List of girl Div 17 Fairfield Warde List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Bethel                 10- 4       6     4           1.29
   402 A New Milford            14- 3      11    10           0.00
   404 A Westhill               17- 4      13     8           0.00
   406 A St Joseph              13- 7       6     0    +++    6.54
   409 H Staples                 8-16      -8    -7           0.00
   411 H Norwalk                10-11      -1     0          -0.92
   416 A Trumbull               14- 9       5     3           1.86
   418 A Middletown-Coginchaug  16- 7       9    16           0.00
   423 H Pomperaug              12-15      -3    -1          -1.13
   425 H Shelton                 9- 3       6     6          -0.43
   430 H Danbury                14- 2      12    12           0.00
   504 A Fairfield Ludlowe       5-11      -6    -6           0.34
   507 A New Canaan              6-17     -11   -22           0.00
   509 H Brien McMahon          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.16
   514 A Stamford                7- 9      -2    -1          -0.17
   528 A Fitch                  10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.03
   531 A Amity Regional          6-17     -11    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Brien McMahon          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A St Joseph              13- 7       6     0    +++    6.54
   528 A Fitch                  10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.03



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 75.80 Power Rank.................    32
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 49.66 SOS (PR) Rank..............    25
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6140 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    38
 RPI Rating............... .5241 RPI Rank...................    39
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    28
 Selection sum ...........   112 Selection Rank ............    34
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    31
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    35
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  10.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3