---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Francis Scott Key 1
  
Francis Scott Key     
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 78.1391

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 10- 8 325 A North Hagerstown ( 0-10, 64.0) 22-11 326 A Gerstell Academy (11- 4, 90.7) 6-16 401 H Boonsboro (10- 4, 80.7) 11-14 404 H Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 6-12 408 A Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 2-17 412 A Catonsville ( 7- 7, 88.9) 5-15 423 H South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 6-18 424 H Catoctin ( 7- 5, 80.7) 9-10 425 H South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 6-19 428 A Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 1-23 501 H Smithsburg ( 1-11, 69.4) 17- 3 502 A Century (12- 5, 91.5) 3-21 509 A Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 4-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Walkersville           10- 8       2     2          -0.14
   325 A North Hagerstown       22-11      11    14           0.00
   326 A Gerstell Academy        6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   401 H Boonsboro              11-14      -3    -2          -0.86
   404 H Winters Mill            6-12      -6    -8           0.00
   408 A Liberty                 2-17     -15   -14           0.00
   412 A Catonsville             5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   423 H South Carroll           6-18     -12   -14           0.00
   424 H Catoctin                9-10      -1    -2           1.16
   425 H South Carroll           6-19     -13   -14           0.00
   428 A Manchester Valley       1-23     -22   -22           0.00
   501 H Smithsburg             17- 3      14     9           0.00
   502 A Century                 3-21     -18   -14           0.00
   509 A Liberty                 4-19     -15   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Francis Scott Key Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Bishop McNamara Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Catholic High Baltimore Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Chapelgate Christian Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Field School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Friends School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy  
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Jemicy Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Park School
Rockbridge Academy Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
School Without Walls Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep Francis Scott Key tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Francis Scott Key
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Washington Latin Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Worcester Prep Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Aberdeen Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Academy for College & Ca Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Annapolis Annapolis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Francis Scott Key tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Francis Scott Key
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic   Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Blair Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Blake Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Bohemia Manor Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Boonsboro Boonsboro Boonsboro  
Bowie Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Francis Scott Key insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Francis Scott Key
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Carver A&T Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Catoctin Catoctin Catoctin  
Catonsville Catonsville Catonsville  
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century Century  
CH Flowers Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) CM Wright
CMIT North Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Dulaney
Dundalk Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
DuVal Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Einstein Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Eleanor Roosevelt Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Elkton Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Fairmont Heights Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fallston
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Franklin
Frederick Francis Scott Key tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Francis Scott Key
Frederick Douglass PG Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Gaithersburg Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Glen Burnie Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Gov Thomas Johnson
Great Mills Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Guilford Park Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Gwynn Park Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Hammond Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Kent County Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Kent Island Kent Island tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kent Island
Kenwood Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Lansdowne Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Laurel Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Linganore Linganore tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Linganore
Loch Raven Francis Scott Key tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Francis Scott Key
Long Reach Long Reach tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Long Reach
Magruder Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley  
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Middletown Middletown Middletown   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Mount Hebron
New Town Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
North East Cecil Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
North Hagerstown Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Northeast Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Northwestern PG Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Northwood Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Oakdale Oakdale insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Oakdale
Oakland Mills Francis Scott Key tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Francis Scott Key
Old Mill Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Overlea Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Owings Mills Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Oxon Hill Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Paint Branch Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Parkdale Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Parkside Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Parkville Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Patapsco Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Perry Hall Perry Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Perry Hall
Perryville Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Pikesville Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Poolesville Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Rising Sun Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Seneca Valley Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Severn Run Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Severna Park Severna Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key  
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sparrows Point
Springbrook Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
St Charles Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson Towson   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Tuscarora Tuscarora insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Urbana
Walkersville Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key  
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Western Baltimore Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Western STES Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Westlake Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Westminster Westminster Westminster   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Wheaton Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Wilde Lake Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Woodlawn Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 105


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Walkersville    ( 2-10, 75.6)    10- 8      -24.35      13.57       0.45         0.85            11.98
   0 A North Hagersto  ( 0-10, 64.0)    22-11      -35.94       1.98       0.45         0.85             2.07
   0 A Gerstell Acade  (11- 4, 90.7)     6-16       -9.17      28.75       0.45         0.85            -7.45
   0 H Boonsboro       (10- 4, 80.7)    11-14      -19.17      18.75      -0.45         0.85           -16.77
   0 H Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)     6-12      -13.25      24.67      -0.45         0.85           -11.71
   0 A Liberty         (12- 5, 91.4)     2-17       -8.53      29.39       0.45         0.85            -6.91
   0 A Catonsville     ( 7- 7, 88.9)     5-15      -10.96      26.96       0.45         0.85            -8.98
   0 H South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     6-18       -7.79      30.13      -0.45         0.85            -7.04
   0 H Catoctin        ( 7- 5, 80.7)     9-10      -19.16      18.76      -0.45         0.85           -16.75
   0 H South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     6-19       -7.79      30.13      -0.45         0.85            -7.04
   0 A Manchester Val  (19- 0, 99.9)     1-23       -0.00      37.92       0.45         0.85            -0.38
   0 H Smithsburg      ( 1-11, 69.4)    17- 3      -30.51       7.41      -0.45         0.85             5.95
   0 A Century         (12- 5, 91.5)     3-21       -8.42      29.50       0.45         0.85            -6.81
   0 A Liberty         (12- 5, 91.4)     4-19       -8.53      29.39       0.45         0.85            -6.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -76.76

winning pts = 20.0023 losing points = -96.7592

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------