---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Francis Howell 1
  
Francis Howell        
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 91.7076

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 A Ursuline Academy ( 7- 9, 91.0) 9- 5 409 A Nerinx Hall ( 7- 7, 90.8) 16-15 414 H Westminster Christian ( 9- 6, 93.3) 6-12 417 A Rockwood Summit ( 5- 9, 91.4) 11-16 418 A Northwest (10- 4, 91.9) 9-10 421 A Parkway West ( 4-12, 92.8) 13-12 423 H Lafayette (11- 4, 93.4) 9-13 425 A Wentzville ( 3- 8, 92.8) 12-11 430 H Parkway North ( 2- 8, 82.6) 14- 3 502 H Francis Howell Central ( 4- 9, 88.9) 16- 4 505 H Ladue Horton Watkins (10- 4, 96.9) 7- 8 506 A Marquette ( 6- 6, 94.1) 5-12 507 A Villa Duchesne ( 7- 8, 89.5) 9-13 515 H Webster Groves (12- 4, 90.2) 13- 5 517 A MICDS-St Louis CDS (12- 4, 98.3) 0-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Ursuline Academy        9- 5       4     0    ++     4.41
   409 A Nerinx Hall            16-15       1     0           1.17
   414 H Westminster Christian   6-12      -6     0    --    -4.52
   417 A Rockwood Summit        11-16      -5    -1    --    -4.26
   418 A Northwest               9-10      -1    -1           0.26
   421 A Parkway West           13-12       1    -2    +      3.15
   423 H Lafayette               9-13      -4    -1    -     -3.41
   425 A Wentzville             12-11       1    -2    +      3.20
   430 H Parkway North          14- 3      11    10           0.00
   502 H Francis Howell Central 16- 4      12     4           1.08
   505 H Ladue Horton Watkins    7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.08
   506 A Marquette               5-12      -7    -4          -1.49
   507 A Villa Duchesne          9-13      -4     1    --    -5.11
   515 H Webster Groves         13- 5       8     3    +      2.44
   517 A MICDS-St Louis CDS      0-16     -16    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Westminster Christian   6-12      -6     0    --    -4.52
   417 A Rockwood Summit        11-16      -5    -1    --    -4.26
   507 A Villa Duchesne          9-13      -4     1    --    -5.11
   423 H Lafayette               9-13      -4    -1    -     -3.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Ursuline Academy        9- 5       4     0    ++     4.41
   421 A Parkway West           13-12       1    -2    +      3.15
   425 A Wentzville             12-11       1    -2    +      3.20
   505 H Ladue Horton Watkins    7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.08
   515 H Webster Groves         13- 5       8     3    +      2.44

Francis Howell Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Belleville West Francis Howell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Francis Howell
Clayton Francis Howell insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Francis Howell
Cor Jesu Academy Cor Jesu Academy Cor Jesu Academy   7- 1 vs 4- 4
Eureka Eureka Eureka   7- 1 vs 2- 6
Fox Francis Howell Francis Howell   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Francis Howell Central Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Francis Howell North Francis Howell Francis Howell   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Hazelwood West Francis Howell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Francis Howell
Incarnate Word Academy Francis Howell Francis Howell   2- 2 vs 0- 4
John Burroughs John Burroughs John Burroughs   8- 0 vs 3- 5
Kirkwood Francis Howell Francis Howell   4- 3 vs 2- 5
Ladue Horton Watkins Ladue Horton Watkins Ladue Horton Watkins  
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lindbergh Francis Howell Francis Howell   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Marquette Marquette Marquette  
MICDS-St Louis CDS MICDS-St Louis CDS MICDS-St Louis CDS  
Nerinx Hall Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Northwest Northwest Northwest  
Notre Dame Francis Howell Francis Howell   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Oakville Francis Howell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Francis Howell
Parkway Central Francis Howell insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Francis Howell
Parkway North Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Parkway South Francis Howell Francis Howell   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Parkway West Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Pattonville Francis Howell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Francis Howell
Rockwood Summit Rockwood Summit Rockwood Summit  
St Dominic St Dominic tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) St Dominic
St Josephs Academy St Josephs Academy St Josephs Academy   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Ursuline Academy Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Villa Duchesne Villa Duchesne Villa Duchesne  
Visitation Academy Visitation Academy insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) Visitation Academy
Webster Groves Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Wentzville Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Westminster Christian Westminster Christian Westminster Christian  
Whitfield School Francis Howell Francis Howell   2- 2 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Ursuline Acade  ( 7- 9, 91.0)     9- 5       -8.86      13.18       1.08         0.98            13.98
   0 A Nerinx Hall     ( 7- 7, 90.8)    16-15       -9.11      12.94       1.08         0.98            13.74
   0 H Westminster Ch  ( 9- 6, 93.3)     6-12       -6.63      15.42      -1.08         0.98            -7.56
   0 A Rockwood Summi  ( 5- 9, 91.4)    11-16       -8.54      13.51       1.08         0.98            -7.31
   0 A Northwest       (10- 4, 91.9)     9-10       -8.01      14.03       1.08         0.98            -6.79
   0 A Parkway West    ( 4-12, 92.8)    13-12       -7.13      14.92       1.08         0.98            15.68
   0 H Lafayette       (11- 4, 93.4)     9-13       -6.52      15.52      -1.08         0.98            -7.45
   0 A Wentzville      ( 3- 8, 92.8)    12-11       -7.08      14.97       1.08         0.98            15.73
   0 H Parkway North   ( 2- 8, 82.6)    14- 3      -17.27       4.77      -1.08         0.98             3.61
   0 H Francis Howell  ( 4- 9, 88.9)    16- 4      -11.03      11.01      -1.08         0.98             9.73
   0 H Ladue Horton W  (10- 4, 96.9)     7- 8       -3.03      19.01      -1.08         0.98            -4.03
   0 A Marquette       ( 6- 6, 94.1)     5-12       -5.76      16.28       1.08         0.98            -4.59
   0 A Villa Duchesne  ( 7- 8, 89.5)     9-13      -10.38      11.66       1.08         0.98            -9.11
   0 H Webster Groves  (12- 4, 90.2)    13- 5       -9.67      12.37      -1.08         0.98            11.07
   0 A MICDS-St Louis  (12- 4, 98.3)     0-16       -1.57      20.48       1.08         0.98            -0.48
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        36.24

winning pts = 83.5556 losing points = -47.3186

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------