Forest Lake
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 81.4607Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Sartell-Sauk Rapids ( 0-14, 67.2) 18- 1 415 H Stillwater (15- 3, 96.0) 1-17 417 A Woodbury ( 5- 9, 85.8) 9-10 421 H Anoka ( 4-10, 82.4) 4- 9 422 H Park of Cottage Grove (18- 1, 94.3) 1-20 424 H Cretin-Derham Hall (12- 4, 92.6) 2-13 501 H White Bear Lake ( 5- 9, 87.4) 9-17 506 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 3-14 508 H East Ridge ( 9- 6, 90.6) 1-19 513 A Irondale ( 3-11, 78.7) 9- 7 516 H Grand Rapids-Greenway ( 8- 6, 84.9) 2-12 519 A Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 5- 6 522 H Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 5-15 527 A Anoka ( 4-10, 82.4) 8- 7 529 A Centennial ( 6- 8, 85.8) 2-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 A Sartell-Sauk Rapids 18- 1 17 14 0.00
415 H Stillwater 1-17 -16 -14 0.00
417 A Woodbury 9-10 -1 -5 + 3.97
421 H Anoka 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.67
422 H Park of Cottage Grove 1-20 -19 -12 0.00
424 H Cretin-Derham Hall 2-13 -11 -11 0.00
501 H White Bear Lake 9-17 -8 -5 0.00
506 A Roseville 3-14 -11 -11 0.00
508 H East Ridge 1-19 -18 -9 0.00
513 A Irondale 9- 7 2 2 -0.14
516 H Grand Rapids-Greenway 2-12 -10 -3 - -2.18
519 A Mounds View 5- 6 -1 -2 0.57
522 H Chisago Lakes 5-15 -10 -8 0.00
527 A Anoka 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.52
529 A Centennial 2-12 -10 -5 -0.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Anoka 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.67 516 H Grand Rapids-Greenway 2-12 -10 -3 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Woodbury 9-10 -1 -5 + 3.97 527 A Anoka 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.52 |
Forest Lake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Andover | |
| Anoka | Anoka | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Anoka | |
| Apple Valley | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Becker | Forest Lake | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake | Forest Lake | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Blaine | Blaine | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Blaine | |
| Blake School | Blake School | Blake School | ||
| Bloomington Jefferson | Bloomington Jefferson | Bloomington Jefferson | ||
| Bloomington Kennedy/Burn | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Brainerd | Forest Lake | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Breck School | Breck School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Breck School | |
| Buffalo | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | Champlin Park 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | Chanhassen | ||
| Chaska | Chaska | Chaska | ||
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | ||
| Columbia Heights | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | ||
| Duluth Co-Op | Duluth Co-Op | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Duluth Co-Op | |
| Duluth Marshall | Duluth Marshall | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth Marshall | |
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Eagan | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eden Prairie | |
| Edina | Edina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Edina | |
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Elk River/Zimmerman | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | |
| Grand Rapids-Greenway | Grand Rapids-Greenway | Grand Rapids-Greenway | ||
| Hastings | Forest Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Forest Lake | |
| Hermantown-Proctor | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Holy Angels Academy | Holy Angels Academy | Holy Angels Academy | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Holy Family Catholic | Holy Family Catholic | ||
| Hopkins | Hopkins | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hopkins | |
| Hutchinson | Hutchinson | Hutchinson | ||
| Irondale | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Lakeville North | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Lakeville South | |
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Mahtomedi | |
| Mankato Co-Op | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Maple Grove | |
| Minneapolis Co-Op | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | Minnetonka | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Monticello | |
| Moorhead | Moorhead | Moorhead 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mound Westonka | Mound Westonka | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mound Westonka | |
| Mounds View | Mounds View | Mounds View | ||
| New Prague | New Prague | New Prague | ||
| Northfield | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Orono | Orono | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Orono | |
| Osseo-Park Center | Osseo-Park Center | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Osseo-Park Center | |
| Owatonna | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove | ||
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | Prior Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | |
| Rochester Century | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Rochester JM/Lourdes | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Rochester Mayo | Forest Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Rocori | Forest Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Lake | |
| Rogers | Rogers | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Rogers | |
| Rosemount | Rosemount | Rosemount | ||
| Roseville | Roseville | Roseville | ||
| Sartell-Sauk Rapids | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Shakopee | Shakopee | Shakopee | ||
| Simley | Simley | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Simley | |
| Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | |
| St Cloud Area | Forest Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Lake | |
| St Croix Prep | St Croix Prep | St Croix Prep 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Louis Park | St Louis Park | St Louis Park | ||
| St Michael-Albertville | St Michael-Albertville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Michael-Albertville | |
| St Paul Academy | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Lake | |
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Tartan/North St Paul | Forest Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Forest Lake | |
| Totino-Grace | Totino-Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Totino-Grace | |
| Visitation | Forest Lake | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Forest Lake | |
| Waconia | Forest Lake | Forest Lake | ||
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 26
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Sartell-Sauk R ( 0-14, 67.2) 18- 1 -32.70 1.00 0.59 0.98 1.56
0 H Stillwater (15- 3, 96.0) 1-17 -3.94 29.12 -0.59 0.98 -4.44
0 A Woodbury ( 5- 9, 85.8) 9-10 -14.07 18.99 0.59 0.98 -13.19
0 H Anoka ( 4-10, 82.4) 4- 9 -17.51 15.55 -0.59 0.98 -17.72
0 H Park of Cottag (18- 1, 94.3) 1-20 -5.62 27.44 -0.59 0.98 -6.08
0 H Cretin-Derham (12- 4, 92.6) 2-13 -7.29 25.77 -0.59 0.98 -7.72
0 H White Bear Lak ( 5- 9, 87.4) 9-17 -12.45 20.61 -0.59 0.98 -12.77
0 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 3-14 -8.42 24.64 0.59 0.98 -7.66
0 H East Ridge ( 9- 6, 90.6) 1-19 -9.30 23.76 -0.59 0.98 -9.68
0 A Irondale ( 3-11, 78.7) 9- 7 -21.17 11.89 0.59 0.98 12.21
0 H Grand Rapids-G ( 8- 6, 84.9) 2-12 -15.03 18.03 -0.59 0.98 -15.29
0 A Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 5- 6 -17.47 15.59 0.59 0.98 -16.52
0 H Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 5-15 -9.90 23.16 -0.59 0.98 -10.27
0 A Anoka ( 4-10, 82.4) 8- 7 -17.51 15.55 0.59 0.98 15.80
0 A Centennial ( 6- 8, 85.8) 2-12 -14.08 18.98 0.59 0.98 -13.20
------
-104.96
|
winning pts = 29.5689 losing points = -134.5280
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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