All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.1399994 home-field advantage = -1.21 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A John Champe ( 2-11, 72.3) 14- 3 318 H Broad Run ( 3-11, 63.8) 16- 0 323 H Alexandria City (10- 8, 70.4) 8- 7 411 H South Lakes ( 8- 8, 81.0) 11- 7 411 H Robinson (20- 3, 79.8) 7-12 416 A Kettle Run (12- 2, 74.1) 12- 7 417 H Western Albemarle (18- 1, 87.0) 6-10 420 H West Potomac ( 4-10, 75.7) 19- 9 424 A Dominion (17- 3, 77.6) 17-10 429 H Yorktown (14- 3, 87.8) 10-14 430 H Fauquier ( 2- 7, 60.2) 21- 4 508 H Brentsville District ( 5- 7, 65.6) 16- 2 511 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 9, 57.2) 22- 1 514 A Liberty-Bealeton ( 3- 7, 54.9) 18- 0 518 H Culpeper County ( 7- 8, 58.1) 16- 1 527 H Fauquier ( 2- 7, 60.2) 20- 3 529 H Monticello (11- 6, 68.9) 19- 1 601 A Western Albemarle (18- 1, 87.0) 8-12 605 A Hanover (17- 3, 77.8) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A John Champe 14- 3 11 6 0.39 318 H Broad Run 16- 0 16 17 0.00 323 H Alexandria City 8- 7 1 10 n/a 411 H South Lakes 11- 7 4 0 n/a 411 H Robinson 7-12 -5 1 n/a 416 A Kettle Run 12- 7 5 4 0.15 417 H Western Albemarle 6-10 -4 -5 1.63 420 H West Potomac 19- 9 10 5 n/a 424 A Dominion 17-10 7 1 ++ 5.68 429 H Yorktown 10-14 -4 -6 n/a 430 H Fauquier 21- 4 17 21 0.00 508 H Brentsville District 16- 2 14 15 0.00 511 H Rock Ridge 22- 1 21 24 0.00 514 A Liberty-Bealeton 18- 0 18 24 0.00 518 H Culpeper County 16- 1 15 23 0.00 527 H Fauquier 20- 3 17 21 0.00 529 H Monticello 19- 1 18 12 0.00 601 A Western Albemarle 8-12 -4 -8 + 3.00 605 A Hanover 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.15UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Alexandria City 8- 7 1 10 --- 411 H Robinson 7-12 -5 1 --- 605 A Hanover 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Dominion 17-10 7 1 ++ 5.68 411 H South Lakes 11- 7 4 0 + 429 H Yorktown 10-14 -4 -6 + 601 A Western Albemarle 8-12 -4 -8 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 80.14 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 44.98 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4906 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 19 RPI Rating............... .6137 RPI Rank................... 6 Champ. Probability ...... 13.3 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 30 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 5 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3