List of girl Div 17 Fitch List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Hamden                 13- 5       8     4    +      2.62
   402 H St Joseph               4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.17
   404 H Woodstock Academy      18- 1      17    23           0.00
   406 A Old Saybrook           14- 2      12     5           1.24
   416 A East Lyme               8-10      -2     0          -1.51
   420 H Killingly              11- 4       7    11           0.00
   422 A Norwich Free Academy   10- 1       9     4    +      2.14
   429 H Norwich Free Academy   12- 6       6     6          -0.22
   501 H Westerly               15- 7       8     4          n/a  
   504 H East Lyme              11- 9       2     0           1.13
   506 A Ledyard                 6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.58
   507 A Bacon Academy          18- 3      15    16           0.00
   509 H Stonington             10- 4       6     5           0.43
   513 A Woodstock Academy      16- 0      16    22           0.00
   515 H Montville              15- 6       9    13           0.00
   516 H Ellington               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.24
   520 N Killingly              18- 2      16    10           0.00
   521 N Waterford              10- 8       2     0    +      2.88
   523 N East Lyme               6-11      -5     0    --    -5.19
   528 H Fairfield Warde         7-10      -3     1    --    -4.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 N East Lyme               6-11      -5     0    --    -5.19
   528 H Fairfield Warde         7-10      -3     1    --    -4.03
   402 H St Joseph               4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.17
   506 A Ledyard                 6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Hamden                 13- 5       8     4    +      2.62
   422 A Norwich Free Academy   10- 1       9     4    +      2.14
   501 H Westerly               15- 7       8     4    +          
   516 H Ellington               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.24
   521 N Waterford              10- 8       2     0    +      2.88



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 76.15 Power Rank.................    30
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 41.34 SOS (PR) Rank..............    55
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5172 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    81
 RPI Rating............... .5592 RPI Rank...................    30
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    30
 Selection sum ...........   139 Selection Rank ............    44
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -55. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    29
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    28
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  11.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0