---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Flushing 1
  
Flushing              
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 77.4374

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 5-17 325 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 9- 8 407 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 2-19 408 A Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 10- 6 411 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 12-11 415 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 7-18 417 H Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 9- 8 418 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 4-14 422 A Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 5-17 425 H Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 11-18 428 H Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 12- 2 430 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 10-11 502 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 10-19 507 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 10-20 509 A Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 6-21 522 H DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 4-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Swartz Creek            5-17     -12    -8           0.00
   325 H Lake Fenton             9- 8       1     0           1.38
   407 A Howell                  2-19     -17    -7           0.00
   408 A Lapeer                 10- 6       4     1    +      2.84
   411 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op    12-11       1     2          -1.22
   415 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     7-18     -11    -6           0.00
   417 H Davison                 9- 8       1     0           1.16
   418 H Swartz Creek            4-14     -10    -7           0.00
   422 A Lake Fenton             5-17     -12    -2    -     -3.38
   425 H Rochester HS           11-18      -7    -4          -0.91
   428 H Lapeer                 12- 2      10     2    +      2.60
   430 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op    10-11      -1     1          -1.97
   502 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op    10-19      -9    -4          -0.50
   507 A Grand Ledge            10-20     -10   -13           0.00
   509 A Flint Powers Catholic   6-21     -15    -5           0.00
   522 H DeWitt                  4-21     -17    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Lake Fenton             5-17     -12    -2    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Lapeer                 10- 6       4     1    +      2.84
   428 H Lapeer                 12- 2      10     2    +      2.60

Flushing Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Flushing insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Flushing
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Flushing   Flushing
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cass Tech Flushing   Flushing
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Flushing Flushing  
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op  
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Henry Ford II Flushing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flushing
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Flushing Flushing   2- 4 vs 0- 5
Holt Holt Holt   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudsonville
Jenison Flushing   Flushing
Kalamazoo Central Flushing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flushing
Lake Fenton Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Lake Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Orion
Lakeview Flushing   Flushing
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Lapeer Flushing Flushing  
Livonia United Livonia United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Midland Midland insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northview
Northville Northville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Oxford Oxford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Oxford
Plymouth Plymouth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS Rochester HS  
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   5- 1 vs 3- 4
Salem Salem tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Flushing   Flushing
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens   2- 0 vs 0- 2
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Flushing   Flushing
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United Flushing insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Flushing
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Zeeland East Zeeland East   Zeeland East

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     5-17      -14.88      14.31       0.62         1.01           -14.33
   0 H Lake Fenton     ( 4- 8, 78.4)     9- 8      -21.47       7.73      -0.62         1.01             7.14
   0 A Howell          ( 9-11, 84.2)     2-19      -15.68      13.51       0.62         1.01           -15.13
   0 A Lapeer          ( 1- 8, 75.7)    10- 6      -24.24       4.95       0.62         1.01             5.60
   0 H Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)    12-11      -24.06       5.13      -0.62         1.01             4.54
   0 A Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)     7-18      -17.34      11.85       0.62         1.01           -16.81
   0 H Davison         ( 2-15, 78.2)     9- 8      -21.68       7.51      -0.62         1.01             6.92
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     4-14      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         1.01           -15.58
   0 A Lake Fenton     ( 4- 8, 78.4)     5-17      -21.47       7.73       0.62         1.01           -20.95
   0 H Rochester HS    ( 9- 8, 82.1)    11-18      -17.75      11.44      -0.62         1.01           -18.47
   0 H Lapeer          ( 1- 8, 75.7)    12- 2      -24.24       4.95      -0.62         1.01             4.35
   0 A Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)    10-11      -24.06       5.13       0.62         1.01           -23.56
   0 H Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)    10-19      -17.34      11.85      -0.62         1.01           -18.06
   0 A Grand Ledge     (14- 4, 89.8)    10-20      -10.13      19.06       0.62         1.01            -9.56
   0 A Flint Powers C  ( 5- 6, 82.2)     6-21      -17.66      11.53       0.62         1.01           -17.13
   0 H DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)     4-21      -15.12      14.07      -0.62         1.01           -15.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -156.85

winning pts = 28.5486 losing points = -185.3959

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------