---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Fuquay-Varina 1
  
Fuquay-Varina         
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 83.5983

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 8-19 228 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 10-11 304 A Leesville Road ( 7- 9, 83.6) 14-11 310 H Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 9-17 314 A Heritage (10- 9, 80.6) 16- 9 319 A Corinth Holders ( 8- 9, 78.6) 21-15 325 H Pinecrest (17- 5, 90.0) 3-21 327 H Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 17- 3 410 H Garner ( 4- 9, 72.3) 21- 6 411 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 13-16 415 H Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 9- 8 424 A Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 19- 5 428 A Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 11-16 501 H Garner ( 4- 9, 72.3) 20- 2 505 A Corinth Holders ( 8- 9, 78.6) 23- 8 506 A Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 12-11 508 H Cleveland ( 5- 6, 74.1) 18- 5 513 H Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 5-18 513 H Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 5-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Green Hope              8-19     -11    -1    --    -4.02
   228 H Swansboro              10-11      -1    -1           0.49
   304 A Leesville Road         14-11       3     0    +      3.30
   310 H Middle Creek            9-17      -8    -3    -     -2.34
   314 A Heritage               16- 9       7     3    +      2.29
   319 A Corinth Holders        21-15       6     5           0.29
   325 H Pinecrest               3-21     -18    -6           0.00
   327 H Clayton                17- 3      14    11           0.00
   410 H Garner                 21- 6      15    12           0.00
   411 A New Bern               13-16      -3    -3           0.01
   415 H Millbrook               9- 8       1     1           0.19
   424 A Clayton                19- 5      14    11           0.00
   428 A Willow Spring          11-16      -5    -3          -1.86
   501 H Garner                 20- 2      18    12           0.00
   505 A Corinth Holders        23- 8      15     5           0.29
   506 A Willow Spring          12-11       1    -3    ++     4.14
   508 H Cleveland              18- 5      13    10           0.00
   513 H Apex Friendship         5-18     -13    -4          -1.32
   513 H Apex Friendship         5-17     -12    -4          -1.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Green Hope              8-19     -11    -1    --    -4.02
   310 H Middle Creek            9-17      -8    -3    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Willow Spring          12-11       1    -3    ++     4.14
   304 A Leesville Road         14-11       3     0    +      3.30
   314 A Heritage               16- 9       7     3    +      2.29

Fuquay-Varina Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex   4- 0 vs 2- 4
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Ardrey Kell Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Arendell Parrott Academy Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Asheville HS Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashley
Athens Drive Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   4- 2 vs 2- 3
Atkins Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Ballantyne Ridge Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 1) Broughton
Butler Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Cape Fear HS Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Cary Academy Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Cary HS Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Fuquay-Varina
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Cleveland Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Community School Davidso Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Corinth Holders Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Croatan Croatan Croatan   4- 1 vs 2- 4
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Davie Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
DH Conley Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Durham Academy Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 3
East Forsyth Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Enloe Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
First Flight Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fuquay-Varina
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Garner Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Glenn Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope  
Green Level Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Fuquay-Varina
Greensboro Day School Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Grimsley Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Havelock Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fuquay-Varina
Heritage Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Hickory Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
High Point Central Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs   6- 0 vs 2- 5
Hopewell Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Independence Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Jack Britt Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fuquay-Varina
Jacksonville Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
JH Rose JH Rose insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) JH Rose
Jordan Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Laney
Leesville Road Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Lincoln Charter Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek  
Millbrook Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina  
Mooresville Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Mount Tabor Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Myers Park Myers Park Myers Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Bern New Bern New Bern  
New Hanover New Hanover tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) New Hanover
North Brunswick Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
North Davidson Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
North Lincoln Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Northern Guilford Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Northside Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fuquay-Varina
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Page Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Panther Creek Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Fuquay-Varina
Parkwood Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Patton Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Pine Forest Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Pine Lake Prep Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Porter Ridge Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Providence Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Ragsdale Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Ravenscroft School Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Riverside Durham Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
RJ Reynolds Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Rolesville Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Ronald Reagan Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Sanderson Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Seaforth Seaforth tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Seaforth
South Brunswick Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
South Iredell Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
South Mecklenburg Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Southeast Guilford Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Southlake Christian Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Southwest Guilford Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
St Davids School Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
St Marys Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
St Stephens Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Sun Valley Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Swansboro Swansboro Swansboro  
TC Roberson Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Terry Sanford Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fuquay-Varina
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Wakefield
Watauga Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
White Oak Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Fuquay-Varina
Willow Spring Willow Spring Willow Spring   7- 0 vs 5- 2

PowerWise = 82


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Green Hope      ( 9-12, 84.3)     8-19      -15.63      24.18       0.31         0.89           -13.60
   0 H Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)    10-11      -14.51      25.30      -0.31         0.89           -13.15
   0 A Leesville Road  ( 7- 9, 83.6)    14-11      -16.31      23.50       0.31         0.89            21.13
   0 H Middle Creek    (10- 9, 86.6)     9-17      -13.33      26.47      -0.31         0.89           -12.11
   0 A Heritage        (10- 9, 80.6)    16- 9      -19.32      20.49       0.31         0.89            18.46
   0 A Corinth Holder  ( 8- 9, 78.6)    21-15      -21.32      18.48       0.31         0.89            16.68
   0 H Pinecrest       (17- 5, 90.0)     3-21       -9.89      29.92      -0.31         0.89            -9.05
   0 H Clayton         ( 1-13, 72.5)    17- 3      -27.36      12.45      -0.31         0.89            10.78
   0 H Garner          ( 4- 9, 72.3)    21- 6      -27.62      12.18      -0.31         0.89            10.55
   0 A New Bern        (17- 4, 86.3)    13-16      -13.60      26.20       0.31         0.89           -11.80
   0 H Millbrook       (14-10, 83.1)     9- 8      -16.81      23.00      -0.31         0.89            20.15
   0 A Clayton         ( 1-13, 72.5)    19- 5      -27.36      12.45       0.31         0.89            11.32
   0 A Willow Spring   (13- 6, 86.4)    11-16      -13.47      26.34       0.31         0.89           -11.68
   0 H Garner          ( 4- 9, 72.3)    20- 2      -27.62      12.18      -0.31         0.89            10.55
   0 A Corinth Holder  ( 8- 9, 78.6)    23- 8      -21.32      18.48       0.31         0.89            16.68
   0 A Willow Spring   (13- 6, 86.4)    12-11      -13.47      26.34       0.31         0.89            23.65
   0 H Cleveland       ( 5- 6, 74.1)    18- 5      -25.76      14.04      -0.31         0.89            12.19
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (13- 9, 87.6)     5-18      -12.32      27.49      -0.31         0.89           -11.21
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (13- 9, 87.6)     5-17      -12.32      27.49      -0.31         0.89           -11.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        78.33

winning pts = 172.1287 losing points = -93.7992

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------