Frederick Douglass
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 80.3976Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 16- 3 305 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 12-14 308 H South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 9- 7 308 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 19- 3 310 A Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 8-12 313 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 9- 7 318 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 1-14 324 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 12-13 327 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 3-19 417 A Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 6- 8 421 A Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 8- 6 423 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 5- 6 428 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 20- 5 430 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 2-11 501 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 16- 9 508 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 17- 2 510 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 5-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H Great Crossing 16- 3 13 5 0.12
305 A Lexington Catholic 12-14 -2 -3 0.68
308 H South Warren 9- 7 2 3 -0.61
308 A Central Hardin 19- 3 16 3 1.66
310 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 8-12 -4 -5 1.00
313 H Ryle 9- 7 2 4 -1.84
318 H Henry Clay 1-14 -13 -6 0.00
324 H Lafayette 12-13 -1 1 -1.74
327 A Sayre School 3-19 -16 -10 0.00
417 A Lexington Christian 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.20
421 A Shelby County 8- 6 2 0 + 2.22
423 H Tates Creek 5- 6 -1 5 --- -6.00
428 A Scott County 20- 5 15 4 1.40
430 A Collins 2-11 -9 -3 -1.71
501 H Bryan Station 16- 9 7 2 + 3.39
508 A Great Crossing 17- 2 15 3 1.77
510 A Henry Clay 5-20 -15 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 H Tates Creek 5- 6 -1 5 --- -6.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Shelby County 8- 6 2 0 + 2.22 501 H Bryan Station 16- 9 7 2 + 3.39 |
Frederick Douglass Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Assumption | |
| Atherton | Atherton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Atherton | |
| Ballard | Ballard | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Ballard | |
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bowling Green | |
| Bryan Station | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Central Hardin | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Christian Academy | |
| Collins | Collins | Collins | ||
| Cooper | Cooper | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) | Cooper | |
| Dixie Heights | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | DuPont Manual | |
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fern Creek | Fern Creek | Fern Creek | ||
| Great Crossing | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Greenwood | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | ||
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Male | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Mercy Academy | |
| North Oldham | North Oldham | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | North Oldham | |
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Oldham County | |
| Owensboro | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | ||
| Ryle | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School | ||
| Scott County | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Shelby County | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | South Oldham | |
| South Warren | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| St Henry | St Henry | St Henry | ||
| Tates Creek | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County 5- 6 vs 3- 8 |
PowerWise = 11
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 16- 3 -23.56 4.74 -0.82 0.80 3.13
0 A Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 12-14 -17.65 10.65 0.82 0.80 -13.47
0 H South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 9- 7 -21.29 7.01 -0.82 0.80 4.95
0 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 19- 3 -23.66 4.63 0.82 0.80 4.37
0 A Paul Laurence (14- 5, 84.7) 8-12 -15.19 13.10 0.82 0.80 -11.50
0 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 9- 7 -22.52 5.77 -0.82 0.80 3.96
0 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 1-14 -13.07 15.23 -0.82 0.80 -11.12
0 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 12-13 -19.42 8.87 -0.82 0.80 -16.21
0 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 3-19 -10.19 18.11 0.82 0.80 -7.50
0 A Lexington Chri (12- 3, 81.4) 6- 8 -18.52 9.77 0.82 0.80 -14.17
0 A Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 8- 6 -20.10 8.19 0.82 0.80 7.22
0 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 5- 6 -23.98 4.32 -0.82 0.80 -19.85
0 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 20- 5 -23.93 4.37 0.82 0.80 4.16
0 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 2-11 -17.04 11.26 0.82 0.80 -12.98
0 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 16- 9 -20.29 8.01 -0.82 0.80 5.75
0 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 17- 2 -23.56 4.74 0.82 0.80 4.45
0 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 5-20 -13.07 15.23 0.82 0.80 -9.80
------
-78.62
|
winning pts = 37.9884 losing points = -116.6067
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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