List of girl Div 40 First Flight List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H JH Rose                12- 8       4     4          -0.20
   313 A Northside              15- 4      11    14           0.00
   315 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 11-14      -3    -1          n/a  
   318 H New Bern               15- 8       7     5           1.71
   320 A Havelock               16- 3      13    18           0.00
   322 H Croatan                10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.09
   327 A Ocean Lakes             6- 5       1     1          n/a  
   408 H Jacksonville           17- 4      13    15           0.00
   410 A JH Rose                10- 7       3     3          -0.42
   412 H Northside              15- 1      14    15           0.00
   417 A New Bern               12-11       1     4    -     -3.51
   422 H Havelock               19- 7      12    19           0.00
   424 A Jacksonville           18- 6      12    15           0.00
   426 H White Oak              15- 1      14    24           0.00
   503 H Hunt                   20- 3      17    15           0.00
   507 H Terry Sanford          16- 1      15     9           0.00
   511 H Croatan                 8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A New Bern               12-11       1     4    -     -3.51
   511 H Croatan                 8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Croatan                10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.09



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 74.54 Power Rank.................    30
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 35.02 SOS (PR) Rank..............    78
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4584 SOS (RPI) Rank.............   110
 RPI Rating............... .5717 RPI Rank...................    30
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    49
 Selection sum ...........   154 Selection Rank ............    44
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   55. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    15
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   55. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    14
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.8 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0