Fairfield Warde
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 85.0345Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 6- 5 407 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 15- 6 412 A Norwalk ( 3-13, 77.3) 20-14 417 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 15- 7 419 H St Joseph ( 9- 9, 82.3) 11- 6 422 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 14- 4 428 A Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 6-16 501 H Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 21-12 503 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 9-20 505 A Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 21-10 507 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 17-10 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe (11- 8, 87.4) 9-14 514 H Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 3-20 515 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 11- 8 517 A Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10- 9 520 A Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 18- 4 523 A Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 2-19 603 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 11- 9 606 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Weston 6- 5 1 2 -1.10
407 A Pomperaug 15- 6 9 4 1.21
412 A Norwalk 20-14 6 7 0.00
417 H Joel Barlow 15- 7 8 3 1.57
419 H St Joseph 11- 6 5 3 1.54
422 H Trumbull 14- 4 10 5 0.39
428 A Greenwich HS 6-16 -10 -6 0.00
501 H Westhill 21-12 9 7 0.00
503 A Staples 9-20 -11 -5 0.00
505 A Bethel 21-10 11 3 1.83
507 A Sheehan 17-10 7 6 0.00
510 H Fairfield Ludlowe 9-14 -5 -2 - -3.33
514 H Darien 3-20 -17 -14 0.00
515 H Stamford 11- 8 3 4 -0.87
517 A Brien McMahon 10- 9 1 3 - -2.22
520 A Danbury 18- 4 14 9 0.00
523 A Darien 2-19 -17 -16 0.00
603 H Guilford 11- 9 2 3 -0.86
606 A Cheshire HS 8-12 -4 -6 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe 9-14 -5 -2 - -3.33 517 A Brien McMahon 10- 9 1 3 - -2.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Fairfield Warde Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Berlin | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Bethel | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Bristol Central | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Brookfield | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Canton | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cromwell | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Danbury | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Enfield | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| EO Smith | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Farmington | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Fitch | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Foran | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Glastonbury | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Granby Memorial | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Guilford | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Hall | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Hamden | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 7- 0 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Joel Barlow | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Jonathan Law | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Killingly | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Lakeview United | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Lauralton Hall | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Ledyard | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Lewis Mills | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Lyman Hall | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Masuk | Masuk | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Montville | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Morgan School | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| New Milford | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Newington | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| North Haven | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Northwest Catholic | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Norwalk | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Old Lyme | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Old Saybrook | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Pomperaug | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| RHAM | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Rockville | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Rocky Hill | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Sheehan | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Shelton | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Somers | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| South Windsor | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Southington | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Fairfield Warde | |
| St Joseph | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Stamford | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Trumbull | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Valley Regional | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Waterford | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Watertown | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| West Haven | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Westhill | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Weston | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Wethersfield | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Wheeler | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Windsor | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Wolcott | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Woodstock Academy | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde |
PowerWise = 78
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 6- 5 -16.24 18.57 -0.73 0.92 16.44
0 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 15- 6 -19.38 15.43 0.73 0.92 14.88
0 A Norwalk ( 3-13, 77.3) 20-14 -22.63 12.18 0.73 0.92 11.89
0 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 15- 7 -17.57 17.24 -0.73 0.92 15.21
0 H St Joseph ( 9- 9, 82.3) 11- 6 -17.60 17.21 -0.73 0.92 15.19
0 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 14- 4 -18.75 16.06 -0.73 0.92 14.13
0 A Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 6-16 -9.60 25.21 0.73 0.92 -8.17
0 H Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 21-12 -21.53 13.28 -0.73 0.92 11.56
0 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 9-20 -10.33 24.48 0.73 0.92 -8.85
0 A Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 21-10 -18.77 16.04 0.73 0.92 15.45
0 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 17-10 -21.60 13.21 0.73 0.92 12.84
0 H Fairfield Ludl (11- 8, 87.4) 9-14 -12.47 22.34 -0.73 0.92 -12.16
0 H Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 3-20 -0.00 34.81 -0.73 0.92 -0.67
0 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 11- 8 -18.01 16.80 -0.73 0.92 14.81
0 A Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10- 9 -18.81 16.00 0.73 0.92 15.41
0 A Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 18- 4 -24.25 10.56 0.73 0.92 10.40
0 A Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 2-19 -0.00 34.81 0.73 0.92 -0.67
0 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 11- 9 -17.00 17.81 -0.73 0.92 15.74
0 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 8-12 -9.73 25.08 0.73 0.92 -8.30
------
145.13
|
winning pts = 183.9512 losing points = -38.8181
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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