      -17.66      11.53      -0.62         0.80             8.77
   0 H Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)     8-13      -13.24      15.95      -0.62         0.80           -11.15
   0 H Lake Orion      (15- 3, 91.1)     4-17       -8.76      20.43      -0.62         0.80            -7.55
   0 A Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)    19-10      -20.11       9.08       0.62         0.80             7.80
   0 H Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     7- 9      -12.16      17.03      -0.62         0.80           -10.28
   0 H Davison         ( 2-15, 78.2)    16- 5      -21.68       7.51      -0.62         0.80             5.54
   0 A Sacred Heart A  ( 8- 7, 85.6)     6-11      -14.29      14.90       0.62         0.80           -10.99
   0 H Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)     8- 6      -13.24      15.95      -0.62         0.80            12.33
   0 H Howell          ( 9-11, 84.2)    13-16      -15.68      13.51      -0.62         0.80           -13.11
   0 A Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     4-14      -12.16      17.03       0.62         0.80            -9.28
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)    10-13      -14.88      14.31       0.62         0.80           -11.46
   0 H Flint Powers C  ( 5- 6, 82.2)    19-13      -17.66      11.53      -0.62         0.80             8.77
   0 H Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)    17- 8      -14.91      14.28      -0.62         0.80            10.99
   0 A Lake Orion      (15- 3, 91.1)     3-22       -8.76      20.43       0.62         0.80            -6.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -28.33

winning pts = 80.9537 losing points = -109.2844

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------