Fruita Monument
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 82.6674Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 11-15 328 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 16- 3 401 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 21- 2 403 A Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 5-12 405 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 5-19 411 A Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 9-10 412 A Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 6- 8 417 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 8-11 421 A Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 17-13 422 H Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 7-13 425 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 17- 1 426 A Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 12- 8 428 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 16- 3 502 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 13- 7 503 H Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 17- 3 506 H Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 24-14 508 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 7-22
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
326 H Telluride 11-15 -4 1 -- -4.89
328 A Montrose 16- 3 13 11 0.00
401 A Eagle Valley 21- 2 19 13 0.00
403 A Steamboat Springs 5-12 -7 -6 0.00
405 A Aspen 5-19 -14 -4 -0.88
411 A Durango 9-10 -1 -1 -0.30
412 A Durango 6- 8 -2 -1 -1.30
417 H Grand Junction 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.35
421 A Telluride 17-13 4 0 ++ 4.00
422 H Roaring Fork 7-13 -6 -4 -1.11
425 H Montrose 17- 1 16 12 0.00
426 A Telluride 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.00
428 H Eagle Valley 16- 3 13 14 0.00
502 A Grand Junction 13- 7 6 0 ++ 4.54
503 H Denver North 17- 3 14 9 0.00
506 H Conifer 24-14 10 5 0.30
508 A Green Mountain 7-22 -15 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Telluride 11-15 -4 1 -- -4.89 417 H Grand Junction 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Telluride 17-13 4 0 ++ 4.00 426 A Telluride 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.00 502 A Grand Junction 13- 7 6 0 ++ 4.54 |
Fruita Monument Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Castle View | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Dakota Ridge | |
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Denver South | |
| Durango | Durango | Durango | ||
| Eagle Valley | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Eaglecrest | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Golden | Golden | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 5) | Fruita Monument | |
| Grandview | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Horizon | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Liberty | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Mead | Mead | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) | Mead | |
| Montrose | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Mullen | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Fruita Monument | |
| Northfield | Northfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northfield | |
| Palmer | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Pueblo West | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rampart | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Fruita Monument | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Regis Jesuit | |
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | ||
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| St Marys Academy | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Fruita Monument | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Fruita Monument | |
| Telluride | Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | ||
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 17
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 11-15 -17.68 13.05 -0.45 0.90 -16.40
0 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 16- 3 -28.32 2.40 0.45 0.90 2.58
0 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 21- 2 -30.72 1.00 0.45 0.90 1.31
0 A Steamboat Spri (11- 5, 87.9) 5-12 -11.99 18.73 0.45 0.90 -10.45
0 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 5-19 -13.56 17.16 0.45 0.90 -11.87
0 A Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 9-10 -16.98 13.74 0.45 0.90 -14.96
0 A Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 6- 8 -16.98 13.74 0.45 0.90 -14.96
0 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 8-11 -18.14 12.58 -0.45 0.90 -16.82
0 A Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 17-13 -17.68 13.05 0.45 0.90 12.21
0 H Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 7-13 -12.89 17.83 -0.45 0.90 -12.07
0 H Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 17- 1 -28.32 2.40 -0.45 0.90 1.77
0 A Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 12- 8 -17.68 13.05 0.45 0.90 12.21
0 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 16- 3 -30.72 1.00 -0.45 0.90 0.50
0 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 13- 7 -18.14 12.58 0.45 0.90 11.79
0 H Denver North ( 0-14, 74.1) 17- 3 -25.79 4.93 -0.45 0.90 4.06
0 H Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 24-14 -21.49 9.24 -0.45 0.90 7.95
0 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 7-22 -8.14 22.58 0.45 0.90 -6.96
------
-50.12
|
winning pts = 54.3822 losing points = -104.5037
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------