---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls FCA 1
  
FCA                   
W-L: (12- 4) PR = 77.8820

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Concordia Prep ( 5- 7, 83.2) 8-17 313 N Friends School ( 2- 8, 72.3) 15- 2 319 A Key School ( 4- 5, 74.3) 15-12 320 H Annapolis Area Christi ( 9- 2, 79.8) 8-15 324 A Chapelgate Christian ( 6- 6, 73.1) 22-13 327 A Jemicy ( 0- 5, 67.7) 19- 6 328 A Park School ( 6- 6, 84.5) 11-17 329 A Salisbury School ( 5- 5, 80.0) 11-12 401 H Tome School ( 4- 4, 73.5) 24-10 403 A Rockbridge Academy ( 5- 5, 70.9) 19- 3 407 A Tome School ( 4- 4, 73.5) 20- 6 408 H Anne Arundel County ( 1- 3, 73.0) 1- 0 415 H Jemicy ( 0- 5, 67.7) 18- 5 424 A Calverton School ( 1- 6, 70.2) 17- 1 506 H Anne Arundel County ( 1- 3, 73.0) 19- 5 508 H Tome School ( 4- 4, 73.5) 18- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Concordia Prep          8-17      -9    -6           0.00
   313 N Friends School         15- 2      13     6           0.00
   319 A Key School             15-12       3     3          -0.15
   320 H Annapolis Area Christi  8-15      -7    -1    -     -3.51
   324 A Chapelgate Christian   22-13       9     4           0.65
   327 A Jemicy                 19- 6      13    10           0.00
   328 A Park School            11-17      -6    -7           0.00
   329 A Salisbury School       11-12      -1    -3           1.60
   401 H Tome School            24-10      14     5           0.15
   403 A Rockbridge Academy     19- 3      16     7           0.00
   407 A Tome School            20- 6      14     4           1.04
   415 H Jemicy                 18- 5      13    11           0.00
   424 A Calverton School       17- 1      16     7           0.00
   506 H Anne Arundel County    19- 5      14     5           0.00
   508 H Tome School            18- 6      12     5           0.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Annapolis Area Christi  8-15      -7    -1    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

FCA Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian  
Anne Arundel County FCA FCA  
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh FCA tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) FCA
Bishop McNamara FCA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) FCA
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School FCA FCA  
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian FCA FCA  
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep Concordia Prep  
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter FCA   FCA
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
Field School FCA   FCA
Friends School FCA FCA  
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Georgetown Day School FCA   FCA
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School FCA tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) FCA
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed FCA   FCA
Jemicy FCA FCA  
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School FCA FCA  
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   2- 0 vs 0- 2
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School Park School  
Rockbridge Academy FCA FCA  
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School Salisbury School  
Sandy Spring Friends FCA FCA   2- 0 vs 0- 2
School Without Walls FCA   FCA
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys St Timothys   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Vincent Pallotti FCA FCA   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School FCA FCA  
Washington Latin FCA   FCA
Worcester Prep FCA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) FCA
Aberdeen FCA   FCA
Academy for College & Ca FCA   FCA
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton FCA   FCA
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg FCA   FCA
Blair FCA   FCA
Blake FCA   FCA
Bohemia Manor FCA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) FCA
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie FCA   FCA
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick FCA   FCA
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD FCA   FCA
Carver A&T FCA   FCA
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers FCA   FCA
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC FCA   FCA
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) City College
Clarksburg FCA   FCA
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North FCA   FCA
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise FCA   FCA
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk FCA   FCA
DuVal FCA   FCA
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Easton
Edgewood FCA   FCA
Einstein FCA   FCA
Eleanor Roosevelt FCA   FCA
Elkton FCA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) FCA
Fairmont Heights FCA   FCA
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick FCA   FCA
Frederick Douglass PG FCA   FCA
Gaithersburg FCA   FCA
Glen Burnie FCA   FCA
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson   Gov Thomas Johnson
Great Mills FCA   FCA
Guilford Park FCA   FCA
Gwynn Park FCA   FCA
Hammond FCA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) FCA
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) JM Bennett
Kennedy FCA   FCA
Kent County FCA   FCA
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood FCA   FCA
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey FCA   FCA
Lansdowne FCA   FCA
Laurel FCA   FCA
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven FCA   FCA
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder FCA   FCA
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade FCA   FCA
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough FCA   FCA
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town FCA   FCA
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester FCA   FCA
North East Cecil FCA   FCA
North Hagerstown FCA   FCA
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point FCA   FCA
Northeast FCA   FCA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest FCA   FCA
Northwestern PG FCA   FCA
Northwood FCA   FCA
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills FCA   FCA
Old Mill FCA   FCA
Overlea FCA   FCA
Owings Mills FCA   FCA
Oxon Hill FCA   FCA
Paint Branch FCA   FCA
Parkdale FCA   FCA
Parkside FCA   FCA
Parkville FCA   FCA
Patapsco FCA   FCA
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent FCA   FCA
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville FCA   FCA
Pikesville FCA   FCA
Poolesville FCA   FCA
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery FCA   FCA
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville FCA   FCA
Seneca Valley FCA   FCA
Severn Run FCA   FCA
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg FCA   FCA
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook FCA   FCA
St Charles FCA   FCA
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland FCA   FCA
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville FCA   FCA
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill FCA   FCA
Western Baltimore FCA   FCA
Western STES FCA   FCA
Westlake FCA   FCA
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton FCA   FCA
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico FCA   FCA
Wilde Lake FCA   FCA
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn FCA   FCA
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 101


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Concordia Prep  ( 5- 7, 83.2)     8-17      -16.72      21.20       0.45         0.75           -12.17
   0 N Friends School  ( 2- 8, 72.3)    15- 2      -27.61      10.31      -0.00         0.75             7.71
   0 A Key School      ( 4- 5, 74.3)    15-12      -25.62      12.30       0.45         0.75             9.53
   0 H Annapolis Area  ( 9- 2, 79.8)     8-15      -20.08      17.84      -0.45         0.75           -15.35
   0 A Chapelgate Chr  ( 6- 6, 73.1)    22-13      -26.82      11.10       0.45         0.75             8.64
   0 A Jemicy          ( 0- 5, 67.7)    19- 6      -32.23       5.69       0.45         0.75             4.59
   0 A Park School     ( 6- 6, 84.5)    11-17      -15.38      22.54       0.45         0.75           -11.17
   0 A Salisbury Scho  ( 5- 5, 80.0)    11-12      -19.87      18.05       0.45         0.75           -14.52
   0 H Tome School     ( 4- 4, 73.5)    24-10      -26.42      11.50      -0.45         0.75             8.26
   0 A Rockbridge Aca  ( 5- 5, 70.9)    19- 3      -29.01       8.91       0.45         0.75             7.00
   0 A Tome School     ( 4- 4, 73.5)    20- 6      -26.42      11.50       0.45         0.75             8.93
   0 H Anne Arundel C  ( 1- 3, 73.0)     1- 0      -26.91      11.01      -0.45         0.75             7.90
   0 H Jemicy          ( 0- 5, 67.7)    18- 5      -32.23       5.69      -0.45         0.75             3.92
   0 A Calverton Scho  ( 1- 6, 70.2)    17- 1      -29.71       8.21       0.45         0.75             6.48
   0 H Anne Arundel C  ( 1- 3, 73.0)    19- 5      -26.91      11.01      -0.45         0.75             7.90
   0 H Tome School     ( 4- 4, 73.5)    18- 6      -26.42      11.50      -0.45         0.75             8.26
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        35.91

winning pts = 89.1226 losing points = -53.2103

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------