---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Frederick 1 
  
Frederick             
W-L: ( 3-10)  PR =    77.6295
 
Schedule/Results All Games
 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 A Boonsboro                            (10- 4, 80.7)    11-12   
 325 A South Carroll                        (16- 3, 92.1)     5-20   
 327 A Brunswick                            ( 3-11, 73.1)    19- 8   
 401 H Smithsburg                           ( 1-11, 69.4)    15- 5   
 403 A Tuscarora                            ( 6- 5, 82.7)     5-15   
 408 A Oakdale                              ( 9- 5, 86.0)     7-19   
 410 A Gov Thomas Johnson                   ( 6- 7, 79.1)     4-14   
 415 H Middletown                           (12- 5, 85.1)     5-19   
 422 A Linganore                            ( 8- 6, 87.2)     5-18   
 424 H Urbana                               (12- 5, 90.2)     3-18   
 429 A City College                         ( 6- 4, 78.9)     8-10   
 507 H North Hagerstown                     ( 0-10, 64.0)    17- 4   
 510 A Oakdale                              ( 9- 5, 86.0)     7-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Boonsboro              11-12      -1    -4    +      2.55
   325 A South Carroll           5-20     -15   -15           0.00
   327 A Brunswick              19- 8      11     4           0.93
   401 H Smithsburg             15- 5      10     9           0.00
   403 A Tuscarora               5-15     -10    -6           0.00
   408 A Oakdale                 7-19     -12    -9           0.00
   410 A Gov Thomas Johnson      4-14     -10    -2    -     -3.07
   415 H Middletown              5-19     -14    -7           0.00
   422 A Linganore               5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   424 H Urbana                  3-18     -15   -12           0.00
   429 A City College            8-10      -2    -2          -0.29
   507 H North Hagerstown       17- 4      13    14           0.00
   510 A Oakdale                 7-17     -10    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Gov Thomas Johnson      4-14     -10    -2    -     -3.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Boonsboro              11-12      -1    -4    +      2.55

Frederick Evaluation 

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point? 		Head-2-Head
Point 		Common Opponent
Point 		Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Frederick   Frederick
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Frederick   Frederick
Bishop McNamara Frederick   Frederick
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Frederick   Frederick
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Frederick   Frederick
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter Frederick   Frederick
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Frederick   Frederick
Friends School Frederick   Frederick
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Frederick   Frederick
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Frederick   Frederick
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Frederick   Frederick
Jemicy Frederick   Frederick
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Frederick   Frederick
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Frederick   Frederick
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Frederick   Frederick
School Without Walls Frederick   Frederick
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Frederick   Frederick
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Frederick   Frederick
Washington Latin Frederick   Frederick
Worcester Prep Frederick   Frederick
Aberdeen Frederick   Frederick
Academy for College & Ca Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Frederick   Frederick
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Frederick   Frederick
Blair Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Blake Frederick   Frederick
Bohemia Manor Frederick   Frederick
Boonsboro Boonsboro Boonsboro  
Bowie Frederick   Frederick
Broadneck Broadneck insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Frederick Frederick  
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Frederick   Frederick
Carver A&T Frederick   Frederick
Catoctin Catoctin Catoctin   5- 3 vs 3- 5
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century Century   3- 0 vs 0- 3
CH Flowers Frederick   Frederick
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Frederick   Frederick
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College City College  
Clarksburg Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) CM Wright
CMIT North Frederick   Frederick
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Frederick   Frederick
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk Frederick   Frederick
DuVal Frederick   Frederick
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Frederick   Frederick
Einstein Frederick   Frederick
Eleanor Roosevelt Frederick   Frederick
Elkton Frederick   Frederick
Fairmont Heights Frederick   Frederick
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Douglass PG Frederick   Frederick
Gaithersburg Frederick   Frederick
Glen Burnie Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson  
Great Mills Frederick   Frederick
Guilford Park Frederick   Frederick
Gwynn Park Frederick   Frederick
Hammond Frederick   Frederick
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Frederick   Frederick
Kent County Frederick   Frederick
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Frederick   Frederick
Lansdowne Frederick   Frederick
Laurel Frederick   Frederick
Leonardtown Leonardtown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Linganore Linganore Linganore  
Loch Raven Frederick   Frederick
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder Frederick   Frederick
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Frederick   Frederick
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough Frederick   Frederick
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Hebron
New Town Frederick   Frederick
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Frederick   Frederick
North East Cecil Frederick   Frederick
North Hagerstown Frederick Frederick  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Frederick   Frederick
Northeast Frederick   Frederick
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Northwestern PG Frederick   Frederick
Northwood Frederick   Frederick
Oakdale Oakdale Oakdale  
Oakland Mills Frederick   Frederick
Old Mill Frederick   Frederick
Overlea Frederick   Frederick
Owings Mills Frederick   Frederick
Oxon Hill Frederick   Frederick
Paint Branch Frederick   Frederick
Parkdale Frederick   Frederick
Parkside Frederick   Frederick
Parkville Frederick   Frederick
Patapsco Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Frederick   Frederick
Perry Hall Perry Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Perry Hall
Perryville Frederick   Frederick
Pikesville Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Poolesville Frederick   Frederick
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Frederick   Frederick
Rising Sun Rising Sun tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Frederick   Frederick
Seneca Valley Frederick   Frederick
Severn Run Frederick   Frederick
Severna Park Severna Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Frederick Frederick  
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Frederick   Frederick
St Charles Frederick   Frederick
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Frederick   Frederick
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Urbana Urbana Urbana  
Walkersville Frederick tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) Frederick
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Frederick   Frederick
Western Baltimore Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Western STES Frederick   Frederick
Westlake Frederick   Frederick
Westminster Westminster tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westminster
Wheaton Frederick   Frederick
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Frederick   Frederick
Wilde Lake Frederick   Frederick
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Winters Mill
Woodlawn Frederick   Frederick
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 100


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Boonsboro       (10- 4, 80.7)    11-12      -19.17      18.75       0.45         0.92           -17.23
   0 A South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     5-20       -7.79      30.13       0.45         0.92            -6.75
   0 A Brunswick       ( 3-11, 73.1)    19- 8      -26.79      11.13       0.45         0.92            10.65
   0 H Smithsburg      ( 1-11, 69.4)    15- 5      -30.51       7.41      -0.45         0.92             6.41
   0 A Tuscarora       ( 6- 5, 82.7)     5-15      -17.19      20.73       0.45         0.92           -15.41
   0 A Oakdale         ( 9- 5, 86.0)     7-19      -13.91      24.01       0.45         0.92           -12.38
   0 A Gov Thomas Joh  ( 6- 7, 79.1)     4-14      -20.79      17.13       0.45         0.92           -18.72
   0 H Middletown      (12- 5, 85.1)     5-19      -14.78      23.14      -0.45         0.92           -14.02
   0 A Linganore       ( 8- 6, 87.2)     5-18      -12.69      25.23       0.45         0.92           -11.26
   0 H Urbana          (12- 5, 90.2)     3-18       -9.68      28.24      -0.45         0.92            -9.32
   0 A City College    ( 6- 4, 78.9)     8-10      -21.01      16.91       0.45         0.92           -18.93
   0 H North Hagersto  ( 0-10, 64.0)    17- 4      -35.94       1.98      -0.45         0.92             1.40
   0 A Oakdale         ( 9- 5, 86.0)     7-17      -13.91      24.01       0.45         0.92           -12.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -117.95

winning pts = 18.4638 losing points = -136.4095

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------