---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Grafton 1
  
Grafton               
W-L: (12- 9) PR = 91.2085

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Nipmuc Regional (13- 6, 89.1) 16-13 403 H Natick ( 6-13, 88.5) 12- 5 408 A Algonquin ( 7-12, 87.5) 16-10 410 H Tantasqua (17- 5, 84.7) 19- 3 415 H Holliston ( 6-14, 84.3) 15- 3 417 A Lexington HS (20- 2, 93.1) 9-11 423 A King Philip Regional (17- 5, 93.1) 10-17 425 H Walpole (25- 1, 99.8) 10-15 429 H Hopkinton (11- 8, 88.5) 19-11 430 A West Springfield (15- 5, 90.6) 9-12 502 A Nipmuc Regional (13- 6, 89.1) 10- 9 506 H Leominster ( 2-17, 84.1) 22- 7 508 H Ashland (15- 7, 89.3) 13-11 509 A Minnechaug Regional ( 7-12, 86.3) 11- 8 512 A Medfield (22- 3, 95.3) 8-19 515 A Nashoba Regional (11- 8, 87.9) 9- 6 517 A East Longmeadow (15- 6, 93.8) 8-16 520 H Wayland (12-10, 91.8) 11-12 521 H Shrewsbury (17- 3, 90.8) 6- 7 602 H Marblehead (12- 7, 88.3) 14- 6 604 A East Longmeadow (15- 6, 93.8) 12-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Nipmuc Regional        16-13       3     3           0.33
   403 H Natick                 12- 5       7     3           1.74
   408 A Algonquin              16-10       6     3           1.82
   410 H Tantasqua              19- 3      16     7           0.00
   415 H Holliston              15- 3      12     7           0.00
   417 A Lexington HS            9-11      -2    -2           0.48
   423 A King Philip Regional   10-17      -7    -2    -     -2.53
   425 H Walpole                10-15      -5    -8           0.00
   429 H Hopkinton              19-11       8     3           1.72
   430 A West Springfield        9-12      -3     0    -     -2.99
   502 A Nipmuc Regional        10- 9       1     2          -0.51
   506 H Leominster             22- 7      15     8           0.00
   508 H Ashland                13-11       2     2          -0.45
   509 A Minnechaug Regional    11- 8       3     4          -1.30
   512 A Medfield                8-19     -11    -5          -0.31
   515 A Nashoba Regional        9- 6       3     3           0.27
   517 A East Longmeadow         8-16      -8    -3          -1.84
   520 H Wayland                11-12      -1     0          -1.02
   521 H Shrewsbury              6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.03
   602 H Marblehead             14- 6       8     3           1.50
   604 A East Longmeadow        12-13      -1    -3    +      2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A King Philip Regional   10-17      -7    -2    -     -2.53
   430 A West Springfield        9-12      -3     0    -     -2.99
   521 H Shrewsbury              6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   604 A East Longmeadow        12-13      -1    -3    +      2.16

Grafton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Grafton   Grafton
Acton-Boxborough Grafton tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Grafton
Agawam Grafton tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Grafton
Algonquin Grafton Grafton  
Amherst-Pelham Grafton   Grafton
AMSA Charter Grafton Grafton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Andover HS Andover HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Andover HS
Apponequet Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Grafton
Archbishop Williams Grafton   Grafton
Arlington Catholic Grafton   Grafton
Arlington HS Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Ashland Grafton Grafton  
Assabet Valley RVT Grafton   Grafton
Attleboro Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Auburn Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Barnstable Grafton   Grafton
Bay Path RVT Grafton   Grafton
Bedford HS Bedford HS insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Bedford HS
Belchertown Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grafton
Bellingham Grafton Grafton   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Belmont Belmont tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Belmont
Beverly Grafton tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Grafton
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Grafton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Grafton
Bishop Fenwick Grafton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grafton
Bishop Stang Grafton   Grafton
Blackstone Valley Tech Grafton   Grafton
Boston Latin Academy Grafton   Grafton
Boston Latin School Grafton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grafton
Bourne Grafton   Grafton
Braintree Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grafton
Bridgewater-Raynham Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Grafton
Bristol County Agricultu Grafton   Grafton
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Bromfield Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grafton
Brookline Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Grafton
Burlington Grafton tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Grafton
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Canton Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Cape Cod Academy Grafton   Grafton
Cape Cod Tech Grafton   Grafton
Cardinal Spellman Grafton   Grafton
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford Chelmsford   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Chicopee Comp Grafton   Grafton
Chicopee HS Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Dartmouth Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Dedham Grafton Grafton   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Dennis-Yarmouth Grafton   Grafton
Dighton-Rehoboth Grafton   Grafton
Doherty Memorial Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Dover-Sherborn Grafton insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Grafton
Dracut Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Duxbury Duxbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Grafton   Grafton
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow East Longmeadow  
Essex North Shore Tech Grafton   Grafton
Everett Grafton   Grafton
Fairhaven Grafton   Grafton
Falmouth Academy Grafton   Grafton
Falmouth HS Grafton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grafton
Fontbonne Academy Grafton   Grafton
Foxborough Foxborough insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Foxborough
Framingham Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grafton
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Franklin
Georgetown Grafton   Grafton
Gloucester Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Granby Grafton   Grafton
Greater Lowell Tech Grafton   Grafton
Greater New Bedford RVT Grafton   Grafton
Groton-Dunstable Grafton Grafton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   Hamilton-Wenham
Hampshire Regional Grafton   Grafton
Hanover Grafton   Grafton
Haverhill Grafton   Grafton
Hingham Hingham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hingham
Holliston Grafton Grafton  
Hoosac Valley Grafton   Grafton
Hopedale Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Hopkinton Grafton Grafton  
Hudson/Clinton Grafton   Grafton
Hull Grafton   Grafton
Ipswich Ipswich   Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional King Philip Regional  
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Grafton   Grafton
Leominster Grafton Grafton  
Lexington HS Lexington HS Lexington HS  
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Grafton   Grafton
Longmeadow Longmeadow insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Longmeadow
Lowell Grafton   Grafton
Lowell Catholic Grafton   Grafton
Lunenburg Grafton Grafton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lynnfield Grafton   Grafton
Malden Grafton   Grafton
Malden Catholic Grafton   Grafton
Manchester-Essex Grafton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grafton
Mansfield Grafton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grafton
Marblehead Grafton Grafton  
Marlborough Grafton   Grafton
Marshfield Grafton   Grafton
Marthas Vineyard Grafton   Grafton
Masconomet Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Mashpee Grafton   Grafton
McCann Tech Grafton   Grafton
Medfield Medfield Medfield  
Medford Grafton   Grafton
Medway Grafton Grafton   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Melrose Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Melrose
Methuen Grafton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Grafton
Middleboro Grafton   Grafton
Milford Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Milton HS Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grafton
Minnechaug Regional Grafton Grafton  
Monomoy Grafton   Grafton
Monson Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Montachusett RVT Grafton   Grafton
Mount Greylock Regional Grafton Grafton   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Mystic Valley Charter Grafton   Grafton
Nantucket Grafton   Grafton
Nashoba Regional Grafton Grafton  
Nashoba Valley Tech Grafton   Grafton
Natick Grafton Grafton  
Nauset Regional Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Needham Needham insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Needham
New Bedford Grafton   Grafton
Newburyport Newburyport tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Newton North
Newton South Grafton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grafton
Nipmuc Regional Grafton Grafton  
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) North Andover
North Attleborough Grafton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Grafton
North Middlesex Grafton insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Grafton
North Quincy Grafton   Grafton
North Reading Grafton   Grafton
Northampton Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Grafton
Northbridge Grafton Grafton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northeast RVT Grafton   Grafton
Norton Grafton Grafton   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Grafton Grafton   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame Worcester Grafton Grafton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Oakmont Regional Grafton insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Grafton
Old Colony RVT Grafton   Grafton
Old Rochester Regional Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Oliver Ames Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Peabody Veterans Memoria
Pembroke Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Grafton   Grafton
Plymouth North Grafton   Grafton
Plymouth South Grafton   Grafton
Pope Francis Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Quincy Grafton   Grafton
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 2) Reading Memorial
Revere Grafton   Grafton
Rockland Grafton   Grafton
Salem Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Scituate Scituate tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Scituate
Seekonk Grafton   Grafton
Sharon Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Shawsheen Valley Tech Grafton   Grafton
Shepherd Hill Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury Shrewsbury  
Silver Lake Grafton   Grafton
Smith VoTech Grafton   Grafton
Somerset Berkley Grafton   Grafton
Somerville Grafton   Grafton
South Hadley Grafton Grafton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
South Shore RVT Grafton   Grafton
Southeastern RVT Grafton   Grafton
Springfield Central Grafton   Grafton
St Bernards Grafton   Grafton
St John Paul II Grafton   Grafton
St Marys Lynn Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Stoneham Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Stoughton Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Sturgis Charter East Grafton   Grafton
Sturgis Charter West Grafton   Grafton
Swampscott Grafton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grafton
Tahanto Regional Grafton   Grafton
Tantasqua Grafton Grafton  
Taunton Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Tewksbury Memorial Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Tri-County RVT Grafton   Grafton
Triton Regional Grafton   Grafton
Tyngsborough Grafton   Grafton
Upper Cape Cod RVT Grafton   Grafton
Ursuline Academy Grafton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grafton
Wachusett Grafton Grafton   7- 2 vs 2- 7
Wahconah Regional Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Wakefield Memorial Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Walpole Walpole Walpole  
Waltham Grafton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grafton
Watertown Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Wayland Wayland Wayland  
Wellesley Wellesley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield  
Westborough Grafton tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Grafton
Westfield Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Grafton
Westford Academy Westford Academy Westford Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Weston Weston tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Weston
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Grafton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Grafton
Whitman-Hanson Regional Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Whittier RVT Grafton   Grafton
Wilmington Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Winchester Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Winthrop Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Grafton
Woburn Memorial Grafton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Grafton

PowerWise = 176


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Nipmuc Regiona  (13- 6, 89.1)    16-13      -10.78      22.52      -0.58         0.90            19.67
   0 H Natick          ( 6-13, 88.5)    12- 5      -11.37      21.93      -0.58         0.90            19.14
   0 A Algonquin       ( 7-12, 87.5)    16-10      -12.45      20.85       0.58         0.90            19.21
   0 H Tantasqua       (17- 5, 84.7)    19- 3      -15.17      18.13      -0.58         0.90            15.74
   0 H Holliston       ( 6-14, 84.3)    15- 3      -15.60      17.70      -0.58         0.90            15.35
   0 A Lexington HS    (20- 2, 93.1)     9-11       -6.79      26.51       0.58         0.90            -5.57
   0 A King Philip Re  (17- 5, 93.1)    10-17       -6.80      26.50       0.58         0.90            -5.58
   0 H Walpole         (25- 1, 99.8)    10-15       -0.13      33.17      -0.58         0.90            -0.64
   0 H Hopkinton       (11- 8, 88.5)    19-11      -11.40      21.90      -0.58         0.90            19.12
   0 A West Springfie  (15- 5, 90.6)     9-12       -9.26      24.04       0.58         0.90            -7.78
   0 A Nipmuc Regiona  (13- 6, 89.1)    10- 9      -10.78      22.52       0.58         0.90            20.71
   0 H Leominster      ( 2-17, 84.1)    22- 7      -15.84      17.46      -0.58         0.90            15.14
   0 H Ashland         (15- 7, 89.3)    13-11      -10.57      22.73      -0.58         0.90            19.86
   0 A Minnechaug Reg  ( 7-12, 86.3)    11- 8      -13.57      19.73       0.58         0.90            18.21
   0 A Medfield        (22- 3, 95.3)     8-19       -4.58      28.72       0.58         0.90            -3.59
   0 A Nashoba Region  (11- 8, 87.9)     9- 6      -12.00      21.30       0.58         0.90            19.62
   0 A East Longmeado  (15- 6, 93.8)     8-16       -6.11      27.19       0.58         0.90            -4.96
   0 H Wayland         (12-10, 91.8)    11-12       -8.14      25.16      -0.58         0.90            -7.81
   0 H Shrewsbury      (17- 3, 90.8)     6- 7       -9.15      24.15      -0.58         0.90            -8.72
   0 H Marblehead      (12- 7, 88.3)    14- 6      -11.61      21.69      -0.58         0.90            18.93
   0 A East Longmeado  (15- 6, 93.8)    12-13       -6.11      27.19       0.58         0.90            -4.96
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       171.10

winning pts = 220.7108 losing points = -49.6077

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------